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Chiba vs Alvark Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 71-96
18-22 21-25 14-27 18-22
Position#19
Record1-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game102.3
Allowed / game108.3
vs
Alvark 🏆
Japan
Position#3
Record2-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game98.7
Allowed / game96.3
JapanB League· LaLa arena TOKYO-BAY
Other2026-27
Meetings · Chiba v Alvark
04 Oct 2026
CHIB71
ALVA96
02 Oct 2026
CHIB131
ALVA138
08 Feb 2026
CHIB72
ALVA64
07 Feb 2026
CHIB73
ALVA75
31 Jan 2024
CHIB75
ALVA74
21 May 2023
CHIB93
ALVA62
20 May 2023
CHIB89
ALVA66
30 Apr 2023
CHIB94
ALVA66
29 Apr 2023
CHIB89
ALVA75
24 Oct 2021
CHIB88
ALVA71
23 Oct 2021
CHIB65
ALVA72
02 May 2021
CHIB111
ALVA109
01 May 2021
CHIB92
ALVA81
28 Oct 2020
CHIB82
ALVA73
19 Apr 2020
CHIB v ALVA
upcoming
18 Apr 2020
CHIB v ALVA
upcoming
11 May 2019
CHIB67
ALVA71
14 Apr 2019
CHIB87
ALVA76
13 Apr 2019
CHIB59
ALVA57
23 Jan 2019
CHIB81
ALVA79
18 Feb 2018
CHIB79
ALVA69
17 Feb 2018
CHIB65
ALVA79
12 Nov 2017
CHIB67
ALVA77
11 Nov 2017
CHIB95
ALVA59
30 Oct 2016
CHIB70
ALVA82
29 Oct 2016
CHIB84
ALVA87
02 Nov 2014
CHIB69
ALVA94
01 Nov 2014
CHIB72
ALVA69
13 Apr 2014
CHIB62
ALVA81
12 Apr 2014
CHIB54
ALVA66
24 Nov 2013
CHIB69
ALVA83
23 Nov 2013
CHIB57
ALVA66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chiba winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alvark winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChibaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiba
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
98-81
98
81
+17
102avg 80
H02/05
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
96-87
96
87
+9
89avg 80
H03/05
B League
Gunma
#5
L
68-87
68
87
-19
60avg 80
H09/05
B League
Gunma
#5
W
85-79
85
79
+6
47avg 80
H10/05
B League
Gunma
#5
W
72-68
72
68
+4
74avg 80
H11/05
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
74-82
74
82
-8
64avg 80
A15/05
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
93-102
93
102
-9
89avg 80
A16/05
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
W
97-92
97
92
+5
89avg 80
A25/09
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
79-95
79
95
-16
67avg 80
A26/09
B League
Alvark
#3
L
131-138 OT
131
138
-7
108avg 80
H02/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-20
24-15
20-19
19-27
34-24
18-17
22-16
22-30
21-22
14-28
17-18
16-19
25-11
23-30
18-25
19-13
18-18
19-23
15-6
20-21
22-23
27-18
11-24
14-17
24-36
22-20
20-24
27-22
21-30
29-22
29-19
18-21
22-24
19-19
20-23
18-29
26-26
29-21
18-24
24-26
180.4Avg total
89.3Scored
91.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)102.3108.3210.7-6.033%
Season at home (1)131.0138.0269.0-7.00%
Season away (2)88.093.5181.5-5.550%
Last 10 (10)89.391.1180.4-1.850%
Last 5 (5)94.8101.8196.6-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)94.8101.8196.6-7.020%
vs Similar (5)78.885.4164.2-6.640%
vs Weaker (20)89.078.3167.3+10.775%
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlvarkJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvark
Date
Competition
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
92-71
92
71
+21
100avg 79
H22/04
B League
Shiga
#18
W
101-74
101
74
+27
104avg 79
H25/04
B League
Shiga
#18
W
87-77
87
77
+10
89avg 79
H26/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
111-104
111
104
+7
112avg 79
A02/05
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
96-97
96
97
-1
99avg 79
A03/05
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
78-93
78
93
-15
70avg 79
A07/05
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
56-96
56
96
-40
40avg 79
A08/05
B League
Ryukyu
#12
W
84-73
84
73
+11
no box
H22/09
B League
Ryukyu
#12
L
74-85
74
85
-11
62avg 79
H23/09
B League
Chiba
#19
W
138-131 OT
138
131
+7
132avg 79
A02/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
21-14
22-18
22-18
24-18
22-11
28-20
27-25
28-17
21-22
19-17
19-21
23-30
32-29
20-19
36-26
17-23
26-34
28-18
25-22
20-22
22-14
15-30
21-27
15-23
12-22
17-25
12-26
23-30
27-21
22-12
12-10
25-23
16-28
17-16
16-18
26-26
21-29
24-18
26-24
181.8Avg total
91.7Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)98.796.3195.0+2.367%
Season at home (2)79.079.0158.0+0.050%
Season away (1)138.0131.0269.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)91.790.1181.8+1.660%
Last 5 (5)86.095.6181.6-9.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.487.0160.4-13.629%
vs Similar (9)88.787.6176.2+1.144%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)86.076.6162.6+9.486%
This opponent (Chiba) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -0.1-0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -0.1-0.1
ChibaAlvark
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChibaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
59-35
59
35
+24
H02/05
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H03/05
B League
Gunma
#5
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H09/05
B League
Gunma
#5
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H10/05
B League
Gunma
#5
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H11/05
B League
Nagasaki
#1
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A15/05
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
46-56
46
56
-10
A16/05
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A25/09
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A26/09
B League
Alvark
#3
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H02/10
B League
91.9Avg total
47.2Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.340.887.1+5.667%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.338.886.1+8.579%-
Last 30 away (16)45.542.588.0+3.056%-
Last 10 (10)47.244.791.9+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)48.247.896.0+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)48.247.896.0+0.440%-
vs Similar (5)39.647.487.0-7.820%-
vs Weaker (20)47.537.484.9+10.285%-
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H22/04
B League
Shiga
#18
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H25/04
B League
Shiga
#18
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H26/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A02/05
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A03/05
B League
Nagasaki
#1
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A07/05
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A08/05
B League
Ryukyu
#12
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H22/09
B League
Ryukyu
#12
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H23/09
B League
Chiba
#19
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A02/10
B League
90.5Avg total
44.8Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.941.684.5+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.139.283.2+4.962%-
Last 30 away (14)41.644.485.9-2.843%-
Last 10 (10)44.845.790.5-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)41.447.689.0-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.444.685.0-4.157%-
vs Similar (9)44.743.788.3+1.056%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.038.881.8+4.250%-
This opponent (Chiba) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chibatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chiba: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.121.2
54.2%
53.6%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.09.9
31.9%
32.9%29.7
🏀 Free throws20.616.1
78.2%
73.8%16.1
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 91.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.324.6
59.6%
53.6%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.1
33.0%
32.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.714.5
70.0%
73.8%14.5
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chiba
LLWLLWWLWW
Alvark
WLWLLLWWWW
#19
League position
#3
-0.9
Net rating
+1.4
95.2
Offensive rating
101.1
96.1
Defensive rating
99.7
51.4%
Effective FG%
55.5%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
12.2%
Turnover %
12.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.9%
3-point %
33.0%
65.9%
Assist %
76.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence95.2 · 101.1Defence96.1 · 99.7Shooting51.4% · 55.5%3-point %31.9% · 33.0%Ball care12.2% · 12.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Chiba   ■ Alvark
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Chiba wins
6
Alvark wins
DateGameScore
02/10/26Chiba v Alvark131-138 OT
08/02/26Chiba v Alvark72-64
07/02/26Chiba v Alvark73-75
02/11/25Alvark v Chiba69-81
01/11/25Alvark v Chiba78-69
11/05/25Alvark v Chiba65-92
10/05/25Alvark v Chiba53-78
06/04/25Alvark v Chiba75-72
05/04/25Alvark v Chiba86-81
17/04/24Alvark v Chiba78-67
Chibalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/26HAlvark131-138 OT
26/09/26ATokyo Sunrockers79-95
25/09/26ATokyo Sunrockers97-92
16/05/26ANagasaki93-102
15/05/26ANagasaki74-82
11/05/26HGunma72-68
10/05/26HGunma85-79
09/05/26HGunma68-87
03/05/26HAltiri Chiba96-87
02/05/26HAltiri Chiba98-81
Alvarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/26AChiba138-131 OT
23/09/26HRyukyu74-85
22/09/26HRyukyu84-73
08/05/26ANagasaki56-96
07/05/26ANagasaki78-93
03/05/26AHokkaido96-97
02/05/26AHokkaido111-104
26/04/26HShiga87-77
25/04/26HShiga101-74
22/04/26HNagoya Fighting Eagles92-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chiba
B League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game102.3131.088.0
Allowed / game108.3138.093.5
Point differential-6.0-7.0-5.5
Avg total210.7269.0181.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %33%100%0%
Alvark
B League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWL50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game98.779.0138.0
Allowed / game96.379.0131.0
Point differential+2.3+0.0+7.0
Avg total195.0158.0269.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %33%0%100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hiroshima D.330100%95.073.7+21.3
2 NeoPhoenix330100%89.372.7+16.7
3 Diamond Dolphins440100%89.573.5+16.0
4 Gunma330100%79.768.0+11.7
5 Tokyo Sunrockers32167%92.379.7+12.7
6 Levanga Hokkaido32167%97.093.3+3.7
7 SeaHorses Mikawa32167%83.780.0+3.7
8 Alvark32167%98.796.3+2.3
9 Ryukyu32167%84.081.7+2.3
10 Toyama32167%85.783.7+2.0
11 Kyoto32167%85.383.7+1.7
12 Yokohama32167%79.079.0+0.0
13 Shimane42250%81.879.2+2.5
14 Sendai31233%86.379.3+7.0
15 Shinshu31233%87.388.3-1.0
16 Utsunomiya Brex31233%75.376.3-1.0
17 Shiga31233%87.388.7-1.3
18 Osaka31233%71.376.3-5.0
19 Chiba31233%102.3108.3-6.0
20 Altiri Chiba31233%77.385.7-8.3
21 Kobe31233%75.384.3-9.0
22 Akita31233%64.381.3-17.0
23 Ibaraki Robots3030%76.081.0-5.0
24 Nagasaki3030%72.786.0-13.3
25 Brave Thunders3030%77.094.0-17.0
26 Saga3030%69.795.3-25.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chiba1821141871
Alvark2225272296
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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