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Valparaiso vs Bradley Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 65-76
29-28 36-48
Position#248
Record13-16
FormLWLWW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game75.1
Valparaiso
USA
vs
Bradley 🏆
USA
Position#30
Record22-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game69.9
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Valparaiso v Bradley
18 Feb 2026
VALP79
BRAD72
26 Feb 2025
VALP65
BRAD76
03 Jan 2024
VALP61
BRAD86
22 Feb 2023
VALP66
BRAD76
26 Jan 2022
VALP56
BRAD71
10 Feb 2021
VALP52
BRAD76
28 Jan 2021
VALP91
BRAD85
29 Dec 2020
VALP v BRAD
upcoming
22 Feb 2020
VALP90
BRAD78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bradley winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#8
L
71-81
71
81
-10
A23/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
68-78
68
78
-10
H25/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
75-79
75
79
-4
H29/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A01/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A06/02
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
56-74
56
74
-18
H08/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
101-86
101
86
+15
H13/02
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A17/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
66-64
66
64
+2
H20/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
83-79
83
79
+4
A23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-43
42-38
26-44
42-34
34-29
41-50
38-45
40-41
31-39
31-41
23-33
33-41
56-39
45-47
44-40
25-39
26-30
40-34
31-37
52-42
151.5Avg total
72.9Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)76.075.1151.1+1.045%
Season at home (16)81.371.9153.2+9.462%
Season away (13)69.579.0148.5-9.523%
Last 10 (10)72.978.6151.5-5.730%
Last 5 (5)75.076.4151.4-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)68.880.0148.8-11.212%
vs Similar (16)74.975.5150.4-0.650%
vs Weaker (5)81.473.8155.2+7.660%
This opponent (Bradley) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BradleyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#79
W
89-77
89
77
+12
A22/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
W
61-57
61
57
+4
H25/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
70-93
70
93
-23
H30/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
69-83
69
83
-14
A02/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
77-80
77
80
-3
H06/02
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
80-74
80
74
+6
A09/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
78-64
78
64
+14
H13/02
NCAA
Drake
#8
W
61-59
61
59
+2
A16/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A20/02
NCAA
Murray State
#214
W
85-83 OT
85
83
+2
H22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
43-43
46-34
28-26
33-31
39-55
31-38
25-34
44-49
35-39
42-41
43-25
37-49
35-28
43-36
31-30
30-29
27-35
44-47
36-39
39-36
149.3Avg total
74.1Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)78.469.9148.4+8.576%
Season at home (16)80.666.6147.2+14.081%
Season away (13)75.874.0149.8+1.869%
Last 10 (10)74.175.2149.3-1.160%
Last 5 (5)75.072.4147.4+2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)57.074.0131.0-17.00%
vs Similar (7)70.769.0139.7+1.757%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)79.771.6151.3+8.081%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -4.1-4.11st half: -1.2-1.22nd half2nd half: -1.6-1.62nd half: -0.1-0.1
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -4.1-4.11st half: -1.2-1.22nd half2nd half: -1.6-1.62nd half: -0.1-0.1
ValparaisoBradley
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#8
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A23/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
26-44
26
44
-18
H25/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H29/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A01/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A06/02
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
23-33
23
33
-10
H08/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H13/02
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A17/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H20/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A23/02
NCAA
71.7Avg total
33.8Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.636.270.7-1.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.133.171.2+4.969%-
Last 30 away (14)30.639.670.2-9.114%-
Last 10 (10)33.837.971.7-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)36.035.871.8+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)30.438.669.0-8.225%-
vs Similar (16)34.235.269.4-1.144%-
vs Weaker (5)36.838.875.6-2.060%-
This opponent (Bradley) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BradleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#79
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A22/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H25/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H30/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A02/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H06/02
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A09/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H13/02
NCAA
Drake
#8
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A16/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A20/02
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H22/02
NCAA
69.6Avg total
34.2Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.733.671.2+4.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.132.672.6+7.569%-
Last 30 away (14)34.934.769.6+0.236%-
Last 10 (10)34.235.469.6-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)34.431.465.8+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)28.036.064.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (7)31.732.764.4-1.043%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)39.234.173.3+5.157%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Valparaiso wins
8
Bradley wins
DateGameScore
29/12/24Bradley v Valparaiso81-75 OT
04/01/24Valparaiso v Bradley61-86
23/02/23Valparaiso v Bradley66-76
07/01/23Bradley v Valparaiso88-66
27/02/22Bradley v Valparaiso79-55
27/01/22Valparaiso v Bradley56-71
11/02/21Valparaiso v Bradley52-76
29/01/21Valparaiso v Bradley91-85 OT
23/02/20Valparaiso v Bradley90-78
30/01/20Bradley v Valparaiso80-69
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/25ASouthern Illinois83-79
20/02/25HMissouri State66-64
17/02/25AEvansville69-79
13/02/25HBelmont101-86
08/02/25HMurray State56-74
06/02/25AIndiana State62-80
01/02/25AIllinois State78-86
29/01/25HSouthern Illinois75-79
25/01/25HEvansville68-78
23/01/25ADrake71-81
Bradleylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/25HMurray State85-83 OT
20/02/25AIllinois State71-82
16/02/25ADrake61-59
13/02/25HSouthern Illinois78-64
09/02/25AEvansville80-74
06/02/25HBelmont77-80
02/02/25ANorthern Iowa69-83
30/01/25HIllinois (Chi.)70-93
25/01/25HIllinois State61-57
22/01/25ABelmont89-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW45%
HomeLLLWW62%
AwayLLLLW23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %45%62%23%
Points / game76.081.369.5
Allowed / game75.171.979.0
Point differential+1.0+9.4-9.5
Avg total151.1153.2148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)75% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %7%6%8%
Bradley
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW76%
HomeWLLWW81%
AwayWLWWL69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %76%81%69%
Points / game78.480.675.8
Allowed / game69.966.674.0
Point differential+8.5+14.0+1.8
Avg total148.4147.2149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%50%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)75% (4)100% (4)
Overtime %10%12%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake2926390%70.959.2+11.7
2 Bradley2922776%78.469.9+8.5
3 Northern Iowa30201067%74.567.1+7.4
4 Belmont30201067%80.778.3+2.4
5 Illinois State30171357%76.673.0+3.5
6 Illinois (Chi.)30171357%77.474.1+3.3
7 Murray State30151550%72.569.6+2.9
8 Valparaiso29131645%76.075.1+1.0
9 Indiana State30131743%79.479.4+0.0
10 Southern Illinois30131743%73.073.6-0.6
11 Evansville30111937%66.970.9-4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Valparaiso293665
Bradley284876
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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