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Chemnitz vs Bonn Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 80-66
16-15 21-18 20-18 23-15
Position#3
Record21-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game78.2
vs
Position#7
Record16-10
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game85.7
GermanyBBLRound 27· Messe Chemnitz
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Chemnitz v Bonn
17 Jan 2027
CHE v BON
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
CHE75
BON76
21 Dec 2024
CHE88
BON123
06 Apr 2024
CHE80
BON66
22 May 2023
CHE83
BON89
26 Mar 2023
CHE79
BON81
01 May 2022
CHE90
BON68
15 Jan 2021
CHE93
BON92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bonn winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
80-89
80
89
-9
72avg 83
A13/02
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
83-82
83
82
+1
78avg 83
H02/03
BBL
Basket Zaragoza
#11
W
98-64
98
64
+34
97avg 83
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
97-82
97
82
+15
84avg 83
A09/03
BBL
Basket Zaragoza
#11
W
102-86
102
86
+16
101avg 83
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Bamberg
#11
W
106-84
106
84
+22
106avg 83
A17/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
79-84
79
84
-5
65avg 83
H24/03
BBL
Bilbao
#3
W
98-73
98
73
+25
90avg 83
A27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
111-95
111
95
+16
109avg 83
A30/03
BBL
Bilbao
#3
L
73-82
73
82
-9
63avg 83
H03/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
32-17
19-23
8-27
26-13
23-18
14-20
20-31
30-24
28-13
20-8
20-19
20-14
22-25
26-19
29-24
18-18
26-20
35-25
23-23
25-16
23-20
32-20
26-28
22-18
13-21
21-24
23-21
16-29
25-17
30-12
27-15
31-17
19-28
30-25
31-25
21-18
15-21
23-18
14-25
174.8Avg total
92.7Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)88.778.2166.8+10.581%
Season at home (12)86.374.3160.7+12.083%
Season away (14)90.681.4172.1+9.279%
Last 10 (10)92.782.1174.8+10.670%
Last 5 (5)93.483.6177.0+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)81.087.0168.0-6.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)92.276.7168.9+15.588%
This opponent (Bonn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BonnGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBonn
Date
Competition
Ulm
#5
W
98-97 OT
98
97
+1
no box
H10/02
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
92-82
92
82
+10
85avg 81
A14/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
81-90
81
90
-9
74avg 81
A03/03
BBL
Galatasaray
#20
L
85-98
85
98
-13
78avg 81
A05/03
Champions League
Heidelberg
#16
L
87-92
87
92
-5
77avg 81
A10/03
BBL
Dijon
#12
W
89-74
89
74
+15
84avg 81
H12/03
Champions League
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
85-81
85
81
+4
80avg 81
A20/03
Champions League
Oldenburg
#8
W
100-85
100
85
+15
88avg 81
H26/03
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
80-77
80
77
+3
70avg 81
H30/03
BBL
Peristeri
#15
W
89-78
89
78
+11
88avg 81
H03/04
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-27
26-27
24-21
30-16
23-16
25-30
31-17
13-19
15-25
21-31
22-22
23-12
23-28
20-22
13-22
29-26
15-25
25-24
24-19
23-24
20-17
24-18
19-17
26-22
31-25
21-24
11-17
22-15
39-22
16-22
20-19
25-22
17-15
24-23
26-22
13-17
22-24
23-20
28-16
16-18
174.0Avg total
88.6Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)90.285.7175.9+4.562%
Season at home (13)89.282.2171.4+7.169%
Season away (13)91.289.2180.4+1.954%
Last 10 (10)88.685.4174.0+3.270%
Last 5 (5)88.679.0167.6+9.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)80.889.0169.8-8.20%
vs Similar (16)88.282.4170.7+5.881%
vs Weaker (10)91.285.0176.2+6.260%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +2.9+2.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +2.9+2.9
ChemnitzBonn
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A13/02
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H02/03
BBL
Basket Zaragoza
#11
W
58-37
58
37
+21
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A09/03
BBL
Basket Zaragoza
#11
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Bamberg
#11
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A17/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H24/03
BBL
Bilbao
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A30/03
BBL
Bilbao
#3
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H03/04
FIBA Europe Cup
84.5Avg total
45.6Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.038.183.2+6.973%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.336.882.1+8.580%-
Last 30 away (15)44.739.584.2+5.367%-
Last 10 (10)45.638.984.5+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)42.041.083.0+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)44.241.285.3+3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)45.237.482.6+7.979%-
This opponent (Bonn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BonnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#5
L
37-54
37
54
-17
H10/02
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A14/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A03/03
BBL
Galatasaray
#20
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A05/03
Champions League
Heidelberg
#16
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A10/03
BBL
Dijon
#12
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H12/03
Champions League
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A20/03
Champions League
Oldenburg
#8
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H26/03
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H30/03
BBL
Peristeri
#15
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H03/04
Champions League
90.6Avg total
44.1Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.043.988.8+1.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.741.687.3+4.173%-
Last 30 away (15)44.346.190.4-1.947%-
Last 10 (10)44.146.590.6-2.460%-
Last 5 (5)47.442.089.4+5.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)40.546.286.8-5.825%-
vs Similar (16)43.442.886.2+0.662%-
vs Weaker (10)49.244.693.8+4.670%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 91.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.020.8
54.7%
54.6%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.410.8
35.5%
35.4%32.4
🏀 Free throws22.317.5
78.5%
76.0%17.5
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bonntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bonn: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.721.2
54.8%
54.6%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.7
34.4%
35.4%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.616.5
76.4%
76.0%16.5
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
LWWLWWWWWL
Bonn
WWWWWLLLWW
#3
League position
#7
+13.2
Net rating
+4.7
118.3
Offensive rating
117.7
105.1
Defensive rating
113.0
54.1%
Effective FG%
53.5%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
16.7%
Turnover %
14.6%
35.9%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.5%
3-point %
34.4%
64.9%
Assist %
61.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence118.3 · 117.7Defence105.1 · 113.0Shooting54.1% · 53.5%3-point %35.5% · 34.4%Ball care16.7% · 14.6%Off. rebounds35.9% · 32.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Bonn
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Chemnitz wins
7
Bonn wins
DateGameScore
12/01/24Bonn v Chemnitz77-85
22/05/23Chemnitz v Bonn83-89
19/05/23Bonn v Chemnitz95-78
17/05/23Bonn v Chemnitz94-63
26/03/23Chemnitz v Bonn79-81
26/12/22Bonn v Chemnitz80-73
01/05/22Chemnitz v Bonn90-68
30/10/21Bonn v Chemnitz76-67
25/04/21Bonn v Chemnitz86-62
15/01/21Chemnitz v Bonn93-92 OT
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/24HBilbao73-82
30/03/24ASyntainics MBC111-95
27/03/24ABilbao98-73
24/03/24HAlba Berlin79-84
17/03/24ABamberg106-84
13/03/24HBasket Zaragoza102-86
09/03/24ACrailsheim Merlins97-82
06/03/24ABasket Zaragoza98-64
02/03/24HUlm83-82
13/02/24ABayern80-89
Bonnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/24HPeristeri89-78
30/03/24HVechta80-77
26/03/24HOldenburg100-85
20/03/24ALudwigsburg85-81
12/03/24HDijon89-74
10/03/24AHeidelberg87-92
05/03/24AGalatasaray85-98
03/03/24ABayern81-90
14/02/24ATubingen92-82
10/02/24HUlm98-97 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW81%
HomeWLWWL83%
AwayWLWWW79%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %81%83%79%
Points / game88.786.390.6
Allowed / game78.274.381.4
Point differential+10.5+12.0+9.2
Avg total166.8160.7172.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%58%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)50% (2)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bonn
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW62%
HomeLLWWW69%
AwayWWWLL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %62%69%54%
Points / game90.289.291.2
Allowed / game85.782.289.2
Point differential+4.5+7.1+1.9
Avg total175.9171.4180.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%46%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %8%15%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2521484%89.577.6+11.9
2 Chemnitz2621581%88.778.2+10.5
3 Alba Berlin2318578%92.082.0+10.0
4 Wurzburg2619773%86.678.8+7.8
5 Ulm2718967%91.686.5+5.1
6 Vechta2617965%89.181.7+7.4
7 Ludwigsburg26161062%88.381.3+7.0
8 Bonn26161062%90.285.7+4.5
9 Hamburg25131252%86.086.8-0.9
10 Oldenburg27131448%84.884.6+0.1
11 Basketball Braunschweig26111542%83.385.6-2.3
12 Bamberg27111641%88.191.0-2.9
13 Gottingen2681831%86.894.6-7.8
14 Syntainics MBC2781930%86.092.9-6.9
15 Rostock2671927%89.193.5-4.5
16 Heidelberg2662023%83.095.0-12.1
17 Tubingen2762122%84.496.4-12.0
18 Crailsheim Merlins2652119%79.692.5-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz1621202380
Bonn1518181566
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