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Virginia vs Colorado State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 01:10
Final 42-67
14-27 28-40
Position#66
Record23-10
FormWLWWL
Points / game63.6
Allowed / game59.6
Virginia
USA
vs
Colorado State 🏆
USA
Position#52
Record24-10
FormWWWWL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game68.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Colorado State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#196
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A11/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
63-74
63
74
-11
H14/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H17/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
41-75
41
75
-34
A20/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H24/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A29/02
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
48-73
48
73
-25
A02/03
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
72-57
72
57
+15
H10/03
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
66-60 OT
66
60
+6
H15/03
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
65-73 OT
65
73
-8
H16/03
NCAA
1H
2H
34-30
46-46
31-35
32-39
21-22
28-25
16-36
25-39
16-26
28-28
27-23
45-45
18-40
30-33
38-24
34-33
29-35
28-22
29-29
29-29
125.7Avg total
60.0Scored
65.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)63.659.6123.2+4.070%
Season at home (21)66.253.9120.1+12.486%
Season away (12)58.969.6128.5-10.742%
Last 10 (10)60.065.7125.7-5.750%
Last 5 (5)64.666.2130.8-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)54.760.2114.8-5.533%
vs Similar (15)62.361.7123.9+0.667%
vs Weaker (9)67.056.6123.6+10.489%
This opponent (Colorado State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Colorado StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#48
L
55-71
55
71
-16
A14/02
NCAA
Utah State
#17
W
75-55
75
55
+20
H17/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A22/02
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A25/02
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H28/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H02/03
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A09/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H13/03
NCAA
Nevada
#25
W
85-78
85
78
+7
A15/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A16/03
NCAA
1H
2H
44-30
11-41
43-26
32-29
30-30
36-38
26-24
34-42
28-39
46-38
33-27
37-35
42-42
40-31
34-29
38-33
43-33
42-45
25-33
36-41
138.6Avg total
70.0Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)76.468.4144.7+8.071%
Season at home (19)80.567.1147.6+13.489%
Season away (15)71.169.9141.0+1.147%
Last 10 (10)70.068.6138.6+1.450%
Last 5 (5)74.069.8143.8+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)61.064.0125.0-3.00%
vs Similar (16)70.969.7140.6+1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)80.168.0148.1+12.192%
This opponent (Virginia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -4.1-4.11st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: -2.1-2.1
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -4.1-4.11st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: -2.1-2.1
VirginiaColorado State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#196
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A11/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H14/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
21-22
21
22
-1
H17/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
16-36
16
36
-20
A20/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
16-26
16
26
-10
H24/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
27-23
27
23
+4
A29/02
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
18-40
18
40
-22
A02/03
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H10/03
NCAA
Boston College
#169
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H15/03
NCAA
NC State
#94
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H16/03
NCAA
55.9Avg total
25.9Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.026.155.1+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (18)30.223.153.3+7.167%-
Last 30 away (12)27.230.557.7-3.342%-
Last 10 (10)25.930.055.9-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)28.230.258.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)24.727.852.5-3.217%-
vs Similar (15)27.926.354.1+1.660%-
vs Weaker (9)33.824.658.3+9.278%-
This opponent (Colorado State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Colorado StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#48
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A14/02
NCAA
Utah State
#17
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H17/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A22/02
NCAA
UNLV
#115
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A25/02
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H28/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H02/03
NCAA
Air Force
#331
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A09/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H13/03
NCAA
Nevada
#25
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A15/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A16/03
NCAA
66.1Avg total
34.8Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.930.765.6+4.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.230.868.0+6.569%-
Last 30 away (14)32.330.662.9+1.650%-
Last 10 (10)34.831.366.1+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)35.432.868.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.033.065.0-1.00%-
vs Similar (16)32.929.962.8+2.962%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)37.031.968.9+5.158%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Virginia wins
0
Colorado State wins
No previous meetings.
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/24HNC State65-73 OT
15/03/24HBoston College66-60 OT
10/03/24HGeorgia Tech72-57
02/03/24ADuke48-73
29/02/24ABoston College72-68
24/02/24HNorth Carolina44-54
20/02/24AVirginia Tech41-75
17/02/24HWake Forest49-47
14/02/24HPittsburgh63-74
11/02/24AFlorida State80-76
Colorado Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/24ANew Mexico61-74
15/03/24ANevada85-78
13/03/24HSan Jose State72-62
09/03/24AAir Force82-73
02/03/24HWyoming70-62
28/02/24HNevada74-77
25/02/24AUNLV60-66
22/02/24ANew Mexico66-68
17/02/24HUtah State75-55
14/02/24ASan Diego State55-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL70%
HomeWLWWL86%
AwayWWLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games332112
Win %70%86%42%
Points / game63.666.258.9
Allowed / game59.653.969.6
Point differential+4.0+12.4-10.7
Avg total123.2120.1128.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%52%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (7)100% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %9%14%0%
Colorado State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeWWLWW89%
AwayLLWWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341915
Win %71%89%47%
Points / game76.480.571.1
Allowed / game68.467.169.9
Point differential+8.0+13.4+1.1
Avg total144.7147.6141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%53%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %6%5%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Carolina3427779%81.570.2+11.2
2 Duke3224875%79.867.4+12.4
3 Virginia33231070%63.659.6+4.0
4 Pittsburgh33221167%75.667.6+8.0
5 Clemson32211166%77.471.3+6.1
6 SMU Mustangs32201262%76.367.8+8.5
7 Syracuse32201262%76.375.6+0.7
8 NC State36221461%76.472.7+3.7
9 Wake Forest33201361%78.270.5+7.7
10 Virginia Tech32181456%75.071.1+3.9
11 Boston College34191556%74.672.1+2.5
12 Florida State33171652%76.576.3+0.2
13 Miami (FL)33151845%75.473.6+1.8
14 Stanford32141844%76.376.5-0.1
15 Georgia Tech32141844%71.075.2-4.2
16 California32131941%74.077.0-3.1
17 Notre Dame33132039%64.067.2-3.1
18 Louisville3282425%72.079.1-7.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grand Canyon3329488%79.866.9+12.9
2 Utah State3327682%79.870.3+9.5
3 Nevada3326779%76.467.1+9.4
4 New Mexico3526974%81.770.5+11.2
5 San Diego State34241071%74.666.6+8.0
6 Colorado State34241071%76.468.4+8.0
7 Boise State32221069%75.867.5+8.3
8 UNLV31191261%73.267.8+5.4
9 Wyoming32151747%72.874.5-1.6
10 Fresno State33122136%67.773.9-6.2
11 Air Force3192229%66.272.4-6.2
12 San Jose State3292328%69.675.1-5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Virginia142842
Colorado State274067
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