PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Ulm vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 90-85
31-24 20-18 13-16 26-27
Position#5
Record-
FormWWLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Ulm 🏆
Germany
vs
Chemnitz
Germany
Position#3
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
GermanyBBLRound 1· Ratiopharm Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Ulm v Chemnitz
10 Jan 2027
ULM v CHE
upcoming
14 Jan 2026
ULM88
CHE76
28 Sep 2025
ULM94
CHE81
06 Apr 2025
ULM117
CHE87
27 Sep 2023
ULM90
CHE85
05 Nov 2022
ULM93
CHE99
22 Jan 2022
ULM77
CHE68
24 Jan 2021
ULM102
CHE63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
68avg 79
H17/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
93-81
93
81
+12
91avg 79
A19/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
83-81
83
81
+2
73avg 79
H24/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
87-69
87
69
+18
81avg 79
A28/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
93-88
93
88
+5
83avg 79
A30/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
104-102 OT
104
102
+2
no box
H02/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
W
79-73
79
73
+6
71avg 79
A09/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
75-104
75
104
-29
69avg 79
A11/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
W
112-84
112
84
+28
114avg 79
H14/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
W
74-70
74
70
+4
68avg 79
H16/06
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
27-18
14-29
16-23
20-27
33-19
22-23
18-12
26-22
24-29
18-16
15-14
18-20
24-21
23-17
22-11
27-20
17-19
27-17
22-32
29-22
17-21
28-19
18-30
20-20
22-15
13-17
24-21
16-26
13-19
15-30
31-29
26-18
27-12
27-25
32-29
21-23
22-18
8-18
23-11
172.0Avg total
87.7Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)87.784.3172.0+3.480%
Last 5 (5)88.886.6175.4+2.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)83.182.8165.8+0.350%
vs Similar ◀ (8)88.882.1170.9+6.688%
vs Weaker (10)96.787.4184.1+9.370%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#5
L
89-91
89
91
-2
83avg 78
H15/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
102-86
102
86
+16
104avg 78
A18/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
92-86
92
86
+6
95avg 78
H21/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
81-68
81
68
+13
80avg 78
A24/04
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
87-80
87
80
+7
no box
H29/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
79-86
79
86
-7
74avg 78
A05/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
81-74
81
74
+7
74avg 78
A07/05
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
63-94
63
94
-31
47avg 78
A17/05
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
78-95
78
95
-17
66avg 78
A19/05
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
83-89
83
89
-6
79avg 78
H22/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
24-28
20-23
19-21
24-26
20-26
25-15
33-19
26-21
24-20
19-24
23-21
28-17
19-22
25-15
9-14
25-21
17-29
18-17
27-13
20-19
23-20
21-26
15-21
20-22
16-18
18-14
27-20
11-22
22-16
15-39
15-17
20-24
20-25
15-22
23-24
25-26
17-28
23-19
18-16
168.4Avg total
83.5Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.584.9168.4-1.450%
Last 5 (5)76.887.6164.4-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.887.6164.4-10.912%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.281.2161.5-1.033%
vs Weaker (10)86.777.0163.7+9.780%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +2.3+2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +2.3+2.3
UlmChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H17/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A19/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H24/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A28/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A30/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H02/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A09/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A11/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H14/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H16/06
BBL
85.9Avg total
44.9Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.041.685.7+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.641.888.3+4.862%-
Last 30 away (14)41.141.582.6-0.457%-
Last 10 (10)44.941.085.9+3.980%-
Last 5 (5)42.638.881.4+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)42.041.283.2+0.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)43.140.683.8+2.562%-
vs Weaker (10)47.243.090.2+4.270%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#5
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H15/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A18/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H21/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A24/04
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H29/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A05/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A07/05
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A17/05
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A19/05
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H22/05
BBL
87.6Avg total
42.7Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.742.885.5-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.043.586.5-0.546%-
Last 30 away (17)42.542.384.8+0.247%-
Last 10 (10)42.744.987.6-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.844.082.8-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.245.486.6-4.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.842.885.7+0.042%-
vs Weaker (10)43.840.784.5+3.170%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.615.6
56.5%
54.6%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.012.3
35.1%
35.4%36.9
🏀 Free throws22.617.0
75.2%
76.0%17.0
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 56% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.018.1
54.8%
54.6%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.68.7
31.5%
35.4%26.1
🏀 Free throws26.120.0
76.6%
76.0%20.0
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Sep 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WWLWWWWWWL
Chemnitz
LLLWLWWWWL
#5
League position
#3
+7.0
Net rating
-2.4
114.5
Offensive rating
111.8
107.5
Defensive rating
114.2
54.4%
Effective FG%
51.4%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
16.6%
Turnover %
17.7%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
33.6%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.43
35.1%
3-point %
31.5%
72.8%
Assist %
75.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.5 · 111.8Defence107.5 · 114.2Shooting54.4% · 51.4%3-point %35.1% · 31.5%Ball care16.6% · 17.7%Off. rebounds28.3% · 33.6%Free throws0.36 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Ulm   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Ulm wins
3
Chemnitz wins
DateGameScore
21/04/23Chemnitz v Ulm92-86
05/11/22Ulm v Chemnitz93-99 OT
22/01/22Ulm v Chemnitz77-68
24/10/21Chemnitz v Ulm78-81
02/10/21Chemnitz v Ulm87-85
02/05/21Chemnitz v Ulm70-85
24/01/21Ulm v Chemnitz102-63
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/06/23HBonn74-70
14/06/23HBonn112-84
11/06/23ABonn75-104
09/06/23ABonn79-73
02/06/23HBayern104-102 OT
30/05/23ABayern93-88
28/05/23ABayern87-69
24/05/23HAlba Berlin83-81
19/05/23AAlba Berlin93-81
17/05/23HAlba Berlin77-91
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/05/23HBonn83-89
19/05/23ABonn78-95
17/05/23ABonn63-94
07/05/23AHeidelberg81-74
05/05/23ALudwigsburg79-86
29/04/23HHamburg87-80
24/04/23AGottingen81-68
21/04/23HUlm92-86
18/04/23ABayreuth102-86
15/04/23HOldenburg89-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Chemnitz
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm3120132690
Chemnitz2418162785
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.