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Cleveland State vs Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 75-90
27-39 48-51
Position#303
Record3-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game89.6
vs
Position#170
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game65.2
Allowed / game70.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cleveland State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cleveland StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oakland
#220
L
86-91 OT
86
91
-5
A23/02
NCAA
Wright State
#239
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A28/02
NCAA
IPFW
#128
W
68-57
68
57
+11
H01/03
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#199
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H07/03
NCAA
Youngstown State
#117
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H11/03
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
L
88-91
88
91
-3
A04/11
NCAA
Capital Crusaders
#373
W
71-70
71
70
+1
H07/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
63-110
63
110
-47
A11/11
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
102-95
102
95
+7
A15/11
NCAA
Radford
#176
W
87-82
87
82
+5
H16/11
NCAA
1H
2H
46-42
31-35
45-31
31-51
31-24
37-33
33-27
35-36
21-22
33-34
51-50
37-41
40-33
31-37
28-53
35-57
44-41
58-54
36-49
51-33
156.0Avg total
76.3Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.289.6171.8-7.460%
Season at home (2)79.076.0155.0+3.0100%
Season away (3)84.398.7183.0-14.333%
Last 10 (10)76.379.7156.0-3.450%
Last 5 (5)82.289.6171.8-7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)84.095.7179.7-11.767%
vs Similar (10)70.167.8137.9+2.350%
vs Weaker (16)80.165.7145.8+14.475%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#270
W
83-79
83
79
+4
A23/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
65-76
65
76
-11
H27/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
73-77
73
77
-4
A02/03
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
67-50
67
50
+17
A07/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
64-63
64
63
+1
A08/03
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
65-70
65
70
-5
A08/03
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
66-63
66
63
+3
H05/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
59-107
59
107
-48
A08/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H13/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
W
68-50
68
50
+18
H16/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-37
52-42
29-28
36-48
32-39
41-38
37-21
30-29
45-32
19-31
34-31
31-39
31-25
35-38
26-58
33-49
25-19
43-44
22-30
46-20
137.6Avg total
67.8Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)65.270.8136.0-5.575%
Season at home (3)67.358.7126.0+8.7100%
Season away (1)59.0107.0166.0-48.00%
Last 10 (10)67.869.8137.6-2.060%
Last 5 (5)65.270.6135.8-5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)69.080.8149.8-11.825%
vs Similar (17)73.273.8147.0-0.653%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)77.667.4145.0+10.260%
This opponent (Cleveland State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: -0.8-0.82nd half2nd half: -3.2-3.22nd half: -1.2-1.2
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: -0.8-0.82nd half2nd half: -3.2-3.22nd half: -1.2-1.2
Cleveland StateValparaiso
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Cleveland StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oakland
#220
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A23/02
NCAA
Wright State
#239
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A28/02
NCAA
IPFW
#128
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H01/03
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#199
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H07/03
NCAA
Youngstown State
#117
L
21-22
21
22
-1
H11/03
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A04/11
NCAA
Capital Crusaders
#373
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H07/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
28-53
28
53
-25
A11/11
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A15/11
NCAA
Radford
#176
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H16/11
NCAA
74.7Avg total
37.5Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.032.969.9+4.267%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.230.666.9+5.671%-
Last 30 away (13)38.135.873.8+2.362%-
Last 10 (10)37.537.274.7+0.370%-
Last 5 (5)39.845.285.0-5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)36.047.783.7-11.733%-
vs Similar (10)34.530.264.7+4.360%-
vs Weaker (16)38.631.870.4+6.975%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#270
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A23/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H27/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A02/03
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
37-21
37
21
+16
A07/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A08/03
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A08/03
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H05/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
26-58
26
58
-32
A08/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
25-19
25
19
+6
H13/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
L
22-30
22
30
-8
H16/11
NCAA
63.2Avg total
31.2Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.335.268.5-1.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.432.266.6+2.164%-
Last 30 away (16)32.437.870.2-5.331%-
Last 10 (10)31.232.063.2-0.860%-
Last 5 (5)27.632.660.2-5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.238.171.4-4.950%-
vs Similar (17)33.533.266.7+0.247%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)33.037.070.0-4.040%-
This opponent (Cleveland State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cleveland State wins
0
Valparaiso wins
DateGameScore
13/11/24Valparaiso v Cleveland State67-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/25HRadford87-82
15/11/25AKent State102-95
11/11/25ANorthwestern63-110
07/11/25HCapital Crusaders71-70
04/11/25ALoyola Chicago88-91
11/03/25HYoungstown State54-56
07/03/25HNorthern Kentucky68-63
01/03/25HIPFW68-57
28/02/25AWright State76-82
23/02/25AOakland86-91 OT
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/25HBryant University68-50
13/11/25HNicholls State68-63
08/11/25AKentucky59-107
05/11/25HEastern Illinois66-63
08/03/25ABradley65-70
08/03/25ANorthern Iowa64-63
07/03/25AIllinois (Chi.)67-50
02/03/25AIllinois (Chi.)73-77
27/02/25HBradley65-76
23/02/25ASouthern Illinois83-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cleveland State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game82.279.084.3
Allowed / game89.676.098.7
Point differential-7.4+3.0-14.3
Avg total171.8155.0183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valparaiso
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game65.267.359.0
Allowed / game70.858.7107.0
Point differential-5.5+8.7-48.0
Avg total136.0126.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Horizon League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Robert Morris43175%81.071.0+10.0
2 Cleveland State53260%82.289.6-7.4
3 Youngstown State42250%86.073.0+13.0
4 Northern Kentucky42250%86.578.0+8.5
5 Wisc. Milwaukee52340%78.285.0-6.8
6 IPFW62433%90.379.3+11.0
7 Wright State51420%71.072.6-1.6
8 Oakland51420%79.284.0-4.8
9 Detroit51420%75.681.8-6.2
10 Wisc. Green Bay51420%67.278.4-11.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Iowa440100%72.856.5+16.2
2 Murray State54180%94.477.2+17.2
3 Illinois (Chi.)43175%82.266.2+16.0
4 Belmont43175%75.075.2-0.2
5 Valparaiso43175%65.270.8-5.5
6 Drake53260%75.065.2+9.8
7 Southern Illinois42250%87.574.5+13.0
8 Illinois State42250%73.276.0-2.8
9 Indiana State42250%76.580.0-3.5
10 Evansville52340%73.468.0+5.4
11 Bradley41325%69.869.0+0.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Cleveland State274875
Valparaiso395190
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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