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Chernomorets vs CSKA Sofia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 92-66
12-19 22-12 27-12 31-23
Position#1
Record-
FormWWLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Chernomorets 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
CSKA Sofia
Bulgaria
Position#8
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
BulgariaBulgarian CupBulgarian Cup - Quarter-finals· Arena Burgas
Other2024
Meetings · Chernomorets v CSKA Sofia
15 Mar 2024
CHER92
CSKA66
09 Mar 2024
CHER78
CSKA68
26 Nov 2023
CHER95
CSKA82
04 Feb 2023
CHER100
CSKA84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chernomorets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Sofia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChernomoretsBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChernomorets
Date
Competition
Yambol
#9
W
100-66
100
66
+34
95avg 78
A14/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
83-76
83
76
+7
71avg 78
H17/01
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
77-85
77
85
-8
63avg 78
A20/01
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
84-79
84
79
+5
76avg 78
A28/01
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
93-85
93
85
+8
94avg 78
H03/02
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
85-83
85
83
+2
80avg 78
H10/02
NBL
Levski
#7
W
90-79
90
79
+11
89avg 78
A16/02
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
78-80
78
80
-2
68avg 78
A03/03
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
81-89
81
89
-8
68avg 78
A06/03
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
78-68
78
68
+10
72avg 78
H09/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
20-12
36-13
18-18
22-14
13-22
24-25
24-15
23-19
13-24
16-19
25-23
17-24
23-17
22-20
22-18
23-26
23-17
27-22
20-20
19-21
18-18
28-17
20-27
19-21
30-25
21-11
20-22
25-20
18-18
16-17
19-25
26-15
20-28
18-30
17-16
20-18
18-19
29-12
11-19
163.9Avg total
84.9Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.979.0163.9+5.970%
Last 5 (5)82.479.8162.2+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)80.590.5171.0-10.025%
vs Similar (6)78.875.8154.7+3.050%
vs Weaker (20)86.276.1162.3+10.285%
CSKA SofiaBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSofia
Date
Competition
Levski
#7
W
81-67
81
67
+14
74avg 79
H08/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
84-91
84
91
-7
74avg 79
A14/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
85-86
85
86
-1
87avg 79
H17/01
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
79-84
79
84
-5
74avg 79
H28/01
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
82-86
82
86
-4
72avg 79
A03/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
76-80
76
80
-4
69avg 79
A07/02
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
78-88
78
88
-10
71avg 79
H12/02
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
98-92
98
92
+6
94avg 79
A16/02
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
84-92
84
92
-8
79avg 79
A06/03
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
68-78
68
78
-10
60avg 79
A09/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
20-15
21-15
22-20
20-30
17-26
24-22
23-13
31-21
14-20
20-20
20-25
24-17
17-23
20-22
18-22
24-24
15-19
15-26
28-17
16-24
16-21
24-15
20-20
25-24
16-25
19-14
18-25
30-20
22-29
22-23
24-20
23-20
21-28
18-27
22-17
18-20
19-18
12-29
19-11
165.9Avg total
81.5Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.584.4165.9-2.920%
Last 5 (5)80.886.0166.8-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)80.282.3162.5-2.129%
vs Similar (8)86.476.9163.2+9.575%
vs Weaker (8)88.878.9167.6+9.975%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +2.4+2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +2.4+2.4
ChernomoretsCSKA Sofia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChernomoretsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yambol
#9
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A14/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H17/01
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A20/01
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A28/01
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H03/02
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H10/02
NBL
Levski
#7
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A16/02
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A03/03
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A06/03
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H09/03
NBL
81.7Avg total
41.6Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.138.079.0+3.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.235.979.1+7.464%-
Last 30 away (16)39.239.879.0-0.644%-
Last 10 (10)41.640.181.7+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)42.640.683.2+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.043.280.2-6.20%-
vs Similar (6)38.738.276.8+0.550%-
vs Weaker (20)42.636.979.5+5.865%-
CSKA SofiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Levski
#7
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H08/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
37-56
37
56
-19
A14/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H17/01
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H28/01
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A03/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A07/02
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H12/02
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A16/02
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A06/03
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A09/03
NBL
84.7Avg total
40.6Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.540.582.0+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.040.183.1+2.964%-
Last 30 away (16)40.140.880.9-0.738%-
Last 10 (10)40.644.184.7-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)41.245.887.0-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.840.680.4-0.943%-
vs Similar (8)42.039.481.4+2.650%-
vs Weaker (8)43.941.485.2+2.562%-
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chernomoretstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chernomorets: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.1 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.725.6
61.4%
48.5%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.86.8
27.4%
30.9%20.4
🏀 Free throws20.812.3
59.1%
66.9%12.3
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Sofiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Sofia: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.1 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.921.1
52.9%
48.5%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.88.3
28.8%
30.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.513.5
69.2%
66.9%13.5
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chernomorets
WLLWWWWLWW
CSKA Sofia
LLWLLLLLLW
#1
League position
#8
+7.2
Net rating
-3.9
109.5
Offensive rating
104.0
102.3
Defensive rating
107.9
53.8%
Effective FG%
48.8%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
17.9%
Turnover %
18.0%
35.4%
Off. rebound %
34.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
27.4%
3-point %
28.8%
55.2%
Assist %
65.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 104.0Defence102.3 · 107.9Shooting53.8% · 48.8%3-point %27.4% · 28.8%Ball care17.9% · 18.0%Off. rebounds35.4% · 34.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Chernomorets   ■ CSKA Sofia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Chernomorets wins
2
CSKA Sofia wins
DateGameScore
09/03/24Chernomorets v CSKA Sofia78-68
28/01/24CSKA Sofia v Chernomorets79-84
26/11/23Chernomorets v CSKA Sofia95-82
12/04/23CSKA Sofia v Chernomorets88-86
04/02/23Chernomorets v CSKA Sofia100-84
05/12/22CSKA Sofia v Chernomorets80-63
Chernomoretslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HCSKA Sofia78-68
06/03/24ACherno More81-89
03/03/24ARilski Sportist78-80
16/02/24ALevski90-79
10/02/24HShumen85-83
03/02/24HAcademic Plovdiv93-85
28/01/24ACSKA Sofia84-79
20/01/24ABalkan77-85
17/01/24HCherno More83-76
14/01/24AYambol100-66
CSKA Sofialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24AChernomorets68-78
06/03/24ARilski Sportist84-92
16/02/24ABeroe98-92
12/02/24HBalkan78-88
07/02/24ASpartak Pleven76-80
03/02/24AShumen82-86
28/01/24HChernomorets79-84
17/01/24HRilski Sportist85-86
14/01/24ACherno More84-91
08/01/24HLevski81-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chernomorets
Bulgarian Cup 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
CSKA Sofia
Bulgarian Cup 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Balkan110100%88.069.0+19.0
2 Spartak Pleven110100%74.065.0+9.0
3 Rilski Sportist110100%84.078.0+6.0
4 Academic Plovdiv1010%78.084.0-6.0
5 Yambol1010%65.074.0-9.0
6 Cherno More1010%69.088.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chernomorets1222273192
CSKA Sofia1912122366
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