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New Mexico vs Colorado State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 03:59
Final 74-61
33-25 41-36
Position#39
Record24-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game71.1
vs
Position#52
Record24-9
FormLWWWW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game68.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · New Mexico v Colorado State
04 Mar 2026
NEW 74
COLO82
05 Feb 2025
NEW 87
COLO65
15 Mar 2024
NEW 74
COLO61
21 Feb 2024
NEW 68
COLO66
28 Dec 2022
NEW 88
COLO69
17 Feb 2022
NEW 68
COLO83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Mexico winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Colorado State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New MexicoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#115
L
77-80
77
80
-3
H11/02
NCAA
Nevada
#25
W
83-82
83
82
+1
A14/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A17/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H22/02
NCAA
Air Force
#331
L
77-78
77
78
-1
H24/02
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A03/03
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
79-58
79
58
+21
H07/03
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
85-87
85
87
-2
A10/03
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
82-56
82
56
+26
H13/03
NCAA
Boise State
#70
W
76-66
76
66
+10
A15/03
NCAA
1H
2H
40-39
37-41
45-35
38-47
28-39
42-42
30-30
38-36
36-37
41-41
33-35
46-54
37-24
42-34
44-39
41-48
49-30
33-26
35-26
41-40
151.9Avg total
77.6Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)82.471.1153.5+11.373%
Season at home (18)83.767.1150.8+16.683%
Season away (15)80.775.9156.6+4.960%
Last 10 (10)77.674.3151.9+3.350%
Last 5 (5)80.271.2151.4+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.674.9154.5+4.762%
vs Weaker (16)85.269.4154.7+15.881%
This opponent (Colorado State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Colorado StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#335
W
66-47
66
47
+19
H10/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
55-71
55
71
-16
A14/02
NCAA
Utah State
#17
W
75-55
75
55
+20
H17/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A22/02
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A25/02
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H28/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H02/03
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A09/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H13/03
NCAA
Nevada
#25
W
85-78
85
78
+7
A15/03
NCAA
1H
2H
38-19
28-28
44-30
11-41
43-26
32-29
30-30
36-38
26-24
34-42
28-39
46-38
33-27
37-35
42-42
40-31
34-29
38-33
43-33
42-45
136.4Avg total
70.5Scored
65.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)76.868.2145.0+8.673%
Season at home (19)80.567.1147.6+13.489%
Season away (14)71.869.6141.4+2.150%
Last 10 (10)70.565.9136.4+4.660%
Last 5 (5)76.670.4147.0+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)61.064.0125.0-3.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)71.669.4141.0+2.253%
vs Weaker (13)80.467.5147.8+12.992%
This opponent (New Mexico) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.3+4.31st half: +6.2+6.22nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: -1.6-1.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.3+4.31st half: +6.2+6.22nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: -1.6-1.6
New MexicoColorado State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
New MexicoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#115
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H11/02
NCAA
Nevada
#25
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A14/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A17/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H22/02
NCAA
Air Force
#331
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H24/02
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A03/03
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H07/03
NCAA
Utah State
#17
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A10/03
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H13/03
NCAA
Boise State
#70
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A15/03
NCAA
71.1Avg total
37.7Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.331.571.8+8.877%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.431.072.4+10.481%-
Last 30 away (14)39.132.171.2+6.971%-
Last 10 (10)37.733.471.1+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)39.630.870.4+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.233.370.5+3.962%-
vs Weaker (16)42.630.673.2+12.088%-
This opponent (Colorado State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Colorado StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#335
W
38-19
38
19
+19
H10/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A14/02
NCAA
Utah State
#17
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H17/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A22/02
NCAA
UNLV
#115
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A25/02
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H28/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H02/03
NCAA
Air Force
#331
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A09/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H13/03
NCAA
Nevada
#25
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A15/03
NCAA
66.0Avg total
36.1Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.430.565.9+4.963%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.330.567.8+6.871%-
Last 30 away (13)32.830.563.3+2.454%-
Last 10 (10)36.129.966.0+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)36.034.070.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.033.065.0-1.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)33.429.763.1+3.767%-
vs Weaker (13)37.131.568.6+5.562%-
This opponent (New Mexico) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
New Mexico wins
6
Colorado State wins
New Mexicolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/24ABoise State76-66
13/03/24HAir Force82-56
10/03/24AUtah State85-87
07/03/24HFresno State79-58
03/03/24ABoise State79-89
24/02/24HAir Force77-78
22/02/24HColorado State68-66
17/02/24ASan Diego State70-81
14/02/24ANevada83-82
11/02/24HUNLV77-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/24ANevada85-78
13/03/24HSan Jose State72-62
09/03/24AAir Force82-73
02/03/24HWyoming70-62
28/02/24HNevada74-77
25/02/24AUNLV60-66
22/02/24ANew Mexico66-68
17/02/24HUtah State75-55
14/02/24ASan Diego State55-71
10/02/24HSan Jose State66-47

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Mexico
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW73%
HomeLWLWW83%
AwayWLLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331815
Win %73%83%60%
Points / game82.483.780.7
Allowed / game71.167.175.9
Point differential+11.3+16.6+4.9
Avg total153.5150.8156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%67%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Colorado State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW73%
HomeWWLWW89%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331914
Win %73%89%50%
Points / game76.880.571.8
Allowed / game68.267.169.6
Point differential+8.6+13.4+2.1
Avg total145.0147.6141.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%53%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %6%5%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grand Canyon3228488%79.566.7+12.8
2 Utah State3327682%79.870.3+9.5
3 Nevada3326779%76.467.1+9.4
4 New Mexico3324973%82.471.1+11.3
5 Colorado State3324973%76.868.2+8.6
6 San Diego State3324973%75.066.5+8.5
7 Boise State32221069%75.867.5+8.3
8 UNLV31191261%73.267.8+5.4
9 Wyoming32151747%72.874.5-1.6
10 Fresno State33122136%67.773.9-6.2
11 Air Force3192229%66.272.4-6.2
12 San Jose State3292328%69.675.1-5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
New Mexico334174
Colorado State253661
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