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Cleveland Cavaliers vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 06 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 22:30
Scheduled
Position#16
Record4-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game117.2
Allowed / game118.2
vs
Position#6
Record7-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game120.7
Allowed / game115.7
USANBA· Rocket Arena
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Cleveland Cavaliers v Atlanta Hawks
06 Mar 2027
CLE v ATL
upcoming
08 Apr 2026
CLE122
ATL116
02 Nov 2025
CLE117
ATL109
30 Jan 2025
CLE137
ATL115
27 Nov 2024
CLE124
ATL135
16 Dec 2023
CLE127
ATL119
28 Nov 2023
CLE128
ATL105
21 Nov 2022
CLE114
ATL102
12 Oct 2022
CLE105
ATL99
16 Jul 2022
CLE94
ATL90
15 Apr 2022
CLE101
ATL107
31 Dec 2021
CLE118
ATL121
23 Oct 2021
CLE101
ATL95
23 Feb 2021
CLE112
ATL111
12 Feb 2020
CLE127
ATL105
23 Dec 2019
CLE121
ATL118
30 Oct 2018
CLE136
ATL114
21 Oct 2018
CLE111
ATL133
12 Dec 2017
CLE123
ATL114
05 Nov 2017
CLE115
ATL117
04 Oct 2017
CLE93
ATL109
07 Apr 2017
CLE100
ATL114
08 Nov 2016
CLE106
ATL110
04 May 2016
CLE123
ATL98
02 May 2016
CLE104
ATL93
11 Apr 2016
CLE109
ATL94
21 Nov 2015
CLE109
ATL97
07 Oct 2015
CLE96
ATL98
26 May 2015
CLE118
ATL88
24 May 2015
CLE114
ATL111
17 Dec 2014
CLE98
ATL127
15 Nov 2014
CLE127
ATL94
26 Dec 2013
CLE125
ATL127
09 Jan 2013
CLE99
ATL83
28 Dec 2012
CLE94
ATL102
18 Mar 2012
CLE87
ATL103
27 Mar 2011
CLE83
ATL99
02 Nov 2010
CLE88
ATL100
02 Apr 2010
CLE93
ATL88
30 Dec 2009
CLE106
ATL101
07 May 2009
CLE105
ATL85
05 May 2009
CLE99
ATL72
21 Mar 2009
CLE102
ATL96
22 Nov 2008
CLE110
ATL96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cleveland Cavaliers win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Atlanta Hawks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cleveland CavaliersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#4
L
108-121
108
121
-13
H24/05
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
93-130
93
130
-37
H26/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
113-124
113
124
-11
H08/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#11
W
119-105
119
105
+14
H11/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#11
L
116-132
116
132
-16
A13/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
106-114
106
114
-8
A22/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
125-121
125
121
+4
H24/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#9
W
127-125 OT
127
125
+2
H26/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
121-111
121
111
+10
H28/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#6
L
111-114
111
114
-3
A30/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-37
27-23
28-31
26-30
26-38
23-30
22-30
22-32
29-32
33-39
34-28
17-25
32-28
29-22
29-25
29-30
28-35
24-37
31-36
33-24
35-18
34-27
21-37
16-32
35-30
33-24
28-26
29-41
24-31
26-29
36-26
27-27
34-42
25-27
33-23
29-19
28-16
16-30
38-43
29-25
233.6Avg total
113.9Scored
119.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)117.2118.2235.5-1.050%
Season at home (5)121.0117.2238.2+3.880%
Season away (3)111.0120.0231.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)113.9119.7233.6-5.840%
Last 5 (5)118.0117.0235.0+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)107.9113.6221.5-5.636%
vs Similar (14)113.9113.9227.7+0.057%
vs Weaker (2)136.0121.5257.5+14.5100%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#14
W
123-116
123
116
+7
A09/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
119-117
119
117
+2
A10/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#18
W
113-110
113
110
+3
H12/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
135-111
135
111
+24
A17/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#11
W
132-125
132
125
+7
A21/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
128-81
128
81
+47
A23/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
114-121
114
121
-7
H25/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
110-120
110
120
-10
A27/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
L
117-129
117
129
-12
H28/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
W
114-111
114
111
+3
H30/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-39
42-30
31-26
30-21
31-32
31-28
34-26
23-31
29-28
27-21
23-30
34-31
39-34
34-20
29-24
33-33
28-33
44-29
27-38
33-25
33-20
35-23
29-19
31-19
26-30
22-29
33-33
33-29
35-32
31-31
19-28
25-29
25-34
31-35
29-28
32-32
16-28
30-16
43-38
25-29
234.6Avg total
120.5Scored
114.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)120.7115.7236.5+5.064%
Season at home (5)116.2120.6236.8-4.440%
Season away (6)124.5111.7236.2+12.883%
Last 10 (10)120.5114.1234.6+6.470%
Last 5 (5)116.6112.4229.0+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)106.6117.5224.1-10.929%
vs Similar (6)122.7115.7238.3+7.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)126.8111.1237.9+15.790%
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +6.5+6.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +2.0+2.0
Cleveland CavaliersAtlanta Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cleveland CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#4
L
54-60
54
60
-6
H24/05
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
49-68
49
68
-19
H26/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
62-71
62
71
-9
H08/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#11
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H11/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#11
L
52-72
52
72
-20
A13/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
69-45
69
45
+24
A22/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
68-54
68
54
+14
H24/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#9
L
50-60
50
60
-10
H26/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H28/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#6
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A30/10
NBA
116.3Avg total
56.8Scored
59.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.056.6111.6-1.633%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.958.6116.4-0.738%-
Last 30 away (14)51.754.3106.0-2.629%-
Last 10 (10)56.859.5116.3-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)58.054.8112.8+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)52.055.9107.9-3.921%-
vs Similar (14)56.456.9113.2-0.536%-
vs Weaker (2)66.559.5126.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
62-69
62
69
-7
A09/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
62-60
62
60
+2
A10/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#18
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H12/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
73-54
73
54
+19
A17/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#11
W
72-62
72
62
+10
A21/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
68-43
68
43
+25
A23/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
48-59
48
59
-11
H25/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A27/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
L
56-69
56
69
-13
H28/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H30/10
NBA
118.1Avg total
60.9Scored
57.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.858.4118.3+1.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.557.8113.3-2.357%-
Last 30 away (16)63.659.0122.6+4.662%-
Last 10 (10)60.957.2118.1+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)56.855.6112.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)54.961.1115.9-6.236%-
vs Similar (6)64.360.3124.7+4.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)64.153.6117.7+10.590%-
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cleveland Cavalierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cleveland Cavaliers: 110.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.226.3
54.6%
54.0%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.412.7
33.1%
34.9%38.1
🏀 Free throws25.919.5
75.3%
76.2%19.5
They take 86.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 117.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.726.9
53.1%
54.0%53.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.314.7
33.9%
34.9%44.1
🏀 Free throws25.219.6
77.8%
76.2%19.6
They take 94.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cleveland Cavaliers
LWWWLLWLLL
Atlanta Hawks
WLLLWWWWWW
#16
League position
#6
-8.6
Net rating
-4.1
101.0
Offensive rating
105.1
109.6
Defensive rating
109.3
52.4%
Effective FG%
52.1%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
57.5%
15.0%
Turnover %
12.7%
11.0%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.1%
3-point %
33.9%
60.5%
Assist %
70.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence101.0 · 105.1Defence109.6 · 109.3Shooting52.4% · 52.1%3-point %33.1% · 33.9%Ball care15.0% · 12.7%Off. rebounds11.0% · 25.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Cleveland Cavaliers   ■ Atlanta Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26AAtlanta Hawks111-114
28/10/26HWashington Wizards121-111
26/10/26HMinnesota Timberwolves127-125 OT
24/10/26HBrooklyn Nets125-121
22/10/26APhiladelphia 76ers106-114
13/10/26AOrlando Magic116-132
11/10/26HOrlando Magic119-105
08/10/26HBoston Celtics113-124
26/05/26HNew York Knicks93-130
24/05/26HNew York Knicks108-121
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HCleveland Cavaliers114-111
28/10/26HMiami Heat117-129
27/10/26AHouston Rockets110-120
25/10/26HHouston Rockets114-121
23/10/26ACharlotte Hornets128-81
21/10/26AOrlando Magic132-125
17/10/26ADallas Mavericks135-111
12/10/26HOklahoma City Thunder113-110
10/10/26AIndiana Pacers119-117
09/10/26ASan Antonio Spurs123-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %50%80%0%
Points / game117.2121.0111.0
Allowed / game118.2117.2120.0
Point differential-1.0+3.8-9.0
Avg total235.5238.2231.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %12%20%0%
Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW64%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%40%83%
Points / game120.7116.2124.5
Allowed / game115.7120.6111.7
Point differential+5.0-4.4+12.8
Avg total236.5236.8236.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics98189%123.4110.0+13.4
2 Memphis Grizzlies98189%117.9108.2+9.7
3 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
4 Houston Rockets97278%121.3110.9+10.4
5 Portland Trail Blazers75271%120.3114.3+6.0
6 Atlanta Hawks117464%120.7115.7+5.0
7 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
8 Philadelphia 76ers106460%110.6111.0-0.4
9 Minnesota Timberwolves127558%118.8112.4+6.4
10 Golden State Warriors127558%115.2110.8+4.4
11 Orlando Magic95456%116.0117.8-1.8
12 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.2112.6+0.5
13 Toronto Raptors105550%119.6111.5+8.1
14 San Antonio Spurs105550%115.5109.4+6.1
15 Washington Wizards105550%111.6111.3+0.3
16 Cleveland Cavaliers84450%117.2118.2-1.0
17 Dallas Mavericks105550%114.3115.7-1.4
18 Oklahoma City Thunder105550%109.0110.8-1.8
19 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
20 New Orleans Pelicans94544%115.4116.6-1.1
21 Utah Jazz94544%112.8115.6-2.8
22 Charlotte Hornets104640%97.0108.0-11.0
23 Los Angeles Clippers83538%107.4110.5-3.1
24 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
25 Brooklyn Nets93633%116.4118.9-2.4
26 Indiana Pacers103730%117.9119.2-1.3
27 Milwaukee Bucks103730%111.4122.0-10.6
28 New York Knicks113827%106.5115.2-8.6
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings100100%106.5122.2-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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