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Chernomorets vs Levski Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 29 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 73-59
21-16 23-13 10-18 19-12
Position#2
Record25-7
FormWWWLL
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game75.8
Chernomorets 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
Levski
Bulgaria
Position#7
Record14-18
FormWWLWW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game77.5
BulgariaNBLNBL - Quarter-finals· Boycho Branzov
Other2023-24
Meetings · Chernomorets v Levski
29 Apr 2024
CHER73
LEV59
09 Dec 2023
CHER84
LEV72
22 Mar 2023
CHER73
LEV77
03 Nov 2022
CHER70
LEV81
07 Mar 2022
CHER69
LEV96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chernomorets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Levski winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChernomoretsBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChernomorets
Date
Competition
CSKA Sofia
#8
W
92-66
92
66
+26
90avg 80
H15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Rilski Sportist
#3
W
75-73
75
73
+2
73avg 80
H16/03
Bulgarian Cup
Spartak Pleven
#2
W
86-62
86
62
+24
82avg 80
A17/03
Bulgarian Cup
Balkan
#4
W
95-71
95
71
+24
92avg 80
A25/03
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
87-80
87
80
+7
84avg 80
H01/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
88-87
88
87
+1
78avg 80
H07/04
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
89-59
89
59
+30
94avg 80
H10/04
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
94-78
94
78
+16
97avg 80
A13/04
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
89-90
89
90
-1
86avg 80
H19/04
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
76-81
76
81
-5
67avg 80
A23/04
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-19
22-12
27-12
31-23
20-22
17-8
17-19
21-24
22-9
16-11
23-13
25-29
22-18
30-14
20-24
23-15
25-27
29-23
14-14
19-16
17-19
20-24
22-20
29-24
26-16
21-18
17-13
25-12
22-20
23-20
26-21
23-17
33-25
27-20
12-26
17-19
15-23
24-14
17-20
20-24
161.8Avg total
87.1Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)85.375.8161.2+9.578%
Season at home (16)87.475.0162.4+12.494%
Season away (16)83.276.7159.9+6.662%
Last 10 (10)87.174.7161.8+12.480%
Last 5 (5)87.279.0166.2+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)81.277.8159.0+3.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)86.176.2162.3+9.983%
This opponent (Levski) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LevskiBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLevski
Date
Competition
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
91-82
91
82
+9
88avg 69
A02/03
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
90-59
90
59
+31
92avg 69
H06/03
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
68-79
68
79
-11
53avg 69
H09/03
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
80-79
80
79
+1
68avg 69
A23/03
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
72-71
72
71
+1
67avg 69
A29/03
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
81-73
81
73
+8
78avg 69
H04/04
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
115-70
115
70
+45
125avg 69
A10/04
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
67-89
67
89
-22
52avg 69
A13/04
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
88-79
88
79
+9
92avg 69
H19/04
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
84-83 OT
84
83
+1
75avg 69
H23/04
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
25-25
24-20
21-15
23-16
23-4
25-19
19-20
16-24
21-23
20-12
11-20
11-17
24-17
26-18
19-27
12-17
24-11
16-21
20-22
18-14
19-20
17-20
27-19
25-22
30-18
29-18
31-12
15-26
17-23
11-22
24-18
22-19
20-19
19-23
27-18
19-28
22-21
20-14
15-13
160.0Avg total
83.6Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)76.277.5153.7-1.444%
Season at home (16)75.577.6153.1-2.138%
Season away (16)76.877.5154.3-0.750%
Last 10 (10)83.676.4160.0+7.280%
Last 5 (5)87.078.8165.8+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)72.184.0156.1-11.90%
vs Similar (18)74.278.4152.6-4.250%
vs Weaker (5)86.670.4157.0+16.260%
This opponent (Chernomorets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +6.5+6.5Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +3.0+3.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +6.5+6.5Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +3.0+3.0
ChernomoretsLevski
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChernomoretsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Sofia
#8
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Rilski Sportist
#3
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H16/03
Bulgarian Cup
Spartak Pleven
#2
W
38-20
38
20
+18
A17/03
Bulgarian Cup
Balkan
#4
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A25/03
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H01/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H07/04
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H10/04
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A13/04
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H19/04
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A23/04
NBL
80.5Avg total
44.3Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.037.379.3+4.770%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.337.180.4+6.373%-
Last 30 away (15)40.737.678.3+3.167%-
Last 10 (10)44.336.280.5+8.190%-
Last 5 (5)45.639.885.4+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)40.038.778.7+1.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)42.937.380.1+5.670%-
This opponent (Levski) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LevskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A02/03
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
46-20
46
20
+26
H06/03
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H09/03
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A23/03
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A29/03
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H04/04
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A10/04
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A13/04
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H19/04
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H23/04
NBL
79.3Avg total
40.7Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.238.977.1-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.539.378.7+0.247%-
Last 30 away (15)36.938.575.5-1.640%-
Last 10 (10)40.738.679.3+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)41.442.083.4-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)39.144.083.1-4.914%-
vs Similar (18)36.138.474.6-2.339%-
vs Weaker (5)44.433.477.8+11.0100%-
This opponent (Chernomorets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chernomoretstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chernomorets: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.121.7
61.8%
54.3%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.5
33.5%
31.3%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.914.4
72.4%
71.1%14.4
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Levskitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Levski: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.421.9
52.9%
54.3%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.87.8
29.1%
31.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws23.115.4
66.7%
71.1%15.4
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chernomorets
LLWWWWWWWW
Levski
WWLWWWWLWW
#2
League position
#7
+16.4
Net rating
+8.7
112.2
Offensive rating
105.4
95.8
Defensive rating
96.7
56.6%
Effective FG%
49.3%
47.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
18.6%
Turnover %
15.9%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.5%
3-point %
29.1%
66.3%
Assist %
82.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence112.2 · 105.4Defence95.8 · 96.7Shooting56.6% · 49.3%3-point %33.5% · 29.1%Ball care18.6% · 15.9%Off. rebounds29.1% · 29.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Chernomorets   ■ Levski
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Chernomorets wins
6
Levski wins
DateGameScore
16/02/24Levski v Chernomorets79-90
09/12/23Chernomorets v Levski84-72
01/04/23Levski v Chernomorets94-104
22/03/23Chernomorets v Levski73-77
18/01/23Levski v Chernomorets80-70
03/11/22Chernomorets v Levski70-81
19/03/22Levski v Chernomorets80-69
07/03/22Chernomorets v Levski69-96
25/10/21Levski v Chernomorets77-57
Chernomoretslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/24ASpartak Pleven76-81
19/04/24HBalkan89-90
13/04/24ACSKA Sofia94-78
10/04/24HCherno More89-59
07/04/24HRilski Sportist88-87
01/04/24HSpartak Pleven87-80
25/03/24ABalkan95-71
17/03/24ASpartak Pleven86-62
16/03/24HRilski Sportist75-73
15/03/24HCSKA Sofia92-66
Levskilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/24HMinyor84-83 OT
19/04/24HYambol88-79
13/04/24AShumen67-89
10/04/24ABeroe115-70
04/04/24HAcademic Plovdiv81-73
29/03/24AMinyor72-71
23/03/24AYambol80-79
09/03/24HShumen68-79
06/03/24HBeroe90-59
02/03/24AAcademic Plovdiv91-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chernomorets
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL78%
HomeWWWWL94%
AwayLLWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %78%94%62%
Points / game85.387.483.2
Allowed / game75.875.076.7
Point differential+9.5+12.4+6.6
Avg total161.2162.4159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%50%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)67% (3)43% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Levski
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW44%
HomeWLWWW38%
AwayWWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %44%38%50%
Points / game76.275.576.8
Allowed / game77.577.677.5
Point differential-1.4-2.1-0.7
Avg total153.7153.1154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%12%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)33% (6)80% (5)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets3225778%85.375.8+9.5
2 Rilski Sportist3224875%85.175.6+9.5
3 Spartak Pleven3223972%87.179.0+8.1
4 Balkan32211166%81.878.4+3.4
5 Shumen32151747%85.882.3+3.5
6 CSKA Sofia32151747%83.882.9+0.9
7 Levski32141844%76.277.5-1.4
8 Academic Plovdiv32131941%81.984.4-2.5
9 Yambol32122038%79.584.7-5.2
10 Minyor32112134%77.481.5-4.1
11 Cherno More32112134%81.489.1-7.7
12 Beroe3282425%80.594.6-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chernomorets2123101973
Levski1613181259
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