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Orzinuovi vs Cantu Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 88-86
23-23 24-21 18-20 23-22
Position#21
Record6-16
FormWLLWW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game76.6
vs
Position#4
Record17-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game79.6
ItalySerie A2Round 23· PalaBertocchi
Other2023-24
Meetings · Orzinuovi v Cantu
29 Sep 2024
ORZI77
KAN76
11 Feb 2024
ORZI88
KAN86
20 Feb 2022
ORZI73
KAN86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orzinuovi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cantu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OrzinuoviItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOrzinuovi
Date
Competition
Cividale
#11
W
75-71
75
71
+4
68avg 65
A06/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
76-90
76
90
-14
59avg 65
A10/12
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
71-72
71
72
-1
59avg 65
H17/12
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
80-86
80
86
-6
69avg 65
A22/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
65-66
65
66
-1
59avg 65
H30/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
81-64
81
64
+17
72avg 65
H07/01
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
L
65-70
65
70
-5
54avg 65
A14/01
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
77-78
77
78
-1
70avg 65
H21/01
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
96-82
96
82
+14
91avg 65
A28/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
92-81
92
81
+11
98avg 65
H04/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
16-17
22-12
13-23
19-23
28-23
12-18
17-26
21-22
22-18
15-11
13-21
12-16
16-32
21-17
31-21
16-14
15-17
18-17
16-18
19-19
17-16
22-15
23-14
21-20
14-17
16-21
14-12
15-17
13-15
21-19
28-27
25-24
20-17
21-13
30-28
24-22
19-17
28-17
21-25
153.8Avg total
77.8Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)73.576.6150.1-3.127%
Season at home (11)72.872.9145.7-0.136%
Season away (11)74.280.3154.5-6.118%
Last 10 (10)77.876.0153.8+1.840%
Last 5 (5)82.275.0157.2+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)70.684.7155.2-14.110%
vs Similar (10)75.172.6147.7+2.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Treviglio
#16
W
75-69
75
69
+6
72avg 82
A06/12
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
90-72
90
72
+18
91avg 82
H10/12
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
101-93 OT
101
93
+8
no box
A17/12
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
67-71
67
71
-4
54avg 82
H23/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
84-85
84
85
-1
71avg 82
H30/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
87-76
87
76
+11
75avg 82
A07/01
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
85-71
85
71
+14
80avg 82
H14/01
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
96-74
96
74
+22
93avg 82
A21/01
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
92-71
92
71
+21
80avg 82
A26/01
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
90-73
90
73
+17
81avg 82
H04/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-12
18-21
16-18
16-18
18-16
29-21
25-18
18-17
23-23
24-22
20-18
22-26
14-20
17-19
18-17
18-15
15-16
24-23
22-20
23-26
21-22
27-16
22-17
17-21
16-19
27-11
17-23
25-18
28-19
24-11
22-25
22-19
21-17
26-16
21-20
24-18
16-19
22-15
19-24
33-15
162.2Avg total
86.7Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)88.679.6168.2+9.077%
Season at home (11)88.777.6166.4+11.173%
Season away (11)88.581.5170.1+7.082%
Last 10 (10)86.775.5162.2+11.280%
Last 5 (5)90.073.0163.0+17.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.074.5155.5+6.550%
vs Similar (9)81.074.2155.2+6.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)88.881.3170.1+7.574%
This opponent (Orzinuovi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +6.3+6.3Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +2.5+2.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +6.3+6.3Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +2.5+2.5
OrzinuoviCantu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OrzinuoviLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cividale
#11
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A06/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A10/12
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H17/12
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A22/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H30/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H07/01
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A14/01
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H21/01
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A28/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H04/02
Serie A2
76.1Avg total
37.6Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.642.478.0-6.733%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.339.774.9-4.433%-
Last 30 away (15)36.045.181.1-9.133%-
Last 10 (10)37.638.576.1-0.960%-
Last 5 (5)37.436.874.2+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)35.345.080.3-9.825%-
vs Similar (10)36.337.073.3-0.750%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviglio
#16
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A06/12
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H10/12
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A17/12
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H23/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H30/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A07/01
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H14/01
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
52-30
52
30
+22
A21/01
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A26/01
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H04/02
Serie A2
79.3Avg total
43.5Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.638.983.5+5.667%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.336.579.8+6.973%-
Last 30 away (15)45.841.487.2+4.460%-
Last 10 (10)43.535.879.3+7.780%-
Last 5 (5)45.633.078.6+12.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.537.071.5-2.550%-
vs Similar (9)42.735.678.2+7.167%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)46.540.787.3+5.868%-
This opponent (Orzinuovi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orzinuovitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orzinuovi: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.217.7
48.9%
50.3%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.1
34.3%
34.1%24.3
🏀 Free throws19.816.1
81.3%
74.2%16.1
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.121.4
57.7%
50.3%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.3
34.9%
34.1%30.9
🏀 Free throws16.311.9
73.0%
74.2%11.9
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orzinuovi
WWLLWLLLLW
Cantu
WWWWWLLWWW
#21
League position
#4
-2.1
Net rating
+15.3
106.3
Offensive rating
114.6
108.4
Defensive rating
99.3
49.9%
Effective FG%
55.3%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
14.9%
Turnover %
14.3%
23.2%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.24
34.3%
3-point %
34.9%
49.2%
Assist %
57.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 114.6Defence108.4 · 99.3Shooting49.9% · 55.3%3-point %34.3% · 34.9%Ball care14.9% · 14.3%Off. rebounds23.2% · 26.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Orzinuovi   ■ Cantu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Orzinuovi wins
2
Cantu wins
DateGameScore
20/02/22Orzinuovi v Cantu73-86
14/11/21Cantu v Orzinuovi76-61
Orzinuovilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/24HAssigeco Piacenza92-81
28/01/24ACento96-82
21/01/24HUdine77-78
14/01/24AChiusi65-70
07/01/24HNardo81-64
30/12/23HFortitudo Bologna65-66
22/12/23AVerona80-86
17/12/23HForli71-72
10/12/23ARimini76-90
06/12/23ACividale75-71
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/24HVigevano90-73
26/01/24AMonferrato92-71
21/01/24ASebastiani Rieti96-74
14/01/24HAgrigento85-71
07/01/24ABasket Torino87-76
30/12/23HUrania Milano84-85
23/12/23HTrapani67-71
17/12/23ALuiss Roma101-93 OT
10/12/23HLatina90-72
06/12/23ATreviglio75-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orzinuovi
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW27%
HomeLLWLW36%
AwayWLLLW18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %27%36%18%
Points / game73.572.874.2
Allowed / game76.672.980.3
Point differential-3.1-0.1-6.1
Avg total150.1145.7154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (12)29% (7)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cantu
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW77%
HomeWLLWW73%
AwayWWWWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %77%73%82%
Points / game88.688.788.5
Allowed / game79.677.681.5
Point differential+9.0+11.1+7.0
Avg total168.2166.4170.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%64%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)25% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2321291%90.376.9+13.4
2 Forli2218482%79.873.2+6.6
3 Cantu2217577%88.679.6+9.0
4 Fortitudo Bologna2217577%76.571.0+5.5
5 Udine2215768%78.769.9+8.9
6 Verona2215768%75.971.8+4.1
7 Basket Torino2215768%85.982.3+3.6
8 Trieste2314961%79.878.4+1.4
9 Sebastiani Rieti2213959%81.679.2+2.4
10 JuVi Cremona22121055%87.585.9+1.6
11 Urania Milano22121055%84.083.9+0.1
12 Treviglio22111150%81.081.3-0.3
13 Cento23101343%74.078.4-4.3
14 Assigeco Piacenza2291341%76.075.5+0.5
15 Rimini2291341%77.176.8+0.3
16 Luiss Roma2391439%79.385.6-6.3
17 Vigevano2281436%78.582.5-4.0
18 Nardo2281436%75.582.0-6.5
19 Cividale2381535%74.077.2-3.3
20 Orzinuovi2261627%73.576.6-3.1
21 Agrigento2261627%75.581.1-5.6
22 Chiusi2251723%64.874.2-9.4
23 Monferrato2351822%79.385.0-5.7
24 Latina2241818%78.987.8-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Orzinuovi2324182388
Cantu2321202286
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