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Crailsheim Merlins vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 86-72
21-19 19-18 25-12 21-23
Position#7
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Crailsheim Merlins 🏆
Germany
vs
Chemnitz
Germany
Position#15
Record-
FormWWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
GermanyGerman Cup
Other2022-23
Meetings · Crailsheim Merlins v Chemnitz
09 Mar 2024
CME82
CHE97
05 Feb 2023
CME79
CHE82
15 Oct 2022
CME86
CHE72
07 May 2022
CME95
CHE93
09 Dec 2020
CME88
CHE76
30 Sep 2017
CME78
CHE70
04 Nov 2016
CME85
CHE75
07 Dec 2013
CME90
CHE77
16 Feb 2013
CME82
CHE71
03 Dec 2011
CME90
CHE92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#1
L
70-78
70
78
-8
61avg 74
H20/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
75-77
75
77
-2
64avg 74
A23/04
BBL
Gottingen
#10
W
86-80
86
80
+6
83avg 74
H26/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
70-81
70
81
-11
63avg 74
H29/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
90-100 OT
90
100
-10
no box
A01/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#6
W
95-93
95
93
+2
90avg 74
H07/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
82-95
82
95
-13
no box
H02/10
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
84-82
84
82
+2
69avg 74
A04/10
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
77-81
77
81
-4
69avg 74
H07/10
BBL
Norrkoping
#33
L
87-93 OT
87
93
-6
no box
A12/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
15-19
15-18
13-18
18-21
12-26
21-14
24-16
15-9
22-31
27-15
22-25
18-20
13-24
10-16
29-21
23-30
21-27
27-20
18-12
23-26
26-19
21-12
25-36
10-27
28-20
20-24
24-24
22-27
18-19
20-20
24-16
16-27
24-16
24-20
13-18
30-14
11-26
19-21
19-18
167.6Avg total
81.6Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.686.0167.6-4.430%
Last 5 (5)85.088.8173.8-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.191.1167.2-15.011%
vs Similar (11)83.685.1168.7-1.555%
vs Weaker (10)81.279.3160.5+1.950%
ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Bonn
#2
W
90-68
90
68
+22
82avg 75
H01/05
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
L
93-95
93
95
-2
86avg 75
A07/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
53-77
53
77
-24
40avg 75
A13/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
76-93
76
93
-17
71avg 75
A15/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
80-87 OT
80
87
-7
no box
H20/05
BBL
TFT Skopje
#48
W
96-77
96
77
+19
97avg 75
A21/09
Champions League
Fribourg Olympic
#49
W
93-70
93
70
+23
72avg 75
A23/09
Champions League
Tofas
#27
L
78-82
78
82
-4
66avg 75
A25/09
Champions League
Bayern
#3
L
74-88
74
88
-14
70avg 75
A09/10
BBL
Bamberg
#10
L
85-89
85
89
-4
no box
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
20-19
25-14
24-18
26-23
19-26
12-21
36-25
15-18
16-18
9-24
13-17
13-27
13-22
25-23
25-21
15-20
16-21
32-16
11-17
24-14
22-14
22-25
28-24
24-26
24-17
30-13
15-14
22-30
22-20
21-8
13-24
22-28
27-19
8-20
17-21
29-14
20-27
21-23
15-25
164.4Avg total
81.8Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.882.6164.4-0.830%
Last 5 (5)85.281.2166.4+4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)75.276.6151.8-1.344%
vs Similar (8)78.982.8161.6-3.925%
vs Weaker (11)85.578.8164.3+6.673%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.9-0.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.9-0.9
Crailsheim MerlinsChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#1
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H20/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A23/04
BBL
Gottingen
#10
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H26/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H29/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A01/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#6
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H07/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H02/10
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A04/10
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H07/10
BBL
Norrkoping
#33
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A12/10
FIBA Europe Cup
84.3Avg total
39.2Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.743.884.5-3.037%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.341.581.8-1.229%-
Last 30 away (16)41.145.886.9-4.644%-
Last 10 (10)39.245.184.3-5.920%-
Last 5 (5)41.644.285.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.446.185.6-6.733%-
vs Similar (11)43.344.187.4-0.845%-
vs Weaker (10)39.141.380.4-2.230%-
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H01/05
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A07/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A13/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
26-49
26
49
-23
A15/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H20/05
BBL
TFT Skopje
#48
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A21/09
Champions League
Fribourg Olympic
#49
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A23/09
Champions League
Tofas
#27
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A25/09
Champions League
Bayern
#3
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A09/10
BBL
Bamberg
#10
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
83.0Avg total
41.0Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.338.979.2+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.837.076.8+2.858%-
Last 30 away (18)40.640.280.8+0.444%-
Last 10 (10)41.042.083.0-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)47.241.889.0+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.939.276.1-2.344%-
vs Similar (8)39.840.480.1-0.638%-
vs Weaker (11)42.338.280.5+4.155%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
43%
37%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.6
52.4%
51.2%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.2
34.8%
34.0%27.6
🏀 Free throws21.516.2
75.3%
72.2%16.2
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
43%
37%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.516.8
51.7%
51.2%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.311.1
37.9%
34.0%33.3
🏀 Free throws16.012.1
75.6%
72.2%12.1
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crailsheim Merlins
LLWLWLLWLL
Chemnitz
LLLWWLLLLW
#7
League position
#15
-1.6
Net rating
+0.5
109.4
Offensive rating
107.1
111.1
Defensive rating
106.6
52.3%
Effective FG%
54.1%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
17.7%
Turnover %
21.3%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.8%
3-point %
37.9%
58.3%
Assist %
72.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 107.1Defence111.1 · 106.6Shooting52.3% · 54.1%3-point %34.8% · 37.9%Ball care17.7% · 21.3%Off. rebounds29.4% · 31.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Crailsheim Merlins   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Crailsheim Merlins wins
0
Chemnitz wins
DateGameScore
07/05/22Crailsheim Merlins v Chemnitz95-93
30/12/21Chemnitz v Crailsheim Merlins82-92
14/04/21Chemnitz v Crailsheim Merlins73-85
09/12/20Crailsheim Merlins v Chemnitz88-76
31/03/18Chemnitz v Crailsheim Merlins74-91
30/09/17Crailsheim Merlins v Chemnitz78-70
11/02/17Chemnitz v Crailsheim Merlins87-96
04/11/16Crailsheim Merlins v Chemnitz85-75
08/02/14Chemnitz v Crailsheim Merlins77-79
07/12/13Crailsheim Merlins v Chemnitz90-77
Crailsheim Merlinslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/22ANorrkoping87-93 OT
07/10/22HGottingen77-81
04/10/22ABamberg84-82
02/10/22HOldenburg82-95
07/05/22HChemnitz95-93
01/05/22AUlm90-100 OT
29/04/22HFrankfurt70-81
26/04/22HGottingen86-80
23/04/22ALudwigsburg75-77
20/04/22HAlba Berlin70-78
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/22HBamberg85-89
09/10/22ABayern74-88
25/09/22ATofas78-82
23/09/22AFribourg Olympic93-70
21/09/22ATFT Skopje96-77
20/05/22HBayern80-87 OT
15/05/22ABayern76-93
13/05/22ABayern53-77
07/05/22ACrailsheim Merlins93-95
01/05/22HBonn90-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crailsheim Merlins
German Cup 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Chemnitz
German Cup 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crailsheim Merlins2119252186
Chemnitz1918122372
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