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China vs Saudi Arabia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 93-88
30-22 23-21 27-22 13-23
Position#2
Record5-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game61.0
China 🏆
vs
Position#10
Record4-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game68.3
EuropeAsia CupRound 1· King Abdullah Sports City
Other2023
Meetings · China v Saudi Arabia
01 Mar 2027
CHIN v SAUD
upcoming
05 Aug 2025
CHIN93
SAUD88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

China winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saudi Arabia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChina
Date
Competition
Chinese Taipei
#6
W
101-73
101
73
+28
no box
A06/10
Asian Games
Mongolia
#15
W
80-49
80
49
+31
no box
H22/02
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
L
73-76
73
76
-3
no box
A25/02
Asia Cup
Sacramento Kings
#4
L
50-101
50
101
-51
no box
A07/07
California Classic
Charlotte Hornets
#1
L
62-93
62
93
-31
no box
A08/07
California Classic
San Antonio Spurs
#5
L
67-89
67
89
-22
no box
H10/07
California Classic
Guam
#14
W
101-53
101
53
+48
105avg 96
H21/11
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
90-52
90
52
+38
96avg 96
A24/11
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
W
100-58
100
58
+42
102avg 96
H20/02
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
86-78
86
78
+8
82avg 96
A23/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
25-20
34-10
21-14
20-12
19-17
20-7
21-13
20-19
18-19
13-17
22-21
18-31
11-21
7-25
14-24
9-26
18-17
19-21
16-29
20-29
24-18
7-17
16-25
21-17
24-10
27-15
29-11
18-14
25-15
28-14
19-9
19-12
31-21
19-12
31-13
19-16
25-17
22-23
20-22
153.2Avg total
81.0Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)88.361.0149.3+27.383%
Season at home (3)93.753.3147.0+40.3100%
Season away (3)83.068.7151.7+14.367%
Last 10 (10)81.072.2153.2+8.860%
Last 5 (5)88.866.0154.8+22.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)63.490.5153.9-27.112%
vs Similar (3)82.393.0175.3-10.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)86.263.6149.8+22.689%
This opponent (Saudi Arabia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Saudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormArabia
Date
Competition
Hong Kong
#12
W
95-72
95
72
+23
no box
H02/10
Asian Games
Jordan
#3
L
57-76
57
76
-19
no box
A03/10
Asian Games
Japan
#8
W
79-74
79
74
+5
no box
H04/10
Asian Games
Iran
#4
L
60-92
60
92
-32
no box
A06/10
Asian Games
Iraq
#16
W
64-58
64
58
+6
no box
A23/02
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
L
64-79
64
79
-15
no box
H26/02
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
73-66
73
66
+7
68avg 68
A22/11
Asia Cup
Iraq
#16
W
66-58
66
58
+8
62avg 68
H25/11
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
L
68-78
68
78
-10
50avg 68
A21/02
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
93-71
93
71
+22
98avg 68
H24/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-17
16-11
29-15
18-29
6-25
21-17
9-23
21-11
19-23
27-13
19-19
14-19
11-23
23-22
10-31
16-16
17-13
10-16
17-16
20-13
18-16
20-23
11-20
15-20
16-12
20-16
15-18
22-20
9-16
20-20
16-10
21-12
16-31
20-19
10-18
22-10
25-16
25-21
22-21
21-13
144.3Avg total
71.9Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)71.368.3139.7+3.067%
Season at home (3)74.369.3143.7+5.067%
Season away (3)68.367.3135.7+1.067%
Last 10 (10)71.972.4144.3-0.560%
Last 5 (5)72.870.4143.2+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)61.380.9142.2-19.68%
vs Similar (4)76.875.8152.5+1.050%
vs Weaker (13)77.364.8142.1+12.592%
This opponent (China) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +2.7+2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +2.7+2.7
ChinaSaudi Arabia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chinese Taipei
#6
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A06/10
Asian Games
Mongolia
#15
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H22/02
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A25/02
Asia Cup
Sacramento Kings
#4
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A07/07
California Classic
Charlotte Hornets
#1
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A08/07
California Classic
San Antonio Spurs
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H10/07
California Classic
Guam
#14
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H21/11
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A24/11
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H20/02
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A23/02
Asia Cup
78.5Avg total
40.5Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.736.176.7+4.657%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.832.777.5+12.269%-
Last 30 away (17)37.538.676.1-1.247%-
Last 10 (10)40.538.078.5+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)45.233.879.0+11.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.246.078.2-13.80%-
vs Similar (3)40.745.386.0-4.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.230.474.6+13.884%-
This opponent (Saudi Arabia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Saudi ArabiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hong Kong
#12
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H02/10
Asian Games
Jordan
#3
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A03/10
Asian Games
Japan
#8
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H04/10
Asian Games
Iran
#4
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A06/10
Asian Games
Iraq
#16
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A23/02
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H26/02
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A22/11
Asia Cup
Iraq
#16
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H25/11
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A21/02
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H24/02
Asia Cup
74.1Avg total
37.1Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.437.472.8-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.736.774.4+1.044%-
Last 30 away (14)32.738.270.9-5.536%-
Last 10 (10)37.137.074.1+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.838.075.8-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)29.541.270.6-11.78%-
vs Similar (4)44.838.583.2+6.250%-
vs Weaker (13)38.433.371.7+5.169%-
This opponent (China) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chinatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

China: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.621.1
52.0%
49.3%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.1
31.3%
32.7%21.3
🏀 Free throws18.914.1
74.6%
70.1%14.1
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Saudi Arabiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saudi Arabia: 70.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.3 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.816.2
50.8%
49.3%32.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.38.0
26.4%
32.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.514.0
65.1%
70.1%14.0
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/6 games with a box score before 05 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
China
WWWWLLLLWW
Saudi Arabia
WLWWLWLWLW
#2
League position
#10
+8.1
Net rating
+3.4
102.8
Offensive rating
95.2
94.7
Defensive rating
91.8
50.2%
Effective FG%
45.3%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
42.8%
20.5%
Turnover %
21.0%
33.5%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.35
31.3%
3-point %
26.4%
64.2%
Assist %
60.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 95.2Defence94.7 · 91.8Shooting50.2% · 45.3%3-point %31.3% · 26.4%Ball care20.5% · 21.0%Off. rebounds33.5% · 32.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ China   ■ Saudi Arabia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
China wins
0
Saudi Arabia wins
No previous meetings.
Chinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/25AGuam86-78
20/02/25HJapan100-58
24/11/24AMongolia90-52
21/11/24HGuam101-53
10/07/24HSan Antonio Spurs67-89
08/07/24ACharlotte Hornets62-93
07/07/24ASacramento Kings50-101
25/02/24AJapan73-76
22/02/24HMongolia80-49
06/10/23AChinese Taipei101-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/25HPalestine93-71
21/02/25AJordan68-78
25/11/24HIraq66-58
22/11/24APalestine73-66
26/02/24HJordan64-79
23/02/24AIraq64-58
06/10/23AIran60-92
04/10/23HJapan79-74
03/10/23AJordan57-76
02/10/23HHong Kong95-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

China
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game88.393.783.0
Allowed / game61.053.368.7
Point differential+27.3+40.3+14.3
Avg total149.3147.0151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Saudi Arabia
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game71.374.368.3
Allowed / game68.369.367.3
Point differential+3.0+5.0+1.0
Avg total139.7143.7135.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia660100%102.261.2+41.0
2 Lebanon660100%90.774.7+16.0
3 Jordan770100%79.167.7+11.4
4 New Zealand76186%89.467.7+21.7
5 China65183%88.361.0+27.3
6 Iran65183%75.550.8+24.7
7 Japan65183%79.376.8+2.5
8 Philippines64267%90.073.0+17.0
9 South Korea64267%84.879.3+5.5
10 Saudi Arabia64267%71.368.3+3.0
11 Qatar117464%70.566.3+4.3
12 Chinese Taipei85362%87.078.9+8.1
13 Guam137654%72.778.1-5.4
14 Thailand158753%83.083.1-0.1
15 Syria63350%77.777.2+0.5
16 Iraq147750%74.675.4-0.9
17 Mongolia136746%76.979.2-2.2
18 Malaysia73443%74.075.7-1.7
19 Kuwait52340%73.270.2+3.0
20 United Arab Emirates114736%71.074.5-3.5
21 India93633%69.179.9-10.8
22 Kazakhstan62433%53.567.7-14.2
23 Palestine113827%69.073.7-4.7
24 Vietnam41325%68.070.8-2.8
25 Bahrain82625%75.082.2-7.2
26 Hong Kong112918%65.682.8-17.2
27 Oman5050%57.674.8-17.2
28 Singapore5050%57.476.4-19.0
29 Indonesia6060%62.896.0-33.2
30 Tahiti4040%52.889.8-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
China3023271393
Saudi Arabia2221222388
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