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Chemnitz vs Golden Eagle Ylli Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 90-60
25-13 26-13 22-15 17-19
Position#9
Record0-1
FormWLLLL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game89.0
vs
Position#34
Record0-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game93.0
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 2
European cup2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden Eagle Ylli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
L
93-95
93
95
-2
86avg 75
A07/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
53-77
53
77
-24
40avg 75
A13/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
76-93
76
93
-17
71avg 75
A15/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
80-87 OT
80
87
-7
no box
H20/05
BBL
TFT Skopje
#48
W
96-77
96
77
+19
97avg 75
A21/09
Champions League
Fribourg Olympic
#49
W
93-70
93
70
+23
72avg 75
A23/09
Champions League
Tofas
#27
L
78-82
78
82
-4
66avg 75
A25/09
Champions League
Bayern
#3
L
74-88
74
88
-14
70avg 75
A09/10
BBL
Bamberg
#10
L
85-89
85
89
-4
no box
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#7
L
72-86
72
86
-14
no box
A15/10
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
19-26
12-21
36-25
15-18
16-18
9-24
13-17
13-27
13-22
25-23
25-21
15-20
16-21
32-16
11-17
24-14
22-14
22-25
28-24
24-26
24-17
30-13
15-14
22-30
22-20
21-8
13-24
22-28
27-19
8-20
17-21
29-14
20-27
21-23
15-25
19-21
18-19
12-25
23-21
164.4Avg total
80.0Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)85.089.0174.0-4.00%
Season at home (1)85.089.0174.0-4.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.084.4164.4-4.420%
Last 5 (5)80.483.0163.4-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)75.276.6151.8-1.344%
vs Similar (8)78.982.8161.6-3.925%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)84.979.3164.2+5.670%
This opponent (Golden Eagle Ylli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden Eagle YlliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormYlli
Date
Competition
Trepca
#3
L
55-58
55
58
-3
no box
H29/05
Superliga
Trepca
#3
W
70-64
70
64
+6
no box
A02/06
Superliga
Rahoveci
#8
L
88-90
88
90
-2
no box
A10/09
Superliga
Sigal Prishtina
#2
L
56-77
56
77
-21
no box
H17/09
Superliga
Benfica
#8
L
67-92
67
92
-25
61avg 61
H21/09
Champions League
Peja
#1
L
57-73
57
73
-16
no box
A25/09
Superliga
Prizreni
#6
L
82-98
82
98
-16
no box
A02/10
Superliga
Vellaznimi
#7
W
81-70
81
70
+11
no box
H09/10
Superliga
Galil Elyon
#24
L
76-93
76
93
-17
no box
H12/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trepca
#4
W
72-70
72
70
+2
no box
A16/10
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
10-12
10-13
15-16
22-18
16-17
13-16
19-13
30-25
17-25
24-23
17-17
21-27
14-13
9-14
12-23
19-14
23-28
16-29
9-21
21-11
9-13
19-25
8-24
11-24
14-23
25-29
32-22
17-21
29-18
19-12
16-19
23-20
12-28
19-24
22-21
18-19
23-21
14-10
17-20
148.9Avg total
70.4Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)76.093.0169.0-17.00%
Season at home (1)76.093.0169.0-17.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)70.478.5148.9-8.130%
Last 5 (5)73.680.8154.4-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)66.085.0151.0-19.00%
vs Similar (9)65.866.0131.8-0.256%
vs Weaker (18)84.770.0154.7+14.783%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -2.9-2.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -2.9-2.9
ChemnitzGolden Eagle Ylli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A07/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A13/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
26-49
26
49
-23
A15/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H20/05
BBL
TFT Skopje
#48
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A21/09
Champions League
Fribourg Olympic
#49
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A23/09
Champions League
Tofas
#27
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A25/09
Champions League
Bayern
#3
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A09/10
BBL
Bamberg
#10
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#7
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A15/10
German Cup
83.0Avg total
40.6Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.239.379.5+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (11)39.837.877.6+2.055%-
Last 30 away (19)40.440.280.6+0.342%-
Last 10 (10)40.642.483.0-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)45.444.289.6+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.939.276.1-2.344%-
vs Similar (8)39.840.480.1-0.638%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.539.281.7+3.350%-
This opponent (Golden Eagle Ylli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden Eagle YlliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trepca
#3
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H29/05
Superliga
Trepca
#3
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A02/06
Superliga
Rahoveci
#8
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A10/09
Superliga
Sigal Prishtina
#2
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H17/09
Superliga
Benfica
#8
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H21/09
Champions League
Peja
#1
W
30-24
30
24
+6
A25/09
Superliga
Prizreni
#6
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A02/10
Superliga
Vellaznimi
#7
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H09/10
Superliga
Galil Elyon
#24
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H12/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trepca
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A16/10
Superliga
76.3Avg total
36.9Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.434.974.3+4.567%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.535.774.2+2.859%-
Last 30 away (13)40.533.974.5+6.677%-
Last 10 (10)36.939.476.3-2.550%-
Last 5 (5)35.439.675.0-4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)35.044.079.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (9)33.832.065.8+1.867%-
vs Weaker (18)42.635.077.6+7.678%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.516.8
51.7%
52.5%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.311.1
37.9%
34.1%33.3
🏀 Free throws16.012.1
75.6%
73.2%12.1
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden Eagle Yllitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden Eagle Ylli: 67.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.016.0
45.7%
52.5%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.0
33.3%
34.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws15.011.0
73.3%
73.2%11.0
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/1 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
LLLLWWLLLL
Golden Eagle Ylli
WLWLLLLLWL
#9
League position
#34
+0.5
Net rating
-29.6
107.1
Offensive rating
86.2
106.6
Defensive rating
115.8
54.1%
Effective FG%
47.5%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
58.7%
21.3%
Turnover %
32.7%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
35.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.25
37.9%
3-point %
33.3%
72.8%
Assist %
70.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 86.2Defence106.6 · 115.8Shooting54.1% · 47.5%3-point %37.9% · 33.3%Ball care21.3% · 32.7%Off. rebounds31.2% · 35.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Golden Eagle Ylli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Chemnitz wins
0
Golden Eagle Ylli wins
No previous meetings.
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/22ACrailsheim Merlins72-86
13/10/22HBamberg85-89
09/10/22ABayern74-88
25/09/22ATofas78-82
23/09/22AFribourg Olympic93-70
21/09/22ATFT Skopje96-77
20/05/22HBayern80-87 OT
15/05/22ABayern76-93
13/05/22ABayern53-77
07/05/22ACrailsheim Merlins93-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/22ATrepca72-70
12/10/22HGalil Elyon76-93
09/10/22HVellaznimi81-70
02/10/22APrizreni82-98
25/09/22APeja57-73
21/09/22HBenfica67-92
17/09/22HSigal Prishtina56-77
10/09/22ARahoveci88-90
02/06/22ATrepca70-64
29/05/22HTrepca55-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
FIBA Europe Cup 2022
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game85.085.0-
Allowed / game89.089.0-
Point differential-4.0-4.0-
Avg total174.0174.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Golden Eagle Ylli
FIBA Europe Cup 2022
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game76.076.0-
Allowed / game93.093.0-
Point differential-17.0-17.0-
Avg total169.0169.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mechelen110100%100.066.0+34.0
2 Cholet330100%87.767.3+20.3
3 Gaziantep220100%80.563.0+17.5
4 BC Kalev/Cramo550100%86.670.4+16.2
5 Parnu110100%95.083.0+12.0
6 Balkan220100%85.073.5+11.5
7 Keravnos220100%83.072.5+10.5
8 Bamberg220100%93.585.5+8.0
9 Karhu Basket220100%83.075.0+8.0
10 SCM Craiova54180%71.663.8+7.8
11 Hapoel Haifa43175%67.866.0+1.8
12 Sporting CP43175%92.594.8-2.2
13 Anwil Wloclawek21150%100.589.0+11.5
14 Brindisi21150%78.569.5+9.0
15 CSM Oradea21150%90.081.0+9.0
16 Gottingen21150%79.573.0+6.5
17 Czarni Slupsk21150%78.575.5+3.0
18 Voluntari21150%68.065.0+3.0
19 Galil Elyon21150%89.587.0+2.5
20 FC Porto21150%85.084.0+1.0
21 BC Wolves21150%79.581.5-2.0
22 Budivelnyk21150%74.076.5-2.5
23 Antwerp Giants42250%79.082.0-3.0
24 AEK Larnaca21150%68.572.0-3.5
25 Leiden21150%68.572.5-4.0
26 Fribourg Olympic21150%78.082.5-4.5
27 Norrkoping21150%76.581.0-4.5
28 Rilski Sportist41325%70.285.8-15.5
29 Chemnitz1010%85.089.0-4.0
30 Swans Gmunden2020%74.078.5-4.5
31 Den Bosch1010%78.083.0-5.0
32 Jonava1010%59.065.0-6.0
33 Kormend2020%80.088.0-8.0
34 Levice2020%75.584.0-8.5
35 Thorl1010%68.077.0-9.0
36 Crailsheim Merlins2020%73.583.0-9.5
37 Jamtland1010%73.083.0-10.0
38 Aris1010%72.083.0-11.0
39 Kataja1010%64.075.0-11.0
40 Opava2020%70.584.0-13.5
41 Trepca1010%62.076.0-14.0
42 Donar Groningen2020%65.081.0-16.0
43 Kapfenberg Bulls1010%55.071.0-16.0
44 Golden Eagle Ylli1010%76.093.0-17.0
45 Cedevita Junior1010%73.093.0-20.0
46 Besiktas1010%62.093.0-31.0
47 Sigal Prishtina1010%61.098.0-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 47 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz2526221790
Golden Eagle Ylli1313151960
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