PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Shimane vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 85-55
18-12 15-22 26-12 26-9
Position#8
Record13-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game74.3
Shimane 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#18
Record7-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game75.2
JapanB League· Matsue General Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Shimane v Saga
27 Dec 2026
SHIM v SAGA
upcoming
26 Dec 2026
SHIM v SAGA
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
SHIM80
SAGA77
14 Mar 2026
SHIM91
SAGA96
15 Oct 2025
SHIM79
SAGA87
11 Dec 2024
SHIM85
SAGA55
27 Mar 2024
SHIM64
SAGA66
22 Oct 2023
SHIM61
SAGA58
21 Oct 2023
SHIM87
SAGA74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shimane winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShimaneJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShimane
Date
Competition
Akita
#14
W
95-90 OT
95
90
+5
96avg 74
H27/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
58-72
58
72
-14
54avg 74
A02/11
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
78-83
78
83
-5
66avg 74
A03/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
73-69
73
69
+4
68avg 74
A06/11
B League
Shiga
#24
W
83-62
83
62
+21
79avg 74
H09/11
B League
Shiga
#24
W
92-55
92
55
+37
96avg 74
H10/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
W
85-79
85
79
+6
74avg 74
A30/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
78-113
78
113
-35
73avg 74
A01/12
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
74-84 OT
74
84
-10
59avg 74
H07/12
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
80-78
80
78
+2
75avg 74
H08/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
23-17
24-24
14-17
12-15
16-24
16-14
14-19
28-21
16-23
12-16
22-23
16-13
26-21
20-20
11-15
24-12
20-18
25-17
14-15
26-15
15-16
25-9
26-15
15-20
31-24
20-19
19-16
21-34
22-33
16-23
19-23
13-17
25-18
16-16
18-21
19-20
18-23
20-22
23-13
158.1Avg total
79.6Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.174.3156.4+7.872%
Season at home (11)84.869.0153.8+15.891%
Season away (7)77.982.7160.6-4.943%
Last 10 (10)79.678.5158.1+1.160%
Last 5 (5)81.881.8163.6+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.481.6161.0-2.240%
vs Similar (10)70.677.4148.0-6.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)84.174.5158.6+9.773%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Alvark
#4
L
66-79
66
79
-13
61avg 68
A27/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
89-67
89
67
+22
90avg 68
H03/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
76-89
76
89
-13
76avg 68
H04/11
B League
Shiga
#24
W
83-69
83
69
+14
78avg 68
A06/11
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
72-84
72
84
-12
62avg 68
H11/11
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
67-73
67
73
-6
56avg 68
H12/11
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
80-51
80
51
+29
79avg 68
H01/12
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
78-93
78
93
-15
71avg 68
H02/12
B League
Gunma
#6
L
70-84
70
84
-14
58avg 68
A07/12
B League
Gunma
#6
L
74-86
74
86
-12
66avg 68
A08/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-24
18-22
22-21
16-12
21-17
22-13
25-18
21-19
16-24
21-23
20-16
19-26
23-20
16-18
20-15
24-16
20-22
14-24
24-18
14-20
20-18
12-19
14-21
21-15
23-13
15-12
22-10
20-16
17-21
23-22
20-18
18-32
16-23
14-25
13-21
27-15
18-21
21-18
12-18
23-29
153.0Avg total
75.5Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)74.575.2149.7-0.739%
Season at home (7)76.676.6153.1+0.029%
Season away (11)73.274.4147.5-1.245%
Last 10 (10)75.577.5153.0-2.030%
Last 5 (5)73.877.4151.2-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)70.880.2151.0-9.38%
vs Similar (11)77.874.5152.4+3.345%
vs Weaker (6)82.373.2155.5+9.267%
This opponent (Shimane) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.3+0.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.3+0.3
ShimaneSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShimaneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akita
#14
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H27/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A02/11
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A03/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A06/11
B League
Shiga
#24
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H09/11
B League
Shiga
#24
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H10/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A30/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
43-67
43
67
-24
A01/12
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H07/12
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H08/12
B League
80.7Avg total
40.3Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.138.577.5+0.660%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.335.173.4+3.271%-
Last 30 away (13)40.142.882.9-2.846%-
Last 10 (10)40.340.480.7-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)41.044.085.0-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.445.085.4-4.640%-
vs Similar (10)35.338.874.1-3.540%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.136.177.2+5.180%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvark
#4
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A27/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H03/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H04/11
B League
Shiga
#24
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A06/11
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H11/11
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H12/11
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H01/12
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H02/12
B League
Gunma
#6
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A07/12
B League
Gunma
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A08/12
B League
75.9Avg total
36.0Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.239.276.4-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.238.574.7-2.333%-
Last 30 away (18)37.939.777.6-1.839%-
Last 10 (10)36.039.975.9-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)35.838.474.2-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)35.041.176.1-6.115%-
vs Similar (11)37.636.974.5+0.736%-
vs Weaker (6)41.239.380.5+1.883%-
This opponent (Shimane) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shimanetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shimane: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.8
52.8%
51.2%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.7
32.7%
33.4%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.313.0
71.0%
72.7%13.0
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.9
50.9%
51.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.27.5
32.3%
33.4%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.914.6
69.9%
72.7%14.6
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shimane
WLLWWWWLLW
Saga
LLLWLLWLWL
#8
League position
#18
+1.7
Net rating
-1.9
109.3
Offensive rating
104.1
107.6
Defensive rating
106.0
51.2%
Effective FG%
50.0%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
18.0%
Turnover %
16.4%
36.4%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.7%
3-point %
32.3%
71.9%
Assist %
70.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.3 · 104.1Defence107.6 · 106.0Shooting51.2% · 50.0%3-point %32.7% · 32.3%Ball care18.0% · 16.4%Off. rebounds36.4% · 25.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Shimane   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Shimane wins
2
Saga wins
DateGameScore
27/03/24Shimane v Saga64-66
20/12/23Saga v Shimane80-77
22/10/23Shimane v Saga61-58
21/10/23Shimane v Saga87-74
Shimanelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24HKyoto80-78
07/12/24HKyoto74-84 OT
01/12/24ANeoPhoenix78-113
30/11/24ANeoPhoenix85-79
10/11/24HShiga92-55
09/11/24HShiga83-62
06/11/24ADiamond Dolphins73-69
03/11/24AUtsunomiya Brex78-83
02/11/24AUtsunomiya Brex58-72
27/10/24HAkita95-90 OT
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24AGunma74-86
07/12/24AGunma70-84
02/12/24HNagasaki78-93
01/12/24HNagasaki80-51
12/11/24HRyukyu67-73
11/11/24HRyukyu72-84
06/11/24AShiga83-69
04/11/24HBrave Thunders76-89
03/11/24HBrave Thunders89-67
27/10/24AAlvark66-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shimane
B League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW72%
HomeWWWLW91%
AwayLLWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %72%91%43%
Points / game82.184.877.9
Allowed / game74.369.082.7
Point differential+7.8+15.8-4.9
Avg total156.4153.8160.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%55%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %11%18%0%
Saga
B League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL39%
HomeLLLWL29%
AwayLLWLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18711
Win %39%29%45%
Points / game74.576.673.2
Allowed / game75.276.674.4
Point differential-0.7+0.0-1.2
Avg total149.7153.1147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%29%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark1816289%80.669.5+11.1
2 NeoPhoenix1815383%92.778.9+13.8
3 Chiba1814478%83.675.0+8.6
4 Utsunomiya Brex1814478%82.774.6+8.2
5 Shimane1813572%82.174.3+7.8
6 Ryukyu1813572%85.677.9+7.7
7 SeaHorses Mikawa1813572%80.173.4+6.6
8 Gunma1812667%80.472.1+8.4
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya1811761%76.470.7+5.8
10 Osaka1810856%82.179.9+2.2
11 Akita1810856%73.874.2-0.3
12 Kyoto1881044%79.379.4-0.1
13 Diamond Dolphins1881044%81.182.8-1.7
14 Saga1871139%74.575.2-0.7
15 Nagasaki1871139%69.974.2-4.3
16 Yokohama1871139%73.478.8-5.4
17 Koshigaya Alphas1861233%76.281.1-4.9
18 Hiroshima D.1861233%75.582.4-6.9
19 Hokkaido1861233%72.879.9-7.2
20 Nagoya Fighting Eagles1861233%74.182.1-7.9
21 Ibaraki Robots1851328%76.183.7-7.6
22 Sendai1841422%73.080.6-7.6
23 Brave Thunders1841422%74.886.1-11.3
24 Shiga181176%72.786.7-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shimane1815262685
Saga122212955
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.