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Cherno More vs Lok. Plovdiv Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 107-91
32-25 25-22 17-23 33-21
Position#3
Record7-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game82.2
Cherno More 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
Lok. Plovdiv
Bulgaria
Position#4
Record7-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game77.7
BulgariaNBLRound 12· DKS - Varna
Other2025-26
Meetings · Cherno More v Lok. Plovdiv
13 Feb 2027
CHER v LOK.
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
CHER79
LOK.76
20 Dec 2025
CHER107
LOK.91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cherno More winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lok. Plovdiv winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cherno MoreBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMore
Date
Competition
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
86-77
86
77
+9
80avg 82
A06/10
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
W
82-66
82
66
+16
74avg 82
H11/10
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
84-96
84
96
-12
80avg 82
A20/10
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
W
91-85
91
85
+6
81avg 82
H26/10
NBL
Levski
#10
W
89-76
89
76
+13
89avg 82
A30/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
81-90
81
90
-9
65avg 82
H08/11
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
82-85
82
85
-3
84avg 82
A16/11
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
94-83
94
83
+11
89avg 82
H19/11
NBL
Beroe
#8
W
96-90 OT
96
90
+6
no box
H22/11
NBL
Shumen
#11
W
107-74
107
74
+33
108avg 82
H12/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
21-21
25-23
23-15
13-13
14-15
29-24
26-14
22-22
19-25
27-18
16-31
29-16
20-30
18-20
24-19
32-10
26-20
23-25
8-21
22-22
22-22
22-18
15-28
14-19
23-24
21-21
24-21
30-25
14-25
23-15
27-18
13-16
27-28
18-24
23-13
26-23
27-14
28-15
26-22
171.4Avg total
89.2Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)89.282.2171.4+7.070%
Season at home (6)91.881.3173.2+10.583%
Season away (4)85.283.5168.8+1.850%
Last 10 (10)89.282.2171.4+7.070%
Last 5 (5)92.084.4176.4+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.886.0164.8-7.217%
vs Similar ◀ (8)85.982.0167.9+3.975%
vs Weaker (14)90.979.6170.6+11.393%
This opponent (Lok. Plovdiv) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lok. PlovdivBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPlovdiv
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#3
L
77-86
77
86
-9
70avg 76
H06/10
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
80-83
80
83
-3
70avg 76
A11/10
NBL
Shumen
#11
W
96-59
96
59
+37
97avg 76
H18/10
NBL
Beroe
#8
W
89-86
89
86
+3
68avg 76
A27/10
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
L
73-79
73
79
-6
61avg 76
A09/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
78-74
78
74
+4
72avg 76
A15/11
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
W
98-93 OT
98
93
+5
88avg 76
H19/11
NBL
Levski
#10
W
82-70
82
70
+12
82avg 76
A24/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
91-75
91
75
+16
no box
H03/12
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
88-72
88
72
+16
81avg 76
H15/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
21-21
23-25
15-23
14-17
17-29
26-23
23-14
31-10
20-23
22-8
23-18
14-21
24-26
29-18
22-21
20-14
15-24
19-24
19-17
15-15
30-28
15-11
18-20
26-28
12-12
30-32
19-15
21-16
18-18
25-22
18-14
18-26
23-18
25-16
25-15
31-18
20-25
20-16
17-13
162.9Avg total
85.2Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)85.277.7162.9+7.570%
Season at home (5)90.077.0167.0+13.080%
Season away (5)80.478.4158.8+2.060%
Last 10 (10)85.277.7162.9+7.570%
Last 5 (5)87.476.8164.2+10.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)79.078.5157.5+0.550%
vs Similar ◀ (1)77.086.0163.0-9.00%
vs Weaker (7)88.176.3164.4+11.986%
This opponent (Cherno More) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +2.9+2.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +2.9+2.9
Cherno MoreLok. Plovdiv
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cherno MoreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A06/10
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H11/10
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A20/10
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H26/10
NBL
Levski
#10
W
58-30
58
30
+28
A30/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H08/11
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A16/11
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H19/11
NBL
Beroe
#8
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H22/11
NBL
Shumen
#11
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H12/12
NBL
83.9Avg total
43.1Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.183.0+2.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.540.984.4+2.650%-
Last 30 away (14)42.139.281.4+2.950%-
Last 10 (10)43.140.883.9+2.330%-
Last 5 (5)43.643.687.2+0.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.043.781.7-5.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)44.140.884.9+3.450%-
vs Weaker (14)44.538.182.6+6.457%-
This opponent (Lok. Plovdiv) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lok. PlovdivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H06/10
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A11/10
NBL
Shumen
#11
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H18/10
NBL
Beroe
#8
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A27/10
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A09/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A15/11
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H19/11
NBL
Levski
#10
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A24/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H03/12
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H15/12
NBL
81.4Avg total
40.8Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (10)40.840.681.4+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (5)44.039.683.6+4.460%-
Last 30 away (5)37.641.679.2-4.040%-
Last 10 (10)40.840.681.4+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)42.840.883.6+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.044.582.5-6.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)39.038.077.0+1.0100%-
vs Weaker (7)41.939.981.7+2.043%-
This opponent (Cherno More) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cherno Moretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cherno More: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
29%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.518.8
54.5%
54.5%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.610.3
36.0%
32.5%30.9
🏀 Free throws22.016.1
73.2%
71.3%16.1
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lok. Plovdivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lok. Plovdiv: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
29%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.821.1
54.4%
54.5%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.0
29.9%
32.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws22.217.2
77.5%
71.3%17.2
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cherno More
WWWLLWWLWW
Lok. Plovdiv
WWWWWLWWLL
#3
League position
#4
+10.2
Net rating
+8.2
115.3
Offensive rating
107.6
105.1
Defensive rating
99.5
54.3%
Effective FG%
50.5%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
45.4%
16.1%
Turnover %
14.9%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
26.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.0%
3-point %
29.9%
71.5%
Assist %
62.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence115.3 · 107.6Defence105.1 · 99.5Shooting54.3% · 50.5%3-point %36.0% · 29.9%Ball care16.1% · 14.9%Off. rebounds32.6% · 26.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Cherno More   ■ Lok. Plovdiv
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cherno More wins
0
Lok. Plovdiv wins
DateGameScore
06/10/25Lok. Plovdiv v Cherno More77-86
Cherno Morelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/25HShumen107-74
22/11/25HBeroe96-90 OT
19/11/25HMinyor94-83
16/11/25ABalkan82-85
08/11/25HSpartak Pleven81-90
30/10/25ALevski89-76
26/10/25HAcademic Plovdiv91-85
20/10/25ARilski Sportist84-96
11/10/25HBotev 201282-66
06/10/25ALok. Plovdiv86-77
Lok. Plovdivlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/25HMinyor88-72
03/12/25HSpartak Pleven91-75
24/11/25ALevski82-70
19/11/25HAcademic Plovdiv98-93 OT
15/11/25ARilski Sportist78-74
09/11/25ABotev 201273-79
27/10/25ABeroe89-86
18/10/25HShumen96-59
11/10/25ABalkan80-83
06/10/25HCherno More77-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cherno More
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW70%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %70%83%50%
Points / game89.291.885.2
Allowed / game82.281.383.5
Point differential+7.0+10.5+1.8
Avg total171.4173.2168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %10%17%0%
Lok. Plovdiv
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW70%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%80%60%
Points / game85.290.080.4
Allowed / game77.777.078.4
Point differential+7.5+13.0+2.0
Avg total162.9167.0158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Balkan109190%89.170.6+18.5
2 Rilski Sportist119282%90.576.0+14.5
3 Lok. Plovdiv107370%85.277.7+7.5
4 Cherno More107370%89.282.2+7.0
5 Spartak Pleven106460%82.779.6+3.1
6 Beroe115645%82.085.7-3.7
7 Botev 2012115645%76.580.2-3.7
8 Minyor115645%83.588.5-5.0
9 Academic Plovdiv103730%79.683.5-3.9
10 Levski101910%71.886.6-14.8
11 Shumen100100%74.994.6-19.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cherno More32251733107
Lok. Plovdiv2522232191
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