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Chemnitz vs Peja Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 98-72
26-29 22-16 25-11 25-16
Position#2
Record-
FormLLWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Chemnitz 🏆
vs
Peja
Position#34
Record-
FormWLWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 1· Messe Chemnitz
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Peja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#15
W
87-80
87
80
+7
no box
H29/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
79-86
79
86
-7
74avg 79
A05/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
81-74
81
74
+7
74avg 79
A07/05
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
63-94
63
94
-31
47avg 79
A17/05
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
78-95
78
95
-17
66avg 79
A19/05
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
83-89
83
89
-6
79avg 79
H22/05
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
85-90
85
90
-5
81avg 79
A27/09
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
109-79
109
79
+30
101avg 79
H02/10
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
86-81
86
81
+5
83avg 79
A08/10
BBL
Giessen
#13
W
89-64
89
64
+25
82avg 79
H14/10
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
17-29
18-17
27-13
20-19
23-20
21-26
15-21
20-22
16-18
18-14
27-20
11-22
22-16
15-39
15-17
20-24
20-25
15-22
23-24
25-26
17-28
23-19
18-16
24-31
18-20
16-13
27-26
23-24
31-18
33-22
22-15
31-15
15-22
18-21
22-23
29-17
20-13
18-20
22-14
167.2Avg total
84.0Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.083.2167.2+0.850%
Last 5 (5)90.480.6171.0+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.887.6164.4-10.912%
vs Similar (12)79.982.1162.0-2.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)87.377.5164.8+9.880%
This opponent (Peja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PejaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPeja
Date
Competition
Trepca
#4
L
86-94
86
94
-8
no box
A03/05
Superliga
Trepca
#4
W
107-79
107
79
+28
no box
H07/05
Superliga
Trepca
#4
L
90-97
90
97
-7
no box
A11/05
Superliga
Trepca
#4
W
87-83
87
83
+4
no box
H14/05
Superliga
Trepca
#4
W
93-91 OT
93
91
+2
no box
A18/05
Superliga
Vellaznimi
#5
W
82-62
82
62
+20
86avg 82
H22/09
Superliga
Bakken Bears
#17
L
79-103
79
103
-24
66avg 82
A25/09
Champions League
Prizreni
#7
W
115-85
115
85
+30
98avg 82
A01/10
Superliga
Trepca
#1
W
92-80
92
80
+12
73avg 82
H12/10
Superliga
Golden Eagle Ylli
#2
W
95-90
95
90
+5
88avg 82
A15/10
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
29-23
21-18
17-29
32-14
25-18
24-24
26-23
21-19
25-23
27-25
17-30
30-26
23-22
18-17
16-18
21-17
15-17
22-24
19-19
17-22
23-17
29-16
13-7
16-23
9-25
30-29
24-26
25-18
30-25
27-23
33-19
27-16
18-16
25-24
22-24
29-20
28-23
15-25
23-22
179.0Avg total
92.6Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)92.686.4179.0+6.270%
Last 5 (5)92.684.0176.6+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)83.076.0159.0+7.0100%
vs Similar (8)92.688.8181.4+3.962%
vs Weaker (19)93.672.7166.4+20.989%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -0.7-0.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -0.7-0.7
ChemnitzPeja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#15
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H29/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A05/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A07/05
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A17/05
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A19/05
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H22/05
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A27/09
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H02/10
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A08/10
BBL
Giessen
#13
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H14/10
German Cup
85.7Avg total
42.7Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.743.085.8-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (12)43.443.887.2-0.442%-
Last 30 away (18)42.342.584.8-0.244%-
Last 10 (10)42.743.085.7-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)46.642.889.4+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.245.486.6-4.125%-
vs Similar (12)42.244.086.2-1.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.540.084.5+4.570%-
This opponent (Peja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PejaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trepca
#4
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A03/05
Superliga
Trepca
#4
W
57-32
57
32
+25
H07/05
Superliga
Trepca
#4
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A11/05
Superliga
Trepca
#4
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H14/05
Superliga
Trepca
#4
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A18/05
Superliga
Vellaznimi
#5
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H22/09
Superliga
Bakken Bears
#17
L
25-48
25
48
-23
A25/09
Champions League
Prizreni
#7
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A01/10
Superliga
Trepca
#1
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H12/10
Superliga
Golden Eagle Ylli
#2
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A15/10
Superliga
87.0Avg total
46.2Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)48.640.188.6+8.585%-
Last 30 at home (11)51.839.491.2+12.591%-
Last 30 away (16)46.340.686.9+5.881%-
Last 10 (10)46.240.887.0+5.490%-
Last 5 (5)44.441.085.4+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)46.034.080.0+12.0100%-
vs Similar (8)47.142.489.5+4.862%-
vs Weaker (16)51.139.290.2+11.9100%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.9
52.2%
52.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.1
33.3%
33.8%27.3
🏀 Free throws24.217.7
73.1%
73.0%17.7
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pejatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Peja: 90.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.1 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.923.6
52.5%
52.2%47.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.4
37.3%
33.8%28.3
🏀 Free throws19.015.1
79.7%
73.0%15.1
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/7 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
WWWLLLLWLW
Peja
WWWLWWWLWL
#2
League position
#34
+0.5
Net rating
+10.6
110.0
Offensive rating
113.5
109.5
Defensive rating
103.0
51.3%
Effective FG%
53.8%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
18.5%
Turnover %
18.5%
35.3%
Off. rebound %
34.9%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.3%
3-point %
37.3%
67.5%
Assist %
51.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 113.5Defence109.5 · 103.0Shooting51.3% · 53.8%3-point %33.3% · 37.3%Ball care18.5% · 18.5%Off. rebounds35.3% · 34.9%Free throws0.38 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Peja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Chemnitz wins
0
Peja wins
No previous meetings.
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23HGiessen89-64
08/10/23ABasketball Braunschweig86-81
02/10/23HBamberg109-79
27/09/23AUlm85-90
22/05/23HBonn83-89
19/05/23ABonn78-95
17/05/23ABonn63-94
07/05/23AHeidelberg81-74
05/05/23ALudwigsburg79-86
29/04/23HHamburg87-80
Pejalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/23AGolden Eagle Ylli95-90
12/10/23HTrepca92-80
01/10/23APrizreni115-85
25/09/23ABakken Bears79-103
22/09/23HVellaznimi82-62
18/05/23ATrepca93-91 OT
14/05/23HTrepca87-83
11/05/23ATrepca90-97
07/05/23HTrepca107-79
03/05/23ATrepca86-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Peja
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
2 Jonava110100%104.088.0+16.0
3 Varese110100%95.080.0+15.0
4 Caledonia Gladiators110100%80.068.0+12.0
5 Basket Zaragoza220100%87.576.5+11.0
6 Trepca220100%77.068.0+9.0
7 Manisa330100%86.778.0+8.7
8 Sabah Baku330100%82.774.7+8.0
9 AEK Larnaca110100%78.076.0+2.0
10 Levice110100%93.091.0+2.0
11 Nymburk110100%89.088.0+1.0
12 Rostock32167%90.074.7+15.3
13 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
14 FC Porto32167%83.078.3+4.7
15 Kataja21150%83.581.5+2.0
16 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
17 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
18 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
19 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
20 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
21 Keravnos31233%87.082.7+4.3
22 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
23 Bahcesehir Kol.1010%88.089.0-1.0
24 CSM Oradea1010%91.093.0-2.0
25 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
26 Bakken Bears1010%76.082.0-6.0
27 Norrkoping1010%71.079.0-8.0
28 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
29 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
30 CSU Sibiu1010%68.080.0-12.0
31 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
32 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
33 Karhu Basket1010%88.0104.0-16.0
34 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 34 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz2622252598
Peja2916111672
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