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Balkan vs Lok. Plovdiv Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 83-80
17-14 29-17 23-26 14-23
Position#1
Record1-0
FormWWLLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game66.0
Balkan 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
Lok. Plovdiv
Bulgaria
Position#4
Record0-1
FormL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game86.0
BulgariaNBLRound 2· Arena Botevgrad
Other2025-26
Meetings · Balkan v Lok. Plovdiv
13 Nov 2026
BAL v LOK.
upcoming
05 Jun 2026
BAL81
LOK.80
27 May 2026
BAL94
LOK.89
25 May 2026
BAL88
LOK.73
14 Mar 2026
BAL82
LOK.90
11 Oct 2025
BAL83
LOK.80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Balkan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lok. Plovdiv winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BalkanBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBalkan
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#3
L
72-82
72
82
-10
61avg 76
H08/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
94-86
94
86
+8
86avg 76
H10/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
78-86
78
86
-8
64avg 76
A13/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
78-80
78
80
-2
63avg 76
A15/05
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
L
76-88
76
88
-12
62avg 76
H23/05
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
W
100-98
100
98
+2
98avg 76
A25/05
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
W
95-69
95
69
+26
100avg 76
H28/05
NBL
Vechta
#8
L
63-79
63
79
-16
53avg 76
A24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Vechta
#8
L
79-86
79
86
-7
66avg 76
H01/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Academic Plovdiv
#9
W
87-66
87
66
+21
85avg 76
H05/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-30
12-18
17-21
18-13
25-18
24-20
20-24
25-24
20-19
19-25
16-10
23-32
17-28
26-15
17-25
18-12
19-27
16-18
18-20
23-23
28-27
25-16
20-29
27-26
23-20
25-17
25-18
22-14
14-18
18-10
19-33
12-18
20-14
13-27
20-23
26-22
28-12
23-17
17-17
19-20
164.2Avg total
82.2Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)87.066.0153.0+21.0100%
Season at home (1)87.066.0153.0+21.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.282.0164.2+0.240%
Last 5 (5)84.879.6164.4+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.892.0168.8-15.20%
vs Similar (11)84.384.2168.5+0.145%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)85.672.9158.5+12.886%
This opponent (Lok. Plovdiv) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lok. PlovdivBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPlovdiv
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#3
L
77-86
77
86
-9
70avg 70
H06/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
21-21
23-25
15-23
163.0Avg total
77.0Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)77.086.0163.0-9.00%
Season at home (1)77.086.0163.0-9.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (1)77.086.0163.0-9.00%
Last 5 (1)77.086.0163.0-9.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (1)77.086.0163.0-9.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Balkan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -8.0-8.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -8.0-8.0
BalkanLok. Plovdiv
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#3
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H08/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H10/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A13/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A15/05
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H23/05
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A25/05
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H28/05
NBL
Vechta
#8
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Vechta
#8
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H01/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Academic Plovdiv
#9
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H05/10
NBL
81.6Avg total
42.0Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.042.285.3+0.852%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.440.582.8+1.959%-
Last 30 away (12)44.044.888.8-0.842%-
Last 10 (10)42.039.681.6+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)43.435.679.0+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.244.082.2-5.825%-
vs Similar (11)42.643.085.6-0.445%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.741.285.8+3.562%-
This opponent (Lok. Plovdiv) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lok. PlovdivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H06/10
NBL
77.0Avg total
39.0Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (1)39.038.077.0+1.0100%-
Last 30 at home (1)39.038.077.0+1.0100%-
Last 30 awayno games
Last 10 (1)39.038.077.0+1.0100%-
Last 5 (1)39.038.077.0+1.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (1)39.038.077.0+1.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Balkan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
29%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.317.6
49.9%
54.5%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.510.1
32.1%
32.5%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.216.0
79.2%
71.3%16.0
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lok. Plovdivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lok. Plovdiv: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.0 pts a game · 9% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
29%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.023.0
69.7%
54.5%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.08.0
25.0%
32.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws11.07.0
63.6%
71.3%7.0
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/1 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Balkan
WLLWWLLLWL
Lok. Plovdiv
L
#1
League position
#4
+0.9
Net rating
-9.1
108.6
Offensive rating
99.9
107.7
Defensive rating
109.0
49.0%
Effective FG%
53.8%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
14.1%
Turnover %
16.9%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
17.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.17
32.1%
3-point %
25.0%
64.3%
Assist %
54.8%
40%
Form (last 10/1)
1%

Profile

Offence108.6 · 99.9Defence107.7 · 109.0Shooting49.0% · 53.8%3-point %32.1% · 25.0%Ball care14.1% · 16.9%Off. rebounds28.3% · 17.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.17Form (last 10/1)40% · 0%
■ Balkan   ■ Lok. Plovdiv
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Balkan wins
0
Lok. Plovdiv wins
No previous meetings.
Balkanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/25HAcademic Plovdiv87-66
01/10/25HVechta79-86
24/09/25AVechta63-79
28/05/25HSpartak Pleven95-69
25/05/25ASpartak Pleven100-98
23/05/25HSpartak Pleven76-88
15/05/25ACherno More78-80
13/05/25ACherno More78-86
10/05/25HCherno More94-86
08/05/25HCherno More72-82
Lok. Plovdivlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/25HCherno More77-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Balkan
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game87.087.0-
Allowed / game66.066.0-
Point differential+21.0+21.0-
Avg total153.0153.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Lok. Plovdiv
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 1 Losses (last 1)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game77.077.0-
Allowed / game86.086.0-
Point differential-9.0-9.0-
Avg total163.0163.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Balkan110100%87.066.0+21.0
2 Spartak Pleven110100%81.066.0+15.0
3 Rilski Sportist110100%89.077.0+12.0
4 Cherno More110100%86.077.0+9.0
5 Beroe110100%90.086.0+4.0
6 Botev 20121010%86.090.0-4.0
7 Lok. Plovdiv1010%77.086.0-9.0
8 Minyor1010%77.089.0-12.0
9 Levski1010%66.081.0-15.0
10 Academic Plovdiv1010%66.087.0-21.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Balkan1729231483
Lok. Plovdiv1417262380
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