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Chiusi vs Cantu Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 75-65
15-15 22-27 22-7 16-16
Position#18
Record6-19
FormWWLLW
Points / game65.3
Allowed / game73.9
vs
Position#4
Record19-7
FormWLWWL
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game80.4
ItalySerie A2Round 27· Pala Pania
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chiusi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cantu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChiusiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiusi
Date
Competition
Rimini
#10
L
65-81
65
81
-16
50avg 54
H30/12
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
49-70
49
70
-21
35avg 54
A07/01
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
70-65
70
65
+5
60avg 54
H14/01
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
74-82
74
82
-8
63avg 54
A21/01
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
90-98
90
98
-8
82avg 54
A24/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
73-64
73
64
+9
67avg 54
A28/01
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
60-58
60
58
+2
49avg 54
H04/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
68-72
68
72
-4
52avg 54
H11/02
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
70-76
70
76
-6
62avg 54
A18/02
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
W
69-68
69
68
+1
58avg 54
A03/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
17-20
15-21
20-21
16-25
19-16
5-9
9-20
20-21
17-14
21-16
12-14
9-19
26-23
27-19
12-21
24-20
14-28
27-25
25-25
19-27
23-10
15-11
16-16
13-13
20-18
9-7
18-20
17-24
16-16
19-17
16-15
19-21
14-20
25-19
12-16
18-20
21-19
20-11
10-18
142.2Avg total
68.8Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)65.373.9139.2-8.624%
Season at home (12)64.371.8136.2-7.533%
Season away (13)66.275.8142.0-9.715%
Last 10 (10)68.873.4142.2-4.640%
Last 5 (5)68.067.6135.6+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)63.977.1141.0-13.10%
vs Similar (13)68.470.1138.5-1.754%
vs Weaker (1)77.073.0150.0+4.0100%
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#14
L
84-85
84
85
-1
71avg 81
H30/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
87-76
87
76
+11
75avg 81
A07/01
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
85-71
85
71
+14
80avg 81
H14/01
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
96-74
96
74
+22
93avg 81
A21/01
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
92-71
92
71
+21
80avg 81
A26/01
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
90-73
90
73
+17
81avg 81
H04/02
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
L
86-88
86
88
-2
75avg 81
A11/02
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
96-92
96
92
+4
92avg 81
H17/02
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
80-75
80
75
+5
73avg 81
A25/02
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
83-84
83
84
-1
69avg 81
H03/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
24-23
22-20
23-26
21-22
27-16
22-17
17-21
16-19
27-11
17-23
25-18
28-19
24-11
22-25
22-19
21-17
26-16
21-20
24-18
16-19
22-15
19-24
33-15
23-23
21-24
20-18
22-23
27-22
24-26
23-23
22-21
21-12
20-20
26-23
13-20
20-21
23-24
16-20
24-19
166.8Avg total
87.9Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)88.380.4168.7+7.973%
Season at home (13)88.879.2168.1+9.669%
Season away (13)87.781.5169.2+6.277%
Last 10 (10)87.978.9166.8+9.070%
Last 5 (5)87.082.4169.4+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.074.5155.5+6.550%
vs Similar (10)83.477.1160.5+6.360%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)88.681.4170.0+7.172%
This opponent (Chiusi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +2.5+2.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +2.5+2.5
ChiusiCantu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChiusiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#10
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H30/12
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A07/01
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H14/01
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A21/01
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A24/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A28/01
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H04/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H11/02
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A18/02
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A03/03
Serie A2
74.8Avg total
35.5Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.637.269.8-4.627%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.136.968.9-4.827%-
Last 30 away (15)33.137.570.6-4.327%-
Last 10 (10)35.539.374.8-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)36.037.673.6-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)32.538.270.8-5.812%-
vs Similar (13)32.536.168.6-3.538%-
vs Weaker (1)35.034.069.0+1.0100%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#14
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H30/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A07/01
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H14/01
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
52-30
52
30
+22
A21/01
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A26/01
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H04/02
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A11/02
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H17/02
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A25/02
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H03/03
Serie A2
82.2Avg total
44.6Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.839.284.1+5.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.137.983.0+7.373%-
Last 30 away (15)44.540.685.1+3.953%-
Last 10 (10)44.637.682.2+7.070%-
Last 5 (5)43.441.284.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.537.071.5-2.550%-
vs Similar (10)44.737.482.1+7.370%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)46.140.586.6+5.661%-
This opponent (Chiusi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chiusitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chiusi: 68.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.718.7
47.1%
50.3%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.55.5
24.4%
34.1%16.5
🏀 Free throws18.314.2
77.6%
74.2%14.2
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.421.2
56.7%
50.3%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.510.5
33.3%
34.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws16.112.1
75.2%
74.2%12.1
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chiusi
WLLWWLLWLL
Cantu
LWWLWWWWWL
#18
League position
#4
-8.5
Net rating
+11.7
93.2
Offensive rating
115.2
101.7
Defensive rating
103.5
43.3%
Effective FG%
53.6%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
17.2%
Turnover %
11.6%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.23
24.4%
3-point %
33.3%
44.6%
Assist %
52.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence93.2 · 115.2Defence101.7 · 103.5Shooting43.3% · 53.6%3-point %24.4% · 33.3%Ball care17.2% · 11.6%Off. rebounds24.7% · 26.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Chiusi   ■ Cantu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Chiusi wins
1
Cantu wins
DateGameScore
20/04/22Cantu v Chiusi76-68
Chiusilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24ATreviglio69-68
18/02/24AVigevano70-76
11/02/24HBasket Torino68-72
04/02/24HNardo60-58
28/01/24AAssigeco Piacenza73-64
24/01/24ATrieste90-98
21/01/24AForli74-82
14/01/24HOrzinuovi70-65
07/01/24AVerona49-70
30/12/23HRimini65-81
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24HRimini83-84
25/02/24ANardo80-75
17/02/24HTrieste96-92
11/02/24AOrzinuovi86-88
04/02/24HVigevano90-73
26/01/24AMonferrato92-71
21/01/24ASebastiani Rieti96-74
14/01/24HAgrigento85-71
07/01/24ABasket Torino87-76
30/12/23HUrania Milano84-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chiusi
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW24%
HomeLLWWL33%
AwayLLWLW15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %24%33%15%
Points / game65.364.366.2
Allowed / game73.971.875.8
Point differential-8.6-7.5-9.7
Avg total139.2136.2142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)67% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Cantu
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL73%
HomeLWWWL69%
AwayWWWLW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %73%69%77%
Points / game88.388.887.7
Allowed / game80.479.281.5
Point differential+7.9+9.6+6.2
Avg total168.7168.1169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%54%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)33% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2523292%89.676.6+13.0
2 Forli2622485%79.772.7+7.0
3 Fortitudo Bologna2519676%76.971.8+5.1
4 Cantu2619773%88.380.4+7.9
5 Udine2518772%79.470.0+9.4
6 Basket Torino2518772%85.181.0+4.2
7 Verona27171063%76.473.8+2.6
8 Sebastiani Rieti26161062%81.378.1+3.2
9 Trieste26151158%79.577.9+1.6
10 Urania Milano27141352%82.483.5-1.0
11 JuVi Cremona25121348%85.886.0-0.2
12 Cento26121446%74.177.9-3.8
13 Assigeco Piacenza27121544%77.175.9+1.2
14 Rimini25111444%77.677.1+0.5
15 Treviglio25111444%79.880.2-0.4
16 Cividale26111542%74.776.3-1.6
17 Nardo27111641%75.380.8-5.5
18 Vigevano26101638%77.981.3-3.3
19 Luiss Roma2691735%79.185.3-6.2
20 Orzinuovi2681831%74.176.9-2.8
21 Chiusi2561924%65.373.9-8.6
22 Monferrato2762122%79.684.9-5.3
23 Agrigento2762122%73.780.6-6.9
24 Latina2652119%77.185.6-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chiusi1522221675
Cantu152771665
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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