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Cincinnati vs Iowa State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 79-70
35-31 44-39
Position#161
Record9-8
FormWLLLW
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game65.9
Cincinnati 🏆
USA
vs
Iowa State
USA
Position#34
Record15-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game65.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Cincinnati v Iowa State
17 Jan 2026
CINC79
IOWA70
13 Feb 2024
CINC59
IOWA68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cincinnati winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Iowa State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CincinnatiUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tarleton
#255
W
76-58
76
58
+18
H02/12
NCAA
Xavier
#248
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A06/12
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
65-84
65
84
-19
A13/12
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
W
88-51
88
51
+37
H18/12
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A21/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
89-62
89
62
+27
H30/12
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
60-67
60
67
-7
H03/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
60-62
60
62
-2
A07/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
72-73
72
73
-1
A11/01
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-29
45-29
37-37
37-42
37-37
28-47
50-25
38-26
18-38
47-30
44-24
45-38
33-28
27-39
28-31
32-31
32-33
40-40
43-25
34-43
139.8Avg total
72.6Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)73.865.9139.7+7.853%
Season at home (12)76.562.9139.4+13.675%
Season away (5)67.273.2140.4-6.00%
Last 10 (10)72.667.2139.8+5.440%
Last 5 (5)71.666.4138.0+5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)66.174.4140.6-8.314%
vs Similar (10)67.264.8132.0+2.440%
vs Weaker (13)79.066.2145.2+12.877%
This opponent (Iowa State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Iowa StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alcorn State
#348
W
132-68
132
68
+64
H04/12
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
81-58
81
58
+23
A06/12
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H12/12
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
78-53
78
53
+25
H14/12
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
91-60
91
60
+31
H21/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
89-61
89
61
+28
H30/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
80-59
80
59
+21
H03/01
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A08/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H10/01
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
63-84
63
84
-21
A14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
65-28
67-40
35-31
46-27
25-33
41-29
44-28
34-25
57-20
34-40
41-28
48-33
41-28
39-31
25-24
45-36
42-40
41-31
23-44
40-40
146.9Avg total
83.3Scored
63.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)85.665.1150.7+20.588%
Season at home (11)90.960.6151.5+30.3100%
Season away (6)75.873.3149.2+2.567%
Last 10 (10)83.363.6146.9+19.790%
Last 5 (5)77.067.0144.0+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)80.474.8155.2+5.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)82.865.5148.2+17.384%
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: +9.4+9.42nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: +10.3+10.3
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: +9.4+9.42nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: +10.3+10.3
CincinnatiIowa State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CincinnatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tarleton
#255
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H02/12
NCAA
Xavier
#248
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A06/12
NCAA
Georgia
#68
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A13/12
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
W
50-25
50
25
+25
H18/12
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
18-38
18
38
-20
A21/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H30/12
NCAA
Houston
#18
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H03/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A07/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A11/01
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H15/01
NCAA
66.0Avg total
35.3Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.431.866.1+2.653%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.129.665.7+6.578%-
Last 30 away (12)31.835.066.8-3.217%-
Last 10 (10)35.330.766.0+4.650%-
Last 5 (5)36.028.264.2+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)32.734.967.6-2.129%-
vs Similar (10)31.330.561.8+0.850%-
vs Weaker (13)37.631.168.7+6.569%-
This opponent (Iowa State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Iowa StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alcorn State
#348
W
65-28
65
28
+37
H04/12
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A06/12
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H12/12
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H14/12
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
57-20
57
20
+37
H21/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H30/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H03/01
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
25-24
25
24
+1
A08/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H10/01
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
23-44
23
44
-21
A14/01
NCAA
70.2Avg total
39.8Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.132.070.1+6.270%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.829.370.2+11.579%-
Last 30 away (11)33.536.570.0-3.155%-
Last 10 (10)39.830.470.2+9.480%-
Last 5 (5)34.432.867.2+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)36.434.070.4+2.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)38.531.670.0+6.972%-
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cincinnati wins
3
Iowa State wins
DateGameScore
12/03/25Iowa State v Cincinnati76-56
15/02/25Iowa State v Cincinnati81-70
14/02/24Cincinnati v Iowa State59-68
Cincinnatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/26HColorado77-68
11/01/26AUCF Knights72-73
07/01/26AWest Virginia60-62
03/01/26HHouston60-67
30/12/25HLipscomb89-62
21/12/25AClemson65-68
18/12/25HAlabama State88-51
13/12/25AGeorgia65-84
06/12/25AXavier74-79
02/12/25HTarleton76-58
Iowa Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26AKansas63-84
10/01/26HOklahoma State83-71
08/01/26ABaylor70-60
03/01/26HWest Virginia80-59
30/12/25HHouston Christian89-61
21/12/25HLong Beach State91-60
14/12/25HEastern Illinois78-53
12/12/25HIowa66-62
06/12/25APurdue81-58
04/12/25HAlcorn State132-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cincinnati
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW53%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17125
Win %53%75%0%
Points / game73.876.567.2
Allowed / game65.962.973.2
Point differential+7.8+13.6-6.0
Avg total139.7139.4140.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)-0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Iowa State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17116
Win %88%100%67%
Points / game85.690.975.8
Allowed / game65.160.673.3
Point differential+20.5+30.3+2.5
Avg total150.7151.5149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+76%91%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona17170100%91.068.8+22.2
2 Brigham Young1716194%87.568.8+18.8
3 Houston1716194%77.259.3+17.9
4 Iowa State1715288%85.665.1+20.5
5 UCF Knights1614288%85.875.4+10.4
6 Texas Tech1713476%83.473.2+10.1
7 Oklahoma State1713476%88.480.8+7.6
8 Kansas1813572%78.067.5+10.5
9 Colorado1712571%84.577.5+6.9
10 Baylor1711665%87.174.9+12.2
11 TCU1711665%79.868.8+10.9
12 West Virginia1711665%73.263.2+10.1
13 Arizona State1710759%80.879.4+1.4
14 Cincinnati179853%73.865.9+7.8
15 Kansas State179853%85.680.1+5.5
16 Utah Utes178947%80.281.1-0.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Cincinnati354479
Iowa State313970
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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