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Cholet vs Bursaspor Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 109-77
34-20 30-20 22-26 23-11
Position#23
Record2-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game89.5
Cholet 🏆
vs
Position#35
Record3-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game78.0
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 5· La Meilleraie
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cholet winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bursaspor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CholetLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCholet
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
73-91
73
91
-18
60avg 87
A07/10
Champions League
Dijon
#11
L
64-76
64
76
-12
62avg 87
A11/10
LNB
Bursaspor
#35
W
84-72
84
72
+12
84avg 87
A14/10
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#9
W
98-79
98
79
+19
95avg 87
H18/10
LNB
Hapoel Holon
#36
L
92-103
92
103
-11
88avg 87
H22/10
Champions League
JL Bourg
#7
W
93-87
93
87
+6
96avg 87
A25/10
LNB
Le Mans
#6
L
80-84
80
84
-4
73avg 87
H01/11
LNB
Hapoel Holon
#36
W
94-92 OT
94
92
+2
83avg 87
A04/11
Champions League
Nancy
#10
L
87-91
87
91
-4
82avg 87
A07/11
LNB
Nanterre
#3
L
76-78
76
78
-2
71avg 87
H14/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-29
18-24
20-21
18-17
19-18
14-33
17-13
14-12
20-23
18-14
22-17
24-18
13-22
25-13
30-25
30-19
27-25
21-25
22-28
22-25
32-19
21-21
17-19
23-28
20-24
28-17
19-21
13-22
22-15
25-19
24-26
13-24
21-29
22-19
20-23
24-20
25-18
22-14
13-29
16-17
169.4Avg total
84.1Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)85.889.5175.2-3.850%
Season at home (1)92.0103.0195.0-11.00%
Season away (3)83.785.0168.7-1.367%
Last 10 (10)84.185.3169.4-1.240%
Last 5 (5)86.086.4172.4-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.795.7175.3-16.00%
vs Similar (13)81.585.4166.9-3.838%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)87.382.7170.0+4.664%
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBursaspor
Date
Competition
Hapoel Holon
#36
L
74-84
74
84
-10
67avg 75
A08/10
Champions League
Trabzonspor
#6
W
85-79
85
79
+6
86avg 75
A11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#23
L
72-84
72
84
-12
58avg 75
H14/10
Champions League
Manisa
#11
W
84-69
84
69
+15
76avg 75
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
67-94
67
94
-27
61avg 75
A22/10
Champions League
Besiktas
#2
L
70-88
70
88
-18
68avg 75
A25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
75-77
75
77
-2
71avg 75
H01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
68-79
68
79
-11
63avg 75
H05/11
Champions League
Tofas
#9
L
70-84
70
84
-14
56avg 75
A08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
76-74
76
74
+2
72avg 75
H15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
26-17
17-29
15-22
19-17
24-21
14-28
28-13
23-20
14-18
17-22
18-24
19-20
17-18
26-9
22-22
8-27
21-13
25-31
13-23
18-22
16-22
13-22
23-22
18-21
19-17
25-13
13-26
16-20
20-22
15-10
17-27
21-20
20-23
13-26
16-15
22-18
17-17
22-19
15-20
155.3Avg total
74.1Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.978.0153.9-2.143%
Season at home (4)78.277.5155.8+0.850%
Season away (3)72.778.7151.3-6.033%
Last 10 (10)74.181.2155.3-7.130%
Last 5 (5)71.880.4152.2-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)77.089.6166.6-12.615%
vs Similar (15)82.679.7162.3+2.953%
vs Weaker (1)95.075.0170.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Cholet) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -3.4-3.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -3.4-3.4
CholetBursaspor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CholetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A07/10
Champions League
Dijon
#11
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A11/10
LNB
Bursaspor
#35
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A14/10
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#9
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H18/10
LNB
Hapoel Holon
#36
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H22/10
Champions League
JL Bourg
#7
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A25/10
LNB
Le Mans
#6
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H01/11
LNB
Hapoel Holon
#36
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A04/11
Champions League
Nancy
#10
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A07/11
LNB
Nanterre
#3
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H14/11
LNB
85.1Avg total
43.0Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.042.184.1-0.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.540.182.6+2.457%-
Last 30 away (16)41.643.885.4-2.250%-
Last 10 (10)43.042.185.1+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)47.639.086.6+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.349.789.0-10.30%-
vs Similar (13)40.842.683.5-1.846%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.639.983.6+3.771%-
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Holon
#36
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A08/10
Champions League
Trabzonspor
#6
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#23
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H14/10
Champions League
Manisa
#11
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A22/10
Champions League
Besiktas
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H05/11
Champions League
Tofas
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
76.3Avg total
37.4Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.939.779.6+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.039.780.7+1.347%-
Last 30 away (15)38.739.878.5-1.140%-
Last 10 (10)37.438.976.3-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)37.440.477.8-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)38.343.381.6-5.023%-
vs Similar (15)40.937.478.3+3.553%-
vs Weaker (1)43.035.078.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Cholet) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cholettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cholet: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.619.5
54.8%
52.4%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.6
34.4%
33.8%22.8
🏀 Free throws20.014.9
74.5%
74.1%14.9
They take 57.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bursasportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bursaspor: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.5
49.9%
52.4%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.2
32.7%
33.8%21.6
🏀 Free throws19.414.5
74.7%
74.1%14.5
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cholet
LLWLWLWWLL
Bursaspor
WLLLLLWLWL
#23
League position
#35
-0.4
Net rating
-9.8
105.1
Offensive rating
100.9
105.6
Defensive rating
110.7
53.6%
Effective FG%
49.6%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
23.0%
Turnover %
19.6%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.4%
3-point %
32.7%
65.7%
Assist %
67.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 100.9Defence105.6 · 110.7Shooting53.6% · 49.6%3-point %34.4% · 32.7%Ball care23.0% · 19.6%Off. rebounds32.5% · 28.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Cholet   ■ Bursaspor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cholet wins
0
Bursaspor wins
DateGameScore
14/10/25Bursaspor v Cholet72-84
Choletlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/25HNanterre76-78
07/11/25ANancy87-91
04/11/25AHapoel Holon94-92 OT
01/11/25HLe Mans80-84
25/10/25AJL Bourg93-87
22/10/25HHapoel Holon92-103
18/10/25HChalon/Saone98-79
14/10/25ABursaspor84-72
11/10/25ADijon64-76
07/10/25AJoventut Badalona73-91
Bursasporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25HPetkim Spor76-74
08/11/25ATofas70-84
05/11/25HJoventut Badalona68-79
01/11/25HBahcesehir Kol.75-77
25/10/25ABesiktas70-88
22/10/25AJoventut Badalona67-94
18/10/25HManisa84-69
14/10/25HCholet72-84
11/10/25ATrabzonspor85-79
08/10/25AHapoel Holon74-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cholet
Champions League 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%0%67%
Points / game85.892.083.7
Allowed / game89.5103.085.0
Point differential-3.8-11.0-1.3
Avg total175.2195.0168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %25%0%33%
Bursaspor
Champions League 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL43%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game75.978.272.7
Allowed / game78.077.578.7
Point differential-2.1+0.8-6.0
Avg total153.9155.8151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja440100%92.869.5+23.2
2 Joventut Badalona440100%86.268.2+18.0
3 AEK Athens440100%81.565.8+15.8
4 Tenerife440100%88.274.2+14.0
5 Gran Canaria550100%86.272.4+13.8
6 Chalon/Saone770100%93.482.3+11.1
7 Rytas54180%93.884.6+9.2
8 Galatasaray54180%90.481.8+8.6
9 Alba Berlin43175%85.877.5+8.2
10 Levice75271%79.976.4+3.4
11 Murcia32167%89.783.7+6.0
12 Bakken Bears32167%88.086.0+2.0
13 Antwerp Giants32167%72.775.3-2.7
14 Wurzburg53260%78.075.0+3.0
15 Reggiana21150%88.584.0+4.5
16 Szolnoki Olaj42250%77.273.5+3.8
17 Den Bosch21150%78.575.0+3.5
18 Juventus21150%87.085.0+2.0
19 Trapani42250%86.284.2+2.0
20 Hapoel Holon42250%86.085.2+0.8
21 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%81.082.5-1.5
22 Spartak Subotica42250%77.279.2-2.0
23 PAOK21150%76.079.5-3.5
24 Cholet42250%85.889.5-3.8
25 AS Karditsas42250%76.281.0-4.8
26 Tofas42250%78.884.0-5.2
27 Mersin SK42250%82.089.0-7.0
28 FC Porto21150%81.089.5-8.5
29 Bursaspor73443%75.978.0-2.1
30 Legia52340%77.075.8+1.2
31 Trieste52340%84.885.8-1.0
32 Heidelberg52340%82.884.8-2.0
33 Promitheas52340%74.082.4-8.4
34 Nymburk41325%85.286.0-0.8
35 Benfica41325%74.291.8-17.5
36 Le Mans51420%81.679.8+1.8
37 Igokea51420%77.488.0-10.6
38 Kutaisi1010%81.084.0-3.0
39 Szombathely1010%79.083.0-4.0
40 Basketball Braunschweig1010%74.081.0-7.0
41 CSM Oradea1010%71.079.0-8.0
42 Rilski Sportist1010%84.093.0-9.0
43 Bnei Herzliya4040%83.294.0-10.8
44 Oostende4040%84.295.8-11.5
45 Pelister1010%87.099.0-12.0
46 Studentski Centar1010%67.079.0-12.0
47 Trepca1010%68.080.0-12.0
48 Sabah Baku4040%74.887.8-13.0
49 Karhu Basket1010%89.0103.0-14.0
50 Lublin1010%84.0100.0-16.0
51 VEF Riga4040%66.583.2-16.8
52 AEK Larnaca1010%69.090.0-21.0
53 Fribourg Olympic1010%80.0107.0-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 53 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cholet34302223109
Bursaspor2020261177
← all games of the day
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