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Utah State vs TCU Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 01:55
Final 88-72
43-37 45-35
Position#17
Record27-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game70.3
Utah State 🏆
USA
vs
TCU
USA
Position#111
Record21-12
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game71.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
TCU winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#70
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H11/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
84-76
84
76
+8
A15/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
55-75
55
75
-20
A17/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H21/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
77-73 OT
77
73
+4
A28/02
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H02/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
90-70
90
70
+20
A07/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H10/03
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
87-75 OT
87
75
+12
H14/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
70-86
70
86
-16
H16/03
NCAA
1H
2H
41-30
39-31
39-43
45-33
26-43
29-32
31-26
37-37
30-25
35-40
43-30
29-30
53-37
37-33
39-44
48-41
35-36
35-34
39-36
31-50
149.4Avg total
77.0Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)79.870.3150.1+9.582%
Season at home (19)80.767.1147.8+13.789%
Season away (14)78.574.6153.1+3.971%
Last 10 (10)77.072.4149.4+4.680%
Last 5 (5)81.275.2156.4+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)74.175.7149.8-1.567%
vs Weaker (14)84.166.2150.3+17.9100%
This opponent (TCU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TCUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Virginia
#338
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H13/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#151
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A17/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
L
81-82
81
82
-1
A21/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#134
W
75-57
75
57
+18
H24/02
NCAA
Baylor
#58
L
54-62
54
62
-8
H27/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
75-87
75
87
-12
A03/03
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
93-81
93
81
+12
A07/03
NCAA
UCF Knights
#180
L
77-79
77
79
-2
H09/03
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
W
77-70
77
70
+7
H13/03
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A14/03
NCAA
1H
2H
47-35
34-30
24-28
51-44
38-38
43-44
39-32
36-25
23-25
31-37
46-29
29-58
53-38
40-43
36-36
41-43
45-31
32-39
15-31
30-29
144.8Avg total
73.3Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)79.271.2150.5+8.064%
Season at home (20)79.567.1146.6+12.470%
Season away (13)78.877.6156.5+1.254%
Last 10 (10)73.371.5144.8+1.850%
Last 5 (5)73.475.4148.8-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)63.871.6135.4-7.820%
vs Similar ◀ (13)76.877.2154.1-0.438%
vs Weaker (12)84.966.6151.5+18.3100%
This opponent (Utah State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: -2.5-2.5
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: -2.5-2.5
Utah StateTCU
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#70
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H11/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A15/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A17/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H21/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A28/02
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H02/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A07/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H10/03
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H14/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H16/03
NCAA
72.6Avg total
37.6Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.534.772.2+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.232.369.5+4.971%-
Last 30 away (13)37.937.975.8+0.046%-
Last 10 (10)37.635.072.6+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)41.836.678.4+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)35.138.273.3-3.133%-
vs Weaker (14)39.531.470.9+8.186%-
This opponent (TCU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TCULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Virginia
#338
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H13/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#151
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A17/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A21/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#134
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H24/02
NCAA
Baylor
#58
L
23-25
23
25
-2
H27/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A03/03
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A07/03
NCAA
UCF Knights
#180
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H09/03
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H13/03
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
15-31
15
31
-16
A14/03
NCAA
68.9Avg total
36.6Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.733.970.6+2.850%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.333.570.8+3.853%-
Last 30 away (13)35.834.570.3+1.446%-
Last 10 (10)36.632.368.9+4.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.033.072.0+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)27.633.060.6-5.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)36.336.372.6+0.038%-
vs Weaker (12)40.831.772.5+9.275%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Utah State wins
0
TCU wins
No previous meetings.
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/24HSan Diego State70-86
14/03/24HFresno State87-75 OT
10/03/24HNew Mexico87-85
07/03/24ASan Jose State90-70
02/03/24HAir Force72-60
28/02/24AFresno State77-73 OT
21/02/24HSan Diego State68-63
17/02/24AColorado State55-75
15/02/24AWyoming84-76
11/02/24HBoise State80-61
TCUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/24AHouston45-60
13/03/24HOklahoma77-70
09/03/24HUCF Knights77-79
07/03/24AWest Virginia93-81
03/03/24ABrigham Young75-87
27/02/24HBaylor54-62
24/02/24HCincinnati75-57
21/02/24ATexas Tech81-82
17/02/24AKansas State75-72
13/02/24HWest Virginia81-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL82%
HomeWWWWL89%
AwayLWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331914
Win %82%89%71%
Points / game79.880.778.5
Allowed / game70.367.174.6
Point differential+9.5+13.7+3.9
Avg total150.1147.8153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%63%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (9)100% (4)100% (5)
Overtime %12%5%21%
TCU
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL64%
HomeWWLLW70%
AwayWLLWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games332013
Win %64%70%54%
Points / game79.279.578.8
Allowed / game71.267.177.6
Point differential+8.0+12.4+1.2
Avg total150.5146.6156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%50%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)33% (3)57% (7)
Overtime %6%0%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grand Canyon3329488%79.866.9+12.9
2 Utah State3327682%79.870.3+9.5
3 Nevada3426876%75.966.9+9.0
4 New Mexico36261072%81.070.7+10.3
5 San Diego State35251071%74.466.5+7.9
6 Colorado State36251169%75.267.3+7.9
7 Boise State33221167%75.167.3+7.8
8 UNLV31191261%73.267.8+5.4
9 Wyoming32151747%72.874.5-1.6
10 Fresno State33122136%67.773.9-6.2
11 Air Force3192229%66.272.4-6.2
12 San Jose State3292328%69.675.1-5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston3531489%73.456.7+16.7
2 Iowa State3528780%75.761.4+14.3
3 Arizona3426876%87.972.0+15.8
4 Colorado36261072%79.471.5+7.9
5 Baylor34241071%80.971.1+9.8
6 Kansas33231070%75.869.3+6.5
7 Brigham Young34231168%81.469.9+11.5
8 Texas Tech34231168%75.369.6+5.7
9 TCU33211264%79.271.2+8.0
10 Cincinnati34201459%74.667.9+6.7
11 Utah Utes33191458%78.172.6+5.4
12 Kansas State33191458%71.970.5+1.4
13 UCF Knights32171553%71.567.5+4.1
14 Arizona State32141844%69.074.0-5.0
15 Oklahoma State32122038%71.072.7-1.7
16 West Virginia3292328%69.876.8-7.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Utah State434588
TCU373572
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