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Cherno More vs Lok. Plovdiv Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 13 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#6
Record4-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game71.7
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.3/10
Around normal
4.9/10
Around normal
Position#5
Record4-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game78.0
BulgariaNBLRound 18· DKS - Varna
Other2026-27
Meetings · Cherno More v Lok. Plovdiv
13 Feb 2027
CHER v LOK.
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
CHER79
LOK.76
20 Dec 2025
CHER107
LOK.91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cherno More win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Lok. Plovdiv win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cherno MoreBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMore
Date
Competition
Balkan
#1
L
78-80
78
80
-2
62avg 81
A11/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
59-77
59
77
-18
48avg 81
H14/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
99-108
99
108
-9
93avg 81
A23/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
94-100
94
100
-6
84avg 81
H25/05
NBL
Levski
#12
W
93-76
93
76
+17
85avg 81
A12/10
NBL
Yambol
#13
W
87-61
87
61
+26
87avg 81
H18/10
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#11
W
95-62
95
62
+33
90avg 81
A24/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#7
L
74-80
74
80
-6
70avg 81
H31/10
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#5
L
69-85
69
85
-16
no box
A07/11
NBL
Polytechnica
#14
W
85-66
85
66
+19
no box
H14/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
27-19
19-14
18-20
14-19
14-16
20-13
11-29
22-33
28-25
29-28
20-22
22-25
17-26
23-26
32-23
25-18
18-19
24-22
26-17
19-12
28-19
20-19
20-11
18-20
23-13
25-13
29-16
20-16
20-24
17-16
17-24
18-24
14-22
15-19
22-20
20-10
21-28
25-15
19-13
162.8Avg total
83.3Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.871.7155.5+12.267%
Season at home (3)82.069.0151.0+13.067%
Season away (3)85.774.3160.0+11.367%
Last 10 (10)83.379.5162.8+3.840%
Last 5 (5)82.070.8152.8+11.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.678.8158.4+0.820%
vs Similar ◀ (5)82.890.0172.8-7.220%
vs Weaker (20)92.478.1170.5+14.380%
This opponent (Lok. Plovdiv) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lok. PlovdivBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPlovdiv
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#7
W
92-73
92
73
+19
85avg 82
A11/10
NBL
CSM Oradea
#15
W
79-69
79
69
+10
73avg 82
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#10
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
85avg 82
A17/10
NBL
Mykonos
#7
L
84-86
84
86
-2
67avg 82
A20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Polytechnica
#14
W
87-65
87
65
+22
83avg 82
H24/10
NBL
Fribourg Olympic
#46
W
95-83
95
83
+12
92avg 82
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rilski Sportist
#3
L
79-88
79
88
-9
66avg 82
A31/10
NBL
Neftchi IK
#38
W
76-72
76
72
+4
no box
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cherno More
#6
W
85-69
85
69
+16
no box
H07/11
NBL
VEF Riga
#12
L
83-85
83
85
-2
no box
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
23-19
29-18
19-21
17-20
26-18
20-15
16-16
24-21
15-19
26-28
22-19
16-14
20-21
24-25
24-26
22-24
22-11
18-20
25-10
24-11
21-20
24-26
26-26
14-25
25-20
17-20
23-23
13-19
23-11
14-23
26-19
24-18
22-14
19-15
20-22
24-20
28-22
17-22
14-21
164.3Avg total
85.8Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)88.278.0166.2+10.280%
Season at home (2)86.067.0153.0+19.0100%
Season away (3)89.785.3175.0+4.367%
Last 10 (10)85.878.5164.3+7.370%
Last 5 (5)83.679.4163.0+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)84.587.5172.0-3.038%
vs Similar ◀ (2)88.571.0159.5+17.5100%
vs Weaker (12)90.279.1169.3+11.292%
This opponent (Cherno More) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.2+1.2
Cherno MoreLok. Plovdiv
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cherno MoreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Balkan
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A11/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H14/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A23/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H25/05
NBL
Levski
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A12/10
NBL
Yambol
#13
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H18/10
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A24/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#7
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H31/10
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#5
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A07/11
NBL
Polytechnica
#14
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H14/11
NBL
81.7Avg total
40.2Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.983.9+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.939.784.6+5.264%-
Last 30 away (16)41.242.083.2-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)40.241.581.7-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)40.237.677.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.241.279.4-3.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)38.847.085.8-8.20%-
vs Weaker (20)45.139.484.5+5.875%-
This opponent (Lok. Plovdiv) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lok. PlovdivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#7
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A11/10
NBL
CSM Oradea
#15
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#10
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A17/10
NBL
Mykonos
#7
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Polytechnica
#14
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H24/10
NBL
Fribourg Olympic
#46
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rilski Sportist
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A31/10
NBL
Neftchi IK
#38
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cherno More
#6
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H07/11
NBL
VEF Riga
#12
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
78.6Avg total
42.4Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.540.785.2+3.870%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.838.584.2+7.288%-
Last 30 away (14)43.143.286.3-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)42.436.278.6+6.280%-
Last 5 (5)43.636.079.6+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)43.642.485.9+1.262%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)45.033.078.0+12.0100%-
vs Weaker (12)45.739.885.4+5.975%-
This opponent (Cherno More) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cherno Moretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cherno More: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.621.9
56.7%
55.5%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.0
31.2%
29.8%27.0
🏀 Free throws23.215.4
66.4%
71.2%15.4
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lok. Plovdivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lok. Plovdiv: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.7
54.6%
55.5%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.4
31.5%
29.8%25.2
🏀 Free throws22.617.4
77.0%
71.2%17.4
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cherno More
WLLWWWLLLL
Lok. Plovdiv
LWWLWWLWWW
#6
League position
#5
+6.3
Net rating
+6.2
100.0
Offensive rating
96.7
93.8
Defensive rating
90.5
52.5%
Effective FG%
51.5%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
13.4%
Turnover %
13.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.35
31.2%
3-point %
31.5%
56.0%
Assist %
58.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.0 · 96.7Defence93.8 · 90.5Shooting52.5% · 51.5%3-point %31.2% · 31.5%Ball care13.4% · 13.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Cherno More   ■ Lok. Plovdiv
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Cherno More wins
1
Lok. Plovdiv wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HPolytechnica85-66
07/11/26ALok. Plovdiv69-85
31/10/26HSpartak Pleven74-80
24/10/26ACSKA Sofia95-62
18/10/26HYambol87-61
12/10/26ALevski93-76
25/05/26HRilski Sportist94-100
23/05/26ARilski Sportist99-108
14/05/26HBalkan59-77
11/05/26ABalkan78-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HVEF Riga83-85
07/11/26HCherno More85-69
04/11/26HNeftchi IK76-72
31/10/26ARilski Sportist79-88
28/10/26HFribourg Olympic95-83
24/10/26HPolytechnica87-65
20/10/26AMykonos84-86
17/10/26ABeroe98-95 OT
14/10/26HCSM Oradea79-69
11/10/26ASpartak Pleven92-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cherno More
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game83.882.085.7
Allowed / game71.769.074.3
Point differential+12.2+13.0+11.3
Avg total155.5151.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lok. Plovdiv
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game88.286.089.7
Allowed / game78.067.085.3
Point differential+10.2+19.0+4.3
Avg total166.2153.0175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Balkan550100%89.471.6+17.8
2 Minyor660100%106.790.8+15.8
3 Rilski Sportist65183%90.874.3+16.5
4 Botev Academic65183%90.381.0+9.3
5 Lok. Plovdiv54180%88.278.0+10.2
6 Cherno More64267%83.871.7+12.2
7 Spartak Pleven64267%81.575.2+6.3
8 Shumen64267%89.588.0+1.5
9 Botev 201262433%79.890.2-10.3
10 Beroe61517%90.787.8+2.8
11 CSKA Sofia61517%77.596.7-19.2
12 Levski6060%79.292.7-13.5
13 Yambol6060%74.094.2-20.2
14 Polytechnica6060%70.094.7-24.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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