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Ludwigsburg vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 May 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 86-79
19-20 20-23 26-21 21-15
Position#6
Record18-14
FormLLWWL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game85.8
vs
Position#12
Record15-17
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game82.9
GermanyBBLRound 33
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Ludwigsburg v Chemnitz
17 Feb 2027
LUD v CHE
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
LUD87
CHE79
15 Dec 2024
LUD69
CHE65
27 Apr 2024
LUD96
CHE93
05 May 2023
LUD86
CHE79
05 Nov 2021
LUD74
CHE76
09 Mar 2021
LUD96
CHE60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ludwigsburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LudwigsburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLudwigsburg
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
64avg 74
H19/03
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
76-93
76
93
-17
no box
A25/03
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
75-91
75
91
-16
68avg 74
A29/03
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
72-89
72
89
-17
60avg 74
A02/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
82-77
82
77
+5
73avg 74
H08/04
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
73-81
73
81
-8
60avg 74
A12/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
80-87
80
87
-7
60avg 74
A15/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
W
81-78
81
78
+3
no box
H22/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
104-100 OT
104
100
+4
no box
H26/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
80-93
80
93
-13
70avg 74
A29/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
20-19
20-20
19-22
15-22
24-30
18-15
19-26
24-18
17-23
19-21
15-29
18-16
16-24
20-18
18-31
12-18
29-19
21-20
20-20
20-19
31-17
15-24
7-21
19-28
14-12
24-20
23-27
24-18
21-19
17-19
19-22
36-21
27-29
15-21
14-21
23-23
18-27
18-28
21-15
167.2Avg total
80.0Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)87.085.8172.8+1.256%
Season at home (16)91.584.1175.6+7.481%
Season away (16)82.587.4169.9-4.931%
Last 10 (10)80.087.2167.2-7.230%
Last 5 (5)83.687.8171.4-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)80.082.8162.8-2.825%
vs Similar ◀ (12)83.685.2168.8-1.642%
vs Weaker (14)87.887.6175.4+0.257%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#9
L
83-95
83
95
-12
67avg 78
A22/03
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
79-81
79
81
-2
73avg 78
H26/03
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
69-71
69
71
-2
58avg 78
H02/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
76-72
76
72
+4
77avg 78
A08/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
70-76
70
76
-6
62avg 78
H11/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
89-91
89
91
-2
83avg 78
H15/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
102-86
102
86
+16
104avg 78
A18/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
92-86
92
86
+6
95avg 78
H21/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
81-68
81
68
+13
80avg 78
A24/04
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
87-80
87
80
+7
no box
H29/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
22-23
19-28
21-24
24-20
22-22
24-22
9-17
12-15
23-20
14-16
20-20
17-23
27-13
20-24
12-12
23-20
19-27
12-23
16-6
26-19
24-28
20-23
19-21
24-26
20-26
25-15
33-19
26-21
24-20
19-24
23-21
28-17
19-22
25-15
9-14
25-21
17-29
18-17
27-13
163.4Avg total
82.8Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)83.882.9166.8+0.947%
Season at home (17)83.182.5165.5+0.647%
Season away (15)84.783.4168.1+1.347%
Last 10 (10)82.880.6163.4+2.250%
Last 5 (5)90.282.2172.4+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.283.8161.0-6.717%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.881.8161.5-2.025%
vs Weaker (12)86.578.4164.9+8.175%
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -5.9-5.9Q4: +2.2+2.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -5.9-5.9Q4: +2.2+2.2
LudwigsburgChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H19/03
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A25/03
BBL
Bonn
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A29/03
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A02/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H08/04
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A12/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A15/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H22/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H26/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A29/04
BBL
85.0Avg total
42.6Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.041.485.4+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.740.186.8+6.780%-
Last 30 away (15)41.242.783.9-1.533%-
Last 10 (10)42.642.485.0+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)46.642.689.2+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.038.580.5+3.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.442.185.5+1.358%-
vs Weaker (14)45.041.686.6+3.464%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#9
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A22/03
BBL
Bonn
#1
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H26/03
BBL
Rostock
#8
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H02/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A08/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H11/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H15/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A18/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H21/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A24/04
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H29/04
BBL
87.5Avg total
44.3Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.642.685.2-0.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.143.186.3+0.047%-
Last 30 away (15)42.042.184.1-0.147%-
Last 10 (10)44.343.287.5+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)46.645.892.4+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.743.584.2-2.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.743.485.1-1.833%-
vs Weaker (12)44.441.385.8+3.167%-
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.318.4
52.1%
54.4%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.98.8
28.5%
35.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.513.5
77.1%
75.8%13.5
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.618.2
55.8%
54.4%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.2
30.9%
35.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws23.018.0
78.3%
75.8%18.0
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ludwigsburg
LWWLLWLLLL
Chemnitz
WWWWLLWLLL
#6
League position
#12
-10.1
Net rating
+3.5
102.0
Offensive rating
111.8
112.1
Defensive rating
108.3
47.7%
Effective FG%
51.3%
57.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
17.7%
Turnover %
17.5%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
33.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.37
28.5%
3-point %
30.9%
59.2%
Assist %
75.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.0 · 111.8Defence112.1 · 108.3Shooting47.7% · 51.3%3-point %28.5% · 30.9%Ball care17.7% · 17.5%Off. rebounds30.8% · 33.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Ludwigsburg   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ludwigsburg wins
3
Chemnitz wins
DateGameScore
08/01/23Chemnitz v Ludwigsburg89-80
12/02/22Chemnitz v Ludwigsburg74-56
05/11/21Ludwigsburg v Chemnitz74-76
09/03/21Ludwigsburg v Chemnitz96-60
22/12/20Chemnitz v Ludwigsburg91-114
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/23AOldenburg80-93
26/04/23HSyntainics MBC104-100 OT
22/04/23HWurzburg81-78
15/04/23AGottingen80-87
12/04/23ABamberg73-81
08/04/23HCrailsheim Merlins82-77
02/04/23ABayern72-89
29/03/23ABonn75-91
25/03/23AUlm76-93
19/03/23HAlba Berlin77-83
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/23HHamburg87-80
24/04/23AGottingen81-68
21/04/23HUlm92-86
18/04/23ABayreuth102-86
15/04/23HOldenburg89-91
11/04/23HAlba Berlin70-76
08/04/23ASyntainics MBC76-72
02/04/23HRostock69-71
26/03/23HBonn79-81
22/03/23ABamberg83-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ludwigsburg
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL56%
HomeWLWWW81%
AwayLLLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %56%81%31%
Points / game87.091.582.5
Allowed / game85.884.187.4
Point differential+1.2+7.4-4.9
Avg total172.8175.6169.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%38%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)86% (7)50% (2)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Chemnitz
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW47%
HomeLLLWW47%
AwayLLWWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %47%47%47%
Points / game83.883.184.7
Allowed / game82.982.583.4
Point differential+0.9+0.6+1.3
Avg total166.8165.5168.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%12%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (10)0% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn3331294%89.672.5+17.1
2 Alba Berlin3431391%88.376.9+11.4
3 Bayern3325876%82.075.0+7.0
4 Oldenburg33211264%86.483.3+3.1
5 Gottingen33191458%85.586.2-0.7
6 Ludwigsburg32181456%87.085.8+1.2
7 Ulm33181555%89.386.2+3.1
8 Chemnitz32151747%83.882.9+0.9
9 Heidelberg33151845%87.989.8-1.9
10 Rostock33151845%83.888.9-5.1
11 Wurzburg34151944%80.983.5-2.6
12 Bamberg33141942%87.288.3-1.2
13 Hamburg33122136%81.085.9-4.9
14 Crailsheim Merlins32112134%85.288.8-3.7
15 Basketball Braunschweig33112233%79.983.4-3.5
16 Syntainics MBC33102330%84.990.1-5.2
17 Frankfurt3292328%79.886.7-6.8
18 Bayreuth3362718%81.890.6-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ludwigsburg1920262186
Chemnitz2023211579
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