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Tofas vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Sep 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 82-78
30-22 20-22 8-21 24-13
Position#27
Record1-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game57.0
Tofas 🏆
vs
Position#5
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game94.5
Allowed / game73.5
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Final
European cup2022
Meetings · Tofas v Chemnitz
29 Sep 2026
TOF82
CHE69
25 Sep 2022
TOF82
CHE78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Merkezefendi
#14
W
98-66
98
66
+32
100avg 79
A26/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#4
L
92-108
92
108
-16
89avg 79
A30/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#10
W
81-80
81
80
+1
79avg 79
H02/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#1
L
77-78
77
78
-1
66avg 79
A06/04
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#7
L
78-79
78
79
-1
70avg 79
A09/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#1
L
73-74
73
74
-1
70avg 79
H12/04
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
78-82
78
82
-4
76avg 79
H16/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#3
L
89-90 OT
89
90
-1
no box
A24/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Afyon Belediye
#16
W
115-57
115
57
+58
125avg 79
A06/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Voluntari
#18
W
68-57
68
57
+11
56avg 79
H23/09
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
24-19
22-12
28-21
22-30
25-28
19-25
26-25
24-21
19-24
20-18
18-17
17-31
16-16
24-19
20-12
16-15
19-27
20-16
23-21
16-21
14-22
20-18
23-13
26-21
17-24
20-11
15-26
24-13
16-19
20-20
18-26
36-10
31-15
28-21
20-11
21-15
12-10
14-11
21-21
162.0Avg total
84.9Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)68.057.0125.0+11.0100%
Season at home (1)68.057.0125.0+11.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.977.1162.0+7.840%
Last 5 (5)84.672.0156.6+12.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)75.082.0157.0-7.00%
vs Similar (19)79.378.9158.2+0.337%
vs Weaker (8)97.272.4169.6+24.988%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
W
88-82
88
82
+6
81avg 76
H20/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
68-77
68
77
-9
64avg 76
H23/04
BBL
Giessen
#18
W
91-70
91
70
+21
95avg 76
A29/04
BBL
Bonn
#2
W
90-68
90
68
+22
82avg 76
H01/05
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
L
93-95
93
95
-2
86avg 76
A07/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
53-77
53
77
-24
40avg 76
A13/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
76-93
76
93
-17
71avg 76
A15/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
80-87 OT
80
87
-7
no box
H20/05
BBL
TFT Skopje
#48
W
96-77
96
77
+19
97avg 76
A21/09
Champions League
Fribourg Olympic
#49
W
93-70
93
70
+23
72avg 76
A23/09
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-28
24-15
25-21
25-18
28-17
15-17
14-19
11-24
25-27
27-4
24-12
15-27
21-17
20-19
25-14
24-18
26-23
19-26
12-21
36-25
15-18
16-18
9-24
13-17
13-27
13-22
25-23
25-21
15-20
16-21
32-16
11-17
24-14
22-14
22-25
28-24
24-26
24-17
30-13
15-14
162.4Avg total
82.8Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)94.573.5168.0+21.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)94.573.5168.0+21.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.879.6162.4+3.250%
Last 5 (5)79.680.8160.4-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.475.1150.5+0.250%
vs Similar (9)79.283.8163.0-4.622%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)87.778.9166.6+8.891%
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.2-0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.2-0.2
TofasChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Merkezefendi
#14
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A26/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#4
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A30/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#10
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H02/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#1
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A06/04
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#7
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A09/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#1
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H12/04
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H16/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#3
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A24/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Afyon Belediye
#16
W
67-25
67
25
+42
A06/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Voluntari
#18
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H23/09
Champions League
81.4Avg total
41.9Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.240.681.7+0.637%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.641.282.8+0.438%-
Last 30 away (14)40.639.980.5+0.836%-
Last 10 (10)41.939.581.4+2.440%-
Last 5 (5)42.634.076.6+8.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)39.044.583.5-5.50%-
vs Similar (19)38.441.680.0-3.337%-
vs Weaker (8)47.537.585.0+10.038%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H20/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H23/04
BBL
Giessen
#18
W
52-31
52
31
+21
A29/04
BBL
Bonn
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H01/05
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A07/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A13/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
26-49
26
49
-23
A15/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H20/05
BBL
TFT Skopje
#48
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A21/09
Champions League
Fribourg Olympic
#49
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A23/09
Champions League
79.1Avg total
40.1Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.738.578.2+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.138.078.1+2.154%-
Last 30 away (17)39.438.978.3+0.541%-
Last 10 (10)40.139.079.1+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)36.439.475.8-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.438.273.6-2.938%-
vs Similar (9)39.941.481.3-1.633%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.436.878.2+4.555%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.323.0
54.4%
51.4%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.57.9
38.5%
35.2%23.7
🏀 Free throws15.811.9
75.3%
74.3%11.9
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.418.2
52.9%
51.4%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.911.4
39.4%
35.2%34.2
🏀 Free throws15.911.8
74.2%
74.3%11.8
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Sep 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
WWLLLLLWLW
Chemnitz
WWLLLLWWLW
#27
League position
#5
+7.7
Net rating
+5.2
115.8
Offensive rating
110.8
108.1
Defensive rating
105.6
55.5%
Effective FG%
55.8%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
15.9%
Turnover %
20.9%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.25
38.5%
3-point %
39.4%
60.2%
Assist %
69.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.8 · 110.8Defence108.1 · 105.6Shooting55.5% · 55.8%3-point %38.5% · 39.4%Ball care15.9% · 20.9%Off. rebounds32.4% · 32.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Tofas   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tofas wins
0
Chemnitz wins
No previous meetings.
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/22HVoluntari68-57
06/05/22AAfyon Belediye115-57
24/04/22AGalatasaray89-90 OT
16/04/22HFenerbahce78-82
12/04/22HTenerife73-74
09/04/22AKarsiyaka78-79
06/04/22ATenerife77-78
02/04/22HBesiktas81-80
30/03/22AGaziantep92-108
26/03/22AMerkezefendi98-66
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/22AFribourg Olympic93-70
21/09/22ATFT Skopje96-77
20/05/22HBayern80-87 OT
15/05/22ABayern76-93
13/05/22ABayern53-77
07/05/22ACrailsheim Merlins93-95
01/05/22HBonn90-68
29/04/22AGiessen91-70
23/04/22HBasketball Braunschweig68-77
20/04/22Hs.Oliver Wurzburg88-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Champions League 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game68.068.0-
Allowed / game57.057.0-
Point differential+11.0+11.0-
Avg total125.0125.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Chemnitz
Champions League 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
Home--
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %100%-100%
Points / game94.5-94.5
Allowed / game73.5-73.5
Point differential+21.0-+21.0
Avg total168.0-168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja220100%102.565.5+37.0
2 Chemnitz220100%94.573.5+21.0
3 Benfica330100%84.068.3+15.7
4 Bakken Bears220100%85.573.5+12.0
5 Tofas110100%68.057.0+11.0
6 FMP Beograd32167%83.376.0+7.3
7 Levice32167%77.772.7+5.0
8 Budivelnyk21150%90.574.0+16.5
9 Voluntari21150%63.564.5-1.0
10 Bamberg21150%85.090.5-5.5
11 Swans Gmunden21150%73.581.5-8.0
12 Den Bosch21150%71.593.5-22.0
13 Parnu1010%80.082.0-2.0
14 Keravnos1010%65.073.0-8.0
15 Kormend1010%70.079.0-9.0
16 Leicester Riders1010%61.070.0-9.0
17 Breogan1010%64.076.0-12.0
18 Siauliai1010%73.085.0-12.0
19 Opava1010%76.092.0-16.0
20 TFT Skopje1010%77.096.0-19.0
21 Fribourg Olympic1010%70.093.0-23.0
22 Karhu Basket1010%57.081.0-24.0
23 Golden Eagle Ylli1010%67.092.0-25.0
24 Norrkoping1010%51.087.0-36.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas302082482
Chemnitz2222211378
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