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Alvark vs Shimane Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 63-74
20-17 19-15 15-21 9-21
Position#4
Record18-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game69.7
vs
Shimane 🏆
Japan
Position#8
Record14-6
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game73.5
JapanB League· Yoyogi National Stadium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Alvark v Shimane
03 Apr 2027
ALVA v SHIM
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
ALVA70
SHIM68
11 Apr 2026
ALVA65
SHIM52
15 Dec 2024
ALVA63
SHIM74
14 Dec 2024
ALVA78
SHIM74
03 Mar 2024
ALVA90
SHIM80
02 Mar 2024
ALVA79
SHIM87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvark winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shimane winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlvarkJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvark
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
65-76
65
76
-11
58avg 75
A03/11
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
80-77
80
77
+3
69avg 75
A06/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
71-56
71
56
+15
68avg 75
H09/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
95-79
95
79
+16
88avg 75
H10/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
88-66
88
66
+22
93avg 75
A30/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
80-62
80
62
+18
82avg 75
A01/12
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
89-52
89
52
+37
88avg 75
A07/12
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
83-81 OT
83
81
+2
75avg 75
A08/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
86-69
86
69
+17
86avg 75
H11/12
B League
Shimane
#8
W
78-74 OT
78
74
+4
67avg 75
H14/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-16
15-23
22-23
17-14
16-17
13-13
28-23
23-24
27-16
14-13
8-15
22-12
26-17
22-17
24-20
23-25
22-20
21-16
24-14
21-16
11-18
22-14
20-14
27-16
19-17
26-12
20-14
24-9
24-26
18-17
19-16
14-16
9-19
23-21
29-16
25-13
13-13
17-22
16-15
19-15
150.7Avg total
81.5Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.769.7150.4+11.090%
Season at home (9)81.769.3151.0+12.3100%
Season away (11)79.970.0149.9+9.982%
Last 10 (10)81.569.2150.7+12.390%
Last 5 (5)83.267.6150.8+15.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)74.074.5148.5-0.550%
vs Similar ◀ (6)75.569.8145.3+5.767%
vs Weaker (22)80.770.0150.7+10.786%
This opponent (Shimane) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShimaneJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShimane
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
78-83
78
83
-5
66avg 74
A03/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
73-69
73
69
+4
68avg 74
A06/11
B League
Shiga
#24
W
83-62
83
62
+21
79avg 74
H09/11
B League
Shiga
#24
W
92-55
92
55
+37
96avg 74
H10/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
W
85-79
85
79
+6
74avg 74
A30/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
78-113
78
113
-35
73avg 74
A01/12
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
74-84 OT
74
84
-10
59avg 74
H07/12
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
80-78
80
78
+2
75avg 74
H08/12
B League
Saga
#18
W
85-55
85
55
+30
89avg 74
H11/12
B League
Alvark
#4
L
74-78 OT
74
78
-4
64avg 74
A14/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
16-23
12-16
22-23
16-13
26-21
20-20
11-15
24-12
20-18
25-17
14-15
26-15
15-16
25-9
26-15
15-20
31-24
20-19
19-16
21-34
22-33
16-23
19-23
13-17
25-18
16-16
18-21
19-20
18-23
20-22
23-13
18-12
15-22
26-12
26-9
13-13
22-17
15-16
15-19
155.8Avg total
80.2Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.873.5155.4+8.370%
Season at home (12)84.867.8152.7+17.092%
Season away (8)77.482.1159.5-4.838%
Last 10 (10)80.275.6155.8+4.660%
Last 5 (5)78.281.6159.8-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.481.6161.0-2.240%
vs Similar ◀ (11)70.977.5148.4-6.536%
vs Weaker (14)83.671.4155.1+12.279%
This opponent (Alvark) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: +2.4+2.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: +2.4+2.4
AlvarkShimane
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A03/11
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A06/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H09/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H10/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A30/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A01/12
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A07/12
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A08/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H11/12
B League
Shimane
#8
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H14/12
B League
71.6Avg total
36.9Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.734.774.5+5.067%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.932.573.4+8.573%-
Last 30 away (15)38.537.075.5+1.560%-
Last 10 (10)36.934.771.6+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)36.435.872.2+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.037.081.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)34.537.572.0-3.033%-
vs Weaker (22)40.833.874.5+7.073%-
This opponent (Shimane) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShimaneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A03/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A06/11
B League
Shiga
#24
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H09/11
B League
Shiga
#24
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H10/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A30/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
43-67
43
67
-24
A01/12
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H07/12
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H08/12
B League
Saga
#18
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H11/12
B League
Alvark
#4
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A14/12
B League
79.5Avg total
40.3Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.338.276.5+0.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.134.972.0+2.262%-
Last 30 away (14)39.741.981.6-2.250%-
Last 10 (10)40.339.279.5+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)37.241.879.0-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.445.085.4-4.640%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)35.338.073.3-2.745%-
vs Weaker (14)40.035.975.9+4.171%-
This opponent (Alvark) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.120.0
48.7%
51.2%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.9
36.8%
33.4%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.913.6
72.0%
72.7%13.6
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shimanetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shimane: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.120.8
56.1%
51.2%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.28.9
31.6%
33.4%26.7
🏀 Free throws15.211.0
72.4%
72.7%11.0
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alvark
WWWWWWWWWL
Shimane
LWWLLWWWWL
#4
League position
#8
+16.0
Net rating
+6.6
110.6
Offensive rating
110.8
94.7
Defensive rating
104.3
51.1%
Effective FG%
52.3%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
16.0%
Turnover %
18.1%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
37.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.23
36.8%
3-point %
31.6%
73.4%
Assist %
67.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.6 · 110.8Defence94.7 · 104.3Shooting51.1% · 52.3%3-point %36.8% · 31.6%Ball care16.0% · 18.1%Off. rebounds33.2% · 37.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Alvark   ■ Shimane
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Alvark wins
5
Shimane wins
DateGameScore
14/12/24Alvark v Shimane78-74 OT
03/03/24Alvark v Shimane90-80
02/03/24Alvark v Shimane79-87
15/05/23Shimane v Alvark82-83
13/05/23Shimane v Alvark72-82
12/05/23Shimane v Alvark86-71
12/02/23Shimane v Alvark66-59
11/02/23Shimane v Alvark77-67
16/05/22Shimane v Alvark80-62
15/05/22Shimane v Alvark57-91
Alvarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24HShimane78-74 OT
11/12/24HDiamond Dolphins86-69
08/12/24ANagasaki83-81 OT
07/12/24ANagasaki89-52
01/12/24ABrave Thunders80-62
30/11/24ABrave Thunders88-66
10/11/24HHiroshima D.95-79
09/11/24HHiroshima D.71-56
06/11/24AYokohama80-77
03/11/24ASeaHorses Mikawa65-76
Shimanelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24AAlvark74-78 OT
11/12/24HSaga85-55
08/12/24HKyoto80-78
07/12/24HKyoto74-84 OT
01/12/24ANeoPhoenix78-113
30/11/24ANeoPhoenix85-79
10/11/24HShiga92-55
09/11/24HShiga83-62
06/11/24ADiamond Dolphins73-69
03/11/24AUtsunomiya Brex78-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvark
B League 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %90%100%82%
Points / game80.781.779.9
Allowed / game69.769.370.0
Point differential+11.0+12.3+9.9
Avg total150.4151.0149.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%67%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %10%11%9%
Shimane
B League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL70%
HomeWWLWW92%
AwayLWWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %70%92%38%
Points / game81.884.877.4
Allowed / game73.567.882.1
Point differential+8.3+17.0-4.8
Avg total155.4152.7159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%58%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %15%17%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark2018290%80.769.7+11.0
2 NeoPhoenix2016480%91.778.8+12.8
3 Utsunomiya Brex2016480%82.474.5+8.0
4 Chiba2116576%82.075.1+6.9
5 Shimane2014670%81.873.5+8.3
6 Ryukyu2014670%84.577.2+7.2
7 Gunma2114767%79.471.2+8.2
8 SeaHorses Mikawa2114767%80.375.1+5.2
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya2113862%76.571.4+5.1
10 Akita2012860%72.872.2+0.7
11 Osaka2011955%82.280.0+2.2
12 Kyoto21101148%80.679.8+0.9
13 Diamond Dolphins2091145%81.082.4-1.4
14 Hiroshima D.2191243%77.282.4-5.2
15 Nagasaki2081240%71.275.2-3.9
16 Nagoya Fighting Eagles2181338%74.881.5-6.7
17 Hokkaido2071335%73.279.2-6.0
18 Yokohama2071335%73.879.9-6.1
19 Saga2171433%74.376.8-2.5
20 Koshigaya Alphas2061430%76.581.7-5.1
21 Ibaraki Robots2061430%75.081.8-6.8
22 Sendai2041620%72.680.8-8.2
23 Brave Thunders2041620%74.686.2-11.6
24 Shiga201195%73.586.8-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alvark201915963
Shimane1715212174
← all games of the day
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