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Bayern vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 88-74
28-22 19-27 20-8 21-17
Position#3
Record2-0
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game77.0
Bayern 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#12
Record-
FormLLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
GermanyBBLRound 3
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Bayern v Chemnitz
09 May 2027
BAY v CHE
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
BAY91
CHE77
20 Sep 2024
BAY73
CHE59
13 Feb 2024
BAY89
CHE80
09 Oct 2022
BAY88
CHE74
15 May 2022
BAY93
CHE76
13 May 2022
BAY77
CHE53
09 Jan 2022
BAY63
CHE65
10 Jan 2021
BAY77
CHE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Bonn
#2
L
84-86
84
86
-2
76avg 73
H04/06
BBL
Bonn
#2
L
80-83
80
83
-3
76avg 73
H06/06
BBL
Bonn
#2
W
87-74
87
74
+13
85avg 73
A08/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
73-86
73
86
-13
65avg 73
A10/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
58-71
58
71
-13
42avg 73
H14/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
W
90-60
90
60
+30
86avg 73
A17/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
81-96
81
96
-15
76avg 73
H19/06
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
87-80
87
80
+7
78avg 73
H01/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
83-74
83
74
+9
73avg 73
A03/10
BBL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
62-74
62
74
-12
58avg 73
H06/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
20-21
23-19
21-22
26-24
21-24
17-18
16-17
24-16
18-28
27-17
18-13
20-22
23-18
19-21
11-25
16-18
10-20
17-19
15-14
23-15
29-18
20-13
18-14
17-26
19-26
18-24
27-20
24-18
15-21
28-15
20-26
17-15
20-11
31-25
15-23
19-21
15-19
12-19
16-15
156.9Avg total
78.5Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)85.077.0162.0+8.0100%
Season at home (1)87.080.0167.0+7.0100%
Season away (1)83.074.0157.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.578.4156.9+0.140%
Last 5 (5)80.676.8157.4+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.476.5150.9-2.133%
vs Similar (9)81.877.6159.3+4.256%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)86.370.2156.6+16.1100%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
68-77
68
77
-9
64avg 75
H23/04
BBL
Giessen
#18
W
91-70
91
70
+21
95avg 75
A29/04
BBL
Bonn
#2
W
90-68
90
68
+22
82avg 75
H01/05
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
L
93-95
93
95
-2
86avg 75
A07/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
53-77
53
77
-24
40avg 75
A13/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
76-93
76
93
-17
71avg 75
A15/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
80-87 OT
80
87
-7
no box
H20/05
BBL
TFT Skopje
#48
W
96-77
96
77
+19
97avg 75
A21/09
Champions League
Fribourg Olympic
#49
W
93-70
93
70
+23
72avg 75
A23/09
Champions League
Tofas
#27
L
78-82
78
82
-4
66avg 75
A25/09
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-17
15-17
14-19
11-24
25-27
27-4
24-12
15-27
21-17
20-19
25-14
24-18
26-23
19-26
12-21
36-25
15-18
16-18
9-24
13-17
13-27
13-22
25-23
25-21
15-20
16-21
32-16
11-17
24-14
22-14
22-25
28-24
24-26
24-17
30-13
15-14
22-30
22-20
21-8
13-24
161.4Avg total
81.8Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.879.6161.4+2.240%
Last 5 (5)84.681.8166.4+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)75.475.1150.5+0.250%
vs Similar (9)79.283.8163.0-4.622%
vs Weaker (11)85.277.8163.0+7.482%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -2.0-2.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -2.0-2.0
BayernChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H04/06
BBL
Bonn
#2
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H06/06
BBL
Bonn
#2
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A08/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A10/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H14/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A17/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H19/06
BBL
Ulm
#4
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H01/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A03/10
BBL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H06/10
Euroleague
80.1Avg total
39.6Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.638.177.7+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.038.377.3+0.743%-
Last 30 away (16)40.237.978.1+2.356%-
Last 10 (10)39.640.580.1-0.930%-
Last 5 (5)39.638.077.6+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.039.976.9-2.942%-
vs Similar (9)39.741.881.4-2.111%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)43.131.975.0+11.2100%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H23/04
BBL
Giessen
#18
W
52-31
52
31
+21
A29/04
BBL
Bonn
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H01/05
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A07/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A13/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
26-49
26
49
-23
A15/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H20/05
BBL
TFT Skopje
#48
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A21/09
Champions League
Fribourg Olympic
#49
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A23/09
Champions League
Tofas
#27
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A25/09
Champions League
80.4Avg total
40.7Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.538.878.3+0.743%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.237.876.9+1.450%-
Last 30 away (18)39.739.579.2+0.239%-
Last 10 (10)40.739.780.4+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.042.281.2-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)35.438.273.6-2.938%-
vs Similar (9)39.941.481.3-1.633%-
vs Weaker (11)40.737.678.4+3.145%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.2
53.1%
54.4%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.3
35.8%
35.4%27.9
🏀 Free throws16.713.8
82.6%
75.8%13.8
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.9
52.6%
54.4%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.311.0
37.5%
35.4%33.0
🏀 Free throws15.411.8
76.6%
75.8%11.8
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
LWWLWLLWLL
Chemnitz
LWWLLLLWWL
#3
League position
#12
+1.3
Net rating
+3.8
113.7
Offensive rating
109.0
112.4
Defensive rating
105.3
53.3%
Effective FG%
54.3%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
17.6%
Turnover %
20.9%
33.7%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.8%
3-point %
37.5%
54.5%
Assist %
69.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.7 · 109.0Defence112.4 · 105.3Shooting53.3% · 54.3%3-point %35.8% · 37.5%Ball care17.6% · 20.9%Off. rebounds33.7% · 33.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Bayern   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Bayern wins
4
Chemnitz wins
DateGameScore
20/05/22Chemnitz v Bayern80-87 OT
15/05/22Bayern v Chemnitz93-76
13/05/22Bayern v Chemnitz77-53
15/02/22Chemnitz v Bayern77-58
09/01/22Bayern v Chemnitz63-65
14/11/21Chemnitz v Bayern85-80
14/02/21Chemnitz v Bayern85-83
10/01/21Bayern v Chemnitz77-76
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/22HFenerbahce62-74
03/10/22AFrankfurt83-74
01/10/22HUlm87-80
19/06/22HAlba Berlin81-96
17/06/22AAlba Berlin90-60
14/06/22HAlba Berlin58-71
10/06/22AAlba Berlin73-86
08/06/22ABonn87-74
06/06/22HBonn80-83
04/06/22HBonn84-86
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/09/22ATofas78-82
23/09/22AFribourg Olympic93-70
21/09/22ATFT Skopje96-77
20/05/22HBayern80-87 OT
15/05/22ABayern76-93
13/05/22ABayern53-77
07/05/22ACrailsheim Merlins93-95
01/05/22HBonn90-68
29/04/22AGiessen91-70
23/04/22HBasketball Braunschweig68-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.087.083.0
Allowed / game77.080.074.0
Point differential+8.0+7.0+9.0
Avg total162.0167.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chemnitz
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn220100%90.073.5+16.5
2 Ludwigsburg220100%90.076.0+14.0
3 Bayern220100%85.077.0+8.0
4 Alba Berlin330100%86.779.7+7.0
5 Gottingen220100%87.080.5+6.5
6 Rostock110100%85.080.0+5.0
7 Hamburg32167%88.078.0+10.0
8 Oldenburg32167%84.081.0+3.0
9 Heidelberg21150%89.595.0-5.5
10 Syntainics MBC21150%95.5102.0-6.5
11 Crailsheim Merlins31233%81.086.0-5.0
12 Bayreuth31233%78.084.3-6.3
13 Wurzburg31233%91.098.3-7.3
14 Frankfurt3030%82.086.3-4.3
15 Bamberg3030%79.386.0-6.7
16 Ulm3030%81.388.3-7.0
17 Basketball Braunschweig2020%74.084.5-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2819202188
Chemnitz222781774
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