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Chicago State vs Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 17 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 87-74
49-24 38-50
Position#297
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game61.0
Allowed / game75.3
vs
Position#306
Record1-1
FormLWLLW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game75.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chicago State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Chicago StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stephen F. Austin
#55
L
71-88
71
88
-17
A17/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#235
L
60-79
60
79
-19
H19/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#42
L
64-85
64
85
-21
H24/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#18
W
61-59
61
59
+2
H26/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#173
L
53-62
53
62
-9
A03/03
NCAA
Seattle
#51
L
66-74
66
74
-8
A05/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#112
L
47-69
47
69
-22
A09/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
L
54-85
54
85
-31
A08/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#139
L
61-83
61
83
-22
A12/11
NCAA
IUPUI
#364
W
68-58
68
58
+10
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-41
32-47
23-42
37-37
25-44
39-41
32-28
29-31
25-31
28-31
30-30
36-44
29-32
18-37
21-37
33-48
24-38
37-45
24-26
44-32
134.7Avg total
60.5Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)61.075.3136.3-14.333%
Season at home (1)68.058.0126.0+10.0100%
Season away (2)57.584.0141.5-26.50%
Last 10 (10)60.574.2134.7-13.720%
Last 5 (5)59.273.8133.0-14.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)61.776.4138.1-14.711%
vs Similar ◀ (2)64.055.5119.5+8.5100%
vs Weaker (1)68.058.0126.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#49
L
66-84
66
84
-18
A12/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H17/02
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
72-56
72
56
+16
A19/02
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H22/02
NCAA
Drake
#64
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H24/02
NCAA
Bradley
#164
L
55-79
55
79
-24
A27/02
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
81-59
81
59
+22
H04/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A05/03
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A08/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-41
30-43
36-30
33-41
39-23
33-33
36-30
38-39
29-31
36-40
13-34
42-45
43-32
38-27
28-35
30-32
26-52
44-33
40-36
41-29
139.7Avg total
69.1Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)75.575.0150.5+0.550%
Season at home (1)81.065.0146.0+16.0100%
Season away (1)70.085.0155.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)69.170.6139.7-1.540%
Last 5 (5)69.071.0140.0-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)63.474.5137.9-11.20%
vs Similar ◀ (11)71.773.5145.2-1.755%
vs Weaker (7)79.962.0141.9+17.9100%
This opponent (Chicago State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -7.7-7.71st half: -1.8-1.82nd half2nd half: -6.0-6.02nd half: +0.3+0.3
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -7.7-7.71st half: -1.8-1.82nd half2nd half: -6.0-6.02nd half: +0.3+0.3
Chicago StateValparaiso
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Chicago StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stephen F. Austin
#55
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A17/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#235
L
23-42
23
42
-19
H19/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#42
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H24/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#18
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H26/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#173
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A03/03
NCAA
Seattle
#51
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A05/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#112
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A09/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
L
21-37
21
37
-16
A08/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#139
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A12/11
NCAA
IUPUI
#364
L
24-26
24
26
-2
H15/11
NCAA
62.1Avg total
27.2Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.235.363.5-7.113%-
Last 30 at home (13)29.035.764.7-6.723%-
Last 30 away (17)27.635.062.6-7.46%-
Last 10 (10)27.234.962.1-7.710%-
Last 5 (5)25.632.658.2-7.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)28.236.164.3-7.911%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)30.529.059.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker (1)24.026.050.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#49
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A12/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H17/02
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
39-23
39
23
+16
A19/02
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H22/02
NCAA
Drake
#64
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H24/02
NCAA
Bradley
#164
L
13-34
13
34
-21
A27/02
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H04/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A05/03
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
26-52
26
52
-26
A08/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H13/11
NCAA
67.0Avg total
32.6Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.433.465.8-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.331.465.6+2.953%-
Last 30 away (13)29.836.165.9-6.231%-
Last 10 (10)32.634.467.0-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)30.037.867.8-7.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)28.034.762.7-6.727%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)31.535.867.4-4.327%-
vs Weaker (7)39.029.368.3+9.786%-
This opponent (Chicago State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Chicago State wins
0
Valparaiso wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/22HIUPUI68-58
12/11/22ASt. Thomas (Minn.)61-83
08/11/22ANorthwestern54-85
09/03/22AUtah Valley State47-69
05/03/22ASeattle66-74
03/03/22ACalifornia Baptist53-62
26/02/22HNew Mexico State61-59
24/02/22HGrand Canyon64-85
19/02/22HTarleton60-79
17/02/22AStephen F. Austin71-88
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/22HWestern Michigan81-65
08/11/22AToledo70-85
05/03/22AMissouri State58-67
04/03/22HEvansville81-59
27/02/22ABradley55-79
24/02/22HDrake65-71
22/02/22HEvansville74-69
19/02/22AEvansville72-56
17/02/22HLoyola Chicago69-71
12/02/22AMissouri State66-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chicago State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game61.068.057.5
Allowed / game75.358.084.0
Point differential-14.3+10.0-26.5
Avg total136.3126.0141.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valparaiso
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game75.581.070.0
Allowed / game75.065.085.0
Point differential+0.5+16.0-15.0
Avg total150.5146.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fairleigh Dickinson32167%88.376.0+12.3
2 Wagner32167%75.767.3+8.3
3 LIU Sharks21150%79.569.5+10.0
4 Chicago State31233%61.075.3-14.3
5 Stonehill41325%76.891.0-14.2
6 St. Francis (PA)51420%65.269.2-4.0
7 Central Connecticut State3030%70.385.7-15.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake220100%80.060.0+20.0
2 Indiana State220100%81.562.0+19.5
3 Bradley32167%81.368.0+13.3
4 Illinois (Chi.)32167%70.759.3+11.3
5 Southern Illinois32167%69.364.7+4.7
6 Illinois State32167%63.762.3+1.3
7 Northern Iowa21150%80.058.5+21.5
8 Murray State21150%79.072.0+7.0
9 Valparaiso21150%75.575.0+0.5
10 Evansville21150%71.578.5-7.0
11 Belmont31233%73.078.3-5.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Chicago State493887
Valparaiso245074
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