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Guam vs China Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 07:00
Final 78-86
16-19 17-25 23-22 22-20
Position#14
Record6-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game73.5
vs
China 🏆
Position#2
Record4-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game57.6
EuropeAsia Cup· University of Guam Field House
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guam winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
China winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuamLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuam
Date
Competition
Singapore
#28
W
82-59
82
59
+23
no box
A10/11
Asia Cup
Hong Kong
#26
W
67-64
67
64
+3
no box
H11/11
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
75-69
75
69
+6
no box
A24/02
Asia Cup
Malaysia
#17
W
75-64
75
64
+11
no box
A25/02
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
82-81
82
81
+1
no box
H26/02
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
L
56-77
56
77
-21
no box
A22/02
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
74-63
74
63
+11
64avg 55
A25/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
53-101
53
101
-48
42avg 55
A21/11
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
L
78-83
78
83
-5
67avg 55
H24/11
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
L
63-74
63
74
-11
49avg 55
H20/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-11
16-15
26-10
22-23
19-21
20-11
16-10
12-22
17-17
21-21
13-14
24-17
16-17
17-17
25-13
17-17
15-26
24-17
26-22
17-16
12-17
24-18
8-20
12-22
21-13
18-19
19-16
16-15
17-21
10-24
15-27
11-29
15-20
16-28
22-20
25-15
19-22
12-17
12-20
20-15
144.0Avg total
70.5Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)70.573.5144.0-3.060%
Season at home (4)72.575.5148.0-3.050%
Season away (6)69.272.2141.3-3.067%
Last 10 (10)70.573.5144.0-3.060%
Last 5 (5)64.879.6144.4-14.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)69.576.5146.0-7.050%
vs Similar (1)94.0113.0207.0-19.00%
vs Weaker (6)86.371.5157.8+14.883%
This opponent (China) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChina
Date
Competition
Philippines
#1
L
76-77
76
77
-1
no box
A04/10
Asian Games
Chinese Taipei
#6
W
101-73
101
73
+28
no box
A06/10
Asian Games
Mongolia
#15
W
80-49
80
49
+31
no box
H22/02
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
L
73-76
73
76
-3
69avg 81
A25/02
Asia Cup
Sacramento Kings
#4
L
50-101
50
101
-51
no box
A07/07
California Classic
Charlotte Hornets
#1
L
62-93
62
93
-31
66avg 81
A08/07
California Classic
San Antonio Spurs
#5
L
67-89
67
89
-22
76avg 81
H10/07
California Classic
Guam
#14
W
101-53
101
53
+48
105avg 81
H21/11
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
90-52
90
52
+38
96avg 81
A24/11
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
W
100-58
100
58
+42
102avg 81
H20/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
29-13
14-20
14-27
21-29
25-20
34-10
21-14
20-12
19-17
20-7
21-13
20-19
18-19
13-17
22-21
18-31
11-21
7-25
14-24
9-26
18-17
19-21
16-29
20-29
24-18
7-17
16-25
21-17
24-10
27-15
29-11
18-14
25-15
28-14
19-9
19-12
31-21
19-12
31-13
152.1Avg total
80.0Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)88.857.6146.4+31.280%
Season at home (3)93.753.3147.0+40.3100%
Season away (2)81.564.0145.5+17.550%
Last 10 (10)80.072.1152.1+7.950%
Last 5 (5)84.069.0153.0+15.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)63.490.5153.9-27.112%
vs Similar (3)82.393.0175.3-10.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)86.763.7150.4+23.089%
This opponent (Guam) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.7+1.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.7+1.7
GuamChina
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuamLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Singapore
#28
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A10/11
Asia Cup
Hong Kong
#26
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H11/11
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A24/02
Asia Cup
Malaysia
#17
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A25/02
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H26/02
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A22/02
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A25/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A21/11
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H24/11
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H20/02
Asia Cup
71.9Avg total
34.7Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)39.338.878.1+0.540%-
Last 30 at home (7)39.743.383.0-3.629%-
Last 30 away (8)38.934.973.8+4.050%-
Last 10 (10)34.737.271.9-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)32.839.872.6-7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)34.239.273.5-5.025%-
vs Similar (1)43.056.099.0-13.00%-
vs Weaker (6)45.335.380.7+10.067%-
This opponent (China) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philippines
#1
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A04/10
Asian Games
Chinese Taipei
#6
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A06/10
Asian Games
Mongolia
#15
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H22/02
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A25/02
Asia Cup
Sacramento Kings
#4
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A07/07
California Classic
Charlotte Hornets
#1
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A08/07
California Classic
San Antonio Spurs
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H10/07
California Classic
Guam
#14
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H21/11
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A24/11
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H20/02
Asia Cup
78.6Avg total
40.9Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.036.477.4+4.657%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.832.777.5+12.269%-
Last 30 away (17)38.139.277.3-1.247%-
Last 10 (10)40.937.778.6+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)41.835.877.6+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.246.078.2-13.80%-
vs Similar (3)40.745.386.0-4.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.730.975.7+13.884%-
This opponent (Guam) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guamtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guam: 65.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.617.4
39.0%
49.3%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.2
30.3%
32.7%21.6
🏀 Free throws13.48.6
64.2%
70.1%8.6
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chinatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

China: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.220.8
51.7%
49.3%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.76.9
30.4%
32.7%20.7
🏀 Free throws19.714.7
74.6%
70.1%14.7
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/9 games with a box score before 23 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guam
LLLWLWWWWW
China
WWWLLLLWWL
#14
League position
#2
-18.7
Net rating
+8.1
85.6
Offensive rating
101.9
104.3
Defensive rating
93.8
41.2%
Effective FG%
49.5%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
46.5%
20.6%
Turnover %
20.8%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.3%
3-point %
30.4%
51.2%
Assist %
64.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence85.6 · 101.9Defence104.3 · 93.8Shooting41.2% · 49.5%3-point %30.3% · 30.4%Ball care20.6% · 20.8%Off. rebounds29.6% · 33.7%Free throws0.20 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Guam   ■ China
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Guam wins
1
China wins
DateGameScore
21/11/24China v Guam101-53
Guamlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/25HMongolia63-74
24/11/24HJapan78-83
21/11/24AChina53-101
25/02/24AMongolia74-63
22/02/24AJapan56-77
26/02/23HMongolia82-81
25/02/23AMalaysia75-64
24/02/23AThailand75-69
11/11/22HHong Kong67-64
10/11/22ASingapore82-59
Chinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/25HJapan100-58
24/11/24AMongolia90-52
21/11/24HGuam101-53
10/07/24HSan Antonio Spurs67-89
08/07/24ACharlotte Hornets62-93
07/07/24ASacramento Kings50-101
25/02/24AJapan73-76
22/02/24HMongolia80-49
06/10/23AChinese Taipei101-73
04/10/23APhilippines76-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guam
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL60%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayWWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game70.572.569.2
Allowed / game73.575.572.2
Point differential-3.0-3.0-3.0
Avg total144.0148.0141.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
China
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game88.893.781.5
Allowed / game57.653.364.0
Point differential+31.2+40.3+17.5
Avg total146.4147.0145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia660100%102.261.2+41.0
2 Lebanon550100%90.672.0+18.6
3 Jordan550100%78.064.6+13.4
4 New Zealand65183%87.766.0+21.7
5 Japan65183%79.376.8+2.5
6 China54180%88.857.6+31.2
7 Iran54180%73.052.0+21.0
8 Philippines64267%90.073.0+17.0
9 Thailand138562%84.979.7+5.2
10 Qatar106460%69.566.8+2.7
11 Iraq106460%73.771.4+2.3
12 South Korea53260%83.882.6+1.2
13 Saudi Arabia53260%67.067.8-0.8
14 Guam106460%70.573.5-3.0
15 Mongolia136746%76.979.2-2.2
16 Malaysia73443%74.075.7-1.7
17 Kuwait52340%73.270.2+3.0
18 Syria52340%75.475.2+0.2
19 United Arab Emirates104640%69.372.9-3.6
20 Bahrain52340%72.880.6-7.8
21 Kazakhstan52340%55.263.6-8.4
22 Chinese Taipei52340%72.483.0-10.6
23 Palestine103730%68.871.8-3.0
24 Vietnam41325%68.070.8-2.8
25 Hong Kong102820%63.981.2-17.3
26 India51420%59.878.6-18.8
27 Oman5050%57.674.8-17.2
28 Singapore5050%57.476.4-19.0
29 Indonesia5050%62.897.2-34.4
30 Tahiti4040%52.889.8-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guam1617232278
China1925222086
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