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Chiusi vs Orzinuovi Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 70-65
20-21 17-14 21-16 12-14
Position#18
Record2-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game62.2
Allowed / game74.4
vs
Position#21
Record4-14
FormLLLLW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game76.3
ItalySerie A2Round 19· Pala Pania
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chiusi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orzinuovi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChiusiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiusi
Date
Competition
Orzinuovi
#21
L
71-76
71
76
-5
62avg 50
A05/11
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
62-71
62
71
-9
60avg 50
H12/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
97-92 OT
97
92
+5
no box
H19/11
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
L
69-71
69
71
-2
62avg 50
A26/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
75-82
75
82
-7
66avg 50
H03/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
51-69
51
69
-18
40avg 50
H10/12
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
43-79
43
79
-36
29avg 50
H17/12
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
62-71
62
71
-9
52avg 50
A23/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
65-81
65
81
-16
50avg 50
H30/12
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
49-70
49
70
-21
35avg 50
A07/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-22
19-19
18-19
21-16
13-21
11-11
19-22
19-17
18-24
26-19
20-17
18-22
13-14
20-13
14-23
22-21
19-23
21-23
16-15
19-21
10-13
11-17
12-17
18-22
16-26
9-20
12-17
6-16
10-18
12-25
21-12
19-16
13-19
17-20
15-21
20-21
16-25
19-16
5-9
9-20
140.6Avg total
64.4Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)62.274.4136.6-12.212%
Season at home (9)63.874.1137.9-10.322%
Season away (8)60.574.8135.2-14.20%
Last 10 (10)64.476.2140.6-11.810%
Last 5 (5)54.074.0128.0-20.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)62.774.4137.1-11.77%
vs Similar ◀ (13)71.874.2145.9-2.438%
vs Weaker (2)80.075.5155.5+4.5100%
This opponent (Orzinuovi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OrzinuoviItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOrzinuovi
Date
Competition
Udine
#6
L
61-82
61
82
-21
46avg 62
A11/11
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
56-67
56
67
-11
49avg 62
H19/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
54-57
54
57
-3
42avg 62
A26/11
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
69-87
69
87
-18
52avg 62
H03/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
75-71
75
71
+4
68avg 62
A06/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
76-90
76
90
-14
59avg 62
A10/12
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
71-72
71
72
-1
59avg 62
H17/12
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
80-86
80
86
-6
69avg 62
A22/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
65-66
65
66
-1
59avg 62
H30/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
81-64
81
64
+17
72avg 62
H07/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
16-33
13-12
14-19
13-13
9-18
12-15
22-21
19-17
7-15
16-2
12-23
15-28
15-22
18-18
21-19
24-19
16-17
22-12
13-23
19-23
28-23
12-18
17-26
21-22
22-18
15-11
13-21
12-16
16-32
21-17
31-21
16-14
15-17
18-17
16-18
19-19
17-16
22-15
23-14
143.0Avg total
68.8Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)71.576.3147.8-4.822%
Season at home (9)70.271.4141.7-1.233%
Season away (9)72.881.2154.0-8.411%
Last 10 (10)68.874.2143.0-5.420%
Last 5 (5)74.675.6150.2-1.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)71.086.5157.5-15.59%
vs Similar ◀ (7)71.170.4141.6+0.743%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Chiusi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.4-6.4Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.3-2.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.4-6.4Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.3-2.3
ChiusiOrzinuovi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChiusiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orzinuovi
#21
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A05/11
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H12/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H19/11
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A26/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H03/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
21-30
21
30
-9
H10/12
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
25-46
25
46
-21
H17/12
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
22-43
22
43
-21
A23/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H30/12
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A07/01
Serie A2
69.4Avg total
30.6Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.237.070.2-3.927%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.436.870.2-3.429%-
Last 30 away (13)32.837.370.2-4.523%-
Last 10 (10)30.638.869.4-8.220%-
Last 5 (5)26.639.866.4-13.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)32.536.769.2-4.120%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)33.337.871.2-4.523%-
vs Weaker (2)37.034.571.5+2.5100%-
This opponent (Orzinuovi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OrzinuoviLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Udine
#6
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A11/11
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
22-31
22
31
-9
H19/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A26/11
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
30-50
30
50
-20
H03/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A06/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A10/12
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H17/12
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A22/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H30/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H07/01
Serie A2
73.7Avg total
33.7Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.444.079.4-8.627%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.441.476.8-6.125%-
Last 30 away (14)35.446.982.4-11.529%-
Last 10 (10)33.740.073.7-6.340%-
Last 5 (5)37.040.077.0-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)35.746.482.1-10.722%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)34.336.170.4-1.943%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Chiusi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chiusitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chiusi: 59.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.314.6
43.8%
50.3%29.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.16.2
26.8%
34.1%18.6
🏀 Free throws14.911.7
78.5%
74.2%11.7
They take 56.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orzinuovitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orzinuovi: 67.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.015.0
45.5%
50.3%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.4
30.7%
34.1%22.2
🏀 Free throws19.715.1
76.6%
74.2%15.1
They take 57.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chiusi
LLLLLLLWLL
Orzinuovi
WLLLLWLLLL
#18
League position
#21
-20.4
Net rating
-9.4
86.8
Offensive rating
95.7
107.2
Defensive rating
105.1
42.4%
Effective FG%
45.7%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
19.8%
Turnover %
17.3%
23.0%
Off. rebound %
22.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.35
26.8%
3-point %
30.7%
54.8%
Assist %
47.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence86.8 · 95.7Defence107.2 · 105.1Shooting42.4% · 45.7%3-point %26.8% · 30.7%Ball care19.8% · 17.3%Off. rebounds23.0% · 22.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)10% · 20%
■ Chiusi   ■ Orzinuovi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Chiusi wins
1
Orzinuovi wins
DateGameScore
05/11/23Orzinuovi v Chiusi76-71
Chiusilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/24AVerona49-70
30/12/23HRimini65-81
23/12/23ACento62-71
17/12/23HUdine43-79
10/12/23HCividale51-69
03/12/23HFortitudo Bologna75-82
26/11/23ANardo69-71
19/11/23HAssigeco Piacenza97-92 OT
12/11/23HForli62-71
05/11/23AOrzinuovi71-76
Orzinuovilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/24HNardo81-64
30/12/23HFortitudo Bologna65-66
22/12/23AVerona80-86
17/12/23HForli71-72
10/12/23ARimini76-90
06/12/23ACividale75-71
03/12/23HTrieste69-87
26/11/23AAssigeco Piacenza54-57
19/11/23HCento56-67
11/11/23AUdine61-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chiusi
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeWLLLL22%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %12%22%0%
Points / game62.263.860.5
Allowed / game74.474.174.8
Point differential-12.2-10.3-14.2
Avg total136.6137.9135.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %6%11%0%
Orzinuovi
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW22%
HomeLLLLW33%
AwayLLWLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %22%33%11%
Points / game71.570.272.8
Allowed / game76.371.481.2
Point differential-4.8-1.2-8.4
Avg total147.8141.7154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)33% (6)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani1918195%92.376.2+16.1
2 Fortitudo Bologna1815383%77.971.8+6.1
3 Forli1915479%79.474.3+5.2
4 Udine1914574%80.068.9+11.1
5 Cantu1914574%88.080.7+7.3
6 Trieste1813572%80.475.7+4.7
7 Basket Torino1812667%84.681.5+3.1
8 Verona1912763%76.773.1+3.6
9 Sebastiani Rieti1811761%82.279.3+2.8
10 JuVi Cremona1911858%87.885.3+2.5
11 Urania Milano1911858%83.583.8-0.4
12 Treviglio1910953%81.982.0-0.1
13 Assigeco Piacenza189950%78.075.7+2.3
14 Nardo1881044%77.983.7-5.8
15 Vigevano1871139%78.882.3-3.5
16 Cento1861233%72.778.6-5.9
17 Luiss Roma1861233%79.787.7-8.0
18 Rimini1961332%76.177.7-1.6
19 Cividale1961332%73.077.2-4.2
20 Agrigento1951426%75.881.2-5.4
21 Monferrato1841422%79.684.2-4.7
22 Orzinuovi1841422%71.576.3-4.8
23 Chiusi1721512%62.274.4-12.2
24 Latina1821611%77.388.2-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chiusi2017211270
Orzinuovi2114161465
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