Boca Juniors vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Apr 2023

Tip-off: 22:00

Final 92-82

16-14 22-19 30-25 24-24

Position#4

Record23-13

FormWLLWW

Points / game84.1

Allowed / game80.1

Boca Juniors 🏆

Penarol

Position#13

Record19-17

FormLLWLL

Points / game80.9

Allowed / game80.1

Liga ARound 30

Other2022-23

Meetings · Boca Juniors v Penarol

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca Juniors winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Penarol winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boca Juniors Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Independiente de Oliva

#14

72-70

A18/03

Liga A

Union De Santa Fe

#19

86-84

A19/03

Liga A

Riachuelo

#11

95-86

H22/03

Liga A

Gimnasia

87-77

+10

A26/03

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

122-115

122

115

H30/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

93-81

+12

A01/04

Liga A

Olimpico

67-86

-19

A07/04

Liga A

Quimsa

71-88

-17

A08/04

Liga A

Platense

84-58

+26

H11/04

Liga A

Union De Santa Fe

#19

92-71

+21

H13/04

Liga A

20-19

17-21

19-18

16-12

18-20

20-18

25-25

23-21

24-26

16-14

25-14

30-32

25-22

19-17

25-19

18-19

30-24

30-25

31-33

22-22

30-14

19-23

10-25

18-18

20-25

19-18

18-25

26-20

16-26

11-17

20-15

27-17

20-10

17-16

23-17

22-18

20-21

27-15

168.5Avg total

86.9Scored

81.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (36)	84.1	80.1	164.1	+4.0	64%
Season at home (18)	86.3	78.5	164.8	+7.8	78%
Season away (18)	81.8	81.6	163.4	+0.2	50%
Last 10 (10)	86.9	81.6	168.5	+5.3	80%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	76.8	158.2	+4.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	78.5	83.5	162.0	-5.0	50%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	79.6	76.7	156.3	+2.8	61%
vs Weaker (10)	88.4	80.0	168.4	+8.4	80%

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Aguada

87-68

+19

H23/03

Liga Uruguaya

La Union

72-79

-7

H28/03

Liga A

Hebraica y Macabi

80-85

-5

A31/03

Liga Uruguaya

Regatas

#10

63-58

H03/04

Liga A

Hebraica y Macabi

88-82

H03/04

Liga Uruguaya

Gimnasia

76-91

-15

H05/04

Liga A

Hebraica y Macabi

79-91

-12

A10/04

Liga Uruguaya

Union De Santa Fe

#19

95-86

H12/04

Liga A

Hebraica y Macabi

67-93

-26

H13/04

Liga Uruguaya

Gimnasia

90-96

-6

A15/04

Liga A

19-13

19-24

28-15

21-16

13-21

16-11

20-29

23-18

22-19

18-29

19-18

21-19

21-17

13-6

13-24

16-11

23-20

26-17

15-28

24-17

17-12

16-21

18-31

25-27

24-15

19-30

17-20

19-26

30-21

18-19

22-24

25-22

19-26

11-27

15-16

22-24

13-26

23-21

20-25

34-24

162.6Avg total

79.7Scored

82.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (36)	80.9	80.1	161.0	+0.8	53%
Season at home (19)	79.6	79.2	158.8	+0.4	53%
Season away (17)	82.4	81.1	163.5	+1.4	53%
Last 10 (10)	79.7	82.9	162.6	-3.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	91.4	172.8	-10.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	77.9	85.7	163.6	-7.8	21%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	81.2	80.7	161.9	+0.5	55%
vs Weaker (5)	90.6	83.8	174.4	+6.8	80%

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Boca JuniorsPenarol

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.4	39.3	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.0	18.6	40.6	+3.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	20.4	37.9	-2.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	21.5	42.5	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.8	39.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	25.0	42.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.7	17.9	37.6	+1.7	61%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.9	20.9	41.8	+0.0	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.6	41.1	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.4	19.9	40.4	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.5	21.5	42.0	-0.9	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.0	39.1	+1.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.0	40.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	20.1	20.7	40.8	-0.6	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.7	20.6	40.4	-0.9	55%	-
vs Weaker (5)	23.2	20.2	43.4	+3.0	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	18.9	37.7	-0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	18.9	38.4	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	18.8	36.9	-0.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	19.0	40.7	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	19.0	42.0	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.0	20.0	42.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	17.6	18.3	35.9	-0.7	39%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.6	39.1	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.2	18.9	38.2	+0.3	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.8	20.4	40.2	-0.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	20.5	38.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	23.6	41.0	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.9	20.8	39.7	-1.9	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.2	18.1	37.3	+1.1	45%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.8	19.4	41.2	+2.4	40%	-

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Independiente de Oliva

#14

37-40

-3

A18/03

Liga A

Union De Santa Fe

#19

38-38

A19/03

Liga A

Riachuelo

#11

40-40

H22/03

Liga A

Gimnasia

44-39

A26/03

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

60-49

+11

H30/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

44-44

A01/04

Liga A

Olimpico

28-43

-15

A07/04

Liga A

Quimsa

44-45

-1

A08/04

Liga A

Platense

47-32

+15

H11/04

Liga A

Union De Santa Fe

#19

45-35

+10

H13/04

Liga A

83.2Avg total

42.7Scored

40.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	38.3	77.0	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.4	37.5	78.9	+3.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.7	39.1	74.9	-3.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	40.5	83.2	+2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	39.8	81.4	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	39.5	45.0	84.5	-5.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	37.3	36.3	73.6	+1.0	56%	-
vs Weaker (10)	41.3	40.5	81.8	+0.8	50%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Aguada

38-37

H23/03

Liga Uruguaya

La Union

29-32

-3

H28/03

Liga A

Hebraica y Macabi

40-48

-8

A31/03

Liga Uruguaya

Regatas

#10

34-23

+11

H03/04

Liga A

Hebraica y Macabi

49-37

+12

H03/04

Liga Uruguaya

Gimnasia

33-33

H05/04

Liga A

Hebraica y Macabi

43-45

-2

A10/04

Liga Uruguaya

Union De Santa Fe

#19

48-40

H12/04

Liga A

Hebraica y Macabi

30-53

-23

H13/04

Liga Uruguaya

Gimnasia

36-47

-11

A15/04

Liga A

77.5Avg total

38.0Scored

39.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	40.2	80.1	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.6	38.9	78.5	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.4	41.8	82.2	-1.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.0	39.5	77.5	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	43.6	81.6	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	39.0	41.5	80.5	-2.5	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	38.9	38.7	77.6	+0.2	36%	-
vs Weaker (5)	45.0	39.6	84.6	+5.4	60%	-

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	19.0	41.5	+3.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.1	18.8	41.9	+4.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	19.4	41.0	+2.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	20.5	43.6	+2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	19.2	40.4	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.5	22.5	42.0	-3.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	22.3	19.2	41.5	+3.2	61%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.2	18.1	41.3	+5.1	70%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	22.0	43.1	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.2	22.2	43.5	-1.0	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.1	21.6	42.7	-0.5	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	23.0	41.7	-4.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	23.2	41.6	-4.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.3	22.9	42.2	-3.6	21%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	21.0	21.6	42.6	-0.6	55%	-
vs Weaker (5)	26.8	20.0	46.8	+6.8	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.5	41.2	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.9	21.2	44.1	+1.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.3	19.6	37.9	-1.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	20.6	41.7	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	17.8	36.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.5	16.0	35.5	+3.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.2	20.4	39.6	-1.3	39%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.9	21.4	45.3	+2.5	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	21.4	41.5	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.2	20.6	40.8	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.9	22.5	42.5	-2.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	20.4	43.4	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	24.6	49.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.6	21.3	40.9	-1.6	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	21.3	20.4	41.6	+0.9	55%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.8	24.2	43.0	-5.4	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.2	39.5	82.7	+3.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.1	39.9	86.0	+6.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.9	39.0	78.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.2	41.1	85.3	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	37.0	76.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	39.0	38.5	77.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	41.5	39.6	81.1	+1.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	47.1	39.5	86.6	+7.6	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	43.4	84.7	-2.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.5	42.8	84.3	-1.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.0	44.2	85.2	-3.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	43.4	85.1	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	47.8	91.2	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	38.9	44.2	83.1	-5.3	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	42.3	42.0	84.3	+0.3	45%	-
vs Weaker (5)	45.6	44.2	89.8	+1.4	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Boca Juniors wins

Penarol wins

Date	Game	Score
24/11/22	Penarol v Boca Juniors	86-81
08/05/22	Boca Juniors v Penarol	86-77
05/05/22	Boca Juniors v Penarol	68-75
01/05/22	Penarol v Boca Juniors	80-81
30/04/22	Penarol v Boca Juniors	70-81
10/02/22	Boca Juniors v Penarol	69-85
03/02/22	Penarol v Boca Juniors	68-71
26/09/21	Penarol v Boca Juniors	77-86
19/01/21	Penarol v Boca Juniors	74-80
08/01/21	Boca Juniors v Penarol	76-71

Boca Juniorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/04/23	H	Union De Santa Fe	92-71
11/04/23	H	Platense	84-58
08/04/23	A	Quimsa	71-88
07/04/23	A	Olimpico	67-86
01/04/23	A	Obras Sanitarias	93-81
30/03/23	H	Instituto de Cordoba	122-115
26/03/23	A	Gimnasia	87-77
22/03/23	H	Riachuelo	95-86
19/03/23	A	Union De Santa Fe	86-84
18/03/23	A	Independiente de Oliva	72-70

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/04/23	A	Gimnasia	90-96
13/04/23	H	Hebraica y Macabi	67-93
12/04/23	H	Union De Santa Fe	95-86
10/04/23	A	Hebraica y Macabi	79-91
05/04/23	H	Gimnasia	76-91
03/04/23	H	Hebraica y Macabi	88-82
03/04/23	H	Regatas	63-58
31/03/23	A	Hebraica y Macabi	80-85
28/03/23	H	La Union	72-79
23/03/23	H	Aguada	87-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca Juniors

Liga A 2022-23

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	64%
Home	WWWWW	78%
Away	WWWLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	36	18	18
Win %	64%	78%	50%
Points / game	84.1	86.3	81.8
Allowed / game	80.1	78.5	81.6
Point differential	+4.0	+7.8	+0.2
Avg total	164.1	164.8	163.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	28%	33%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	55% (11)	60% (5)	50% (6)
Overtime %	3%	0%	6%

Penarol

Liga A 2022-23

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	53%
Home	LLWLW	53%
Away	WLLLL	53%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	36	19	17
Win %	53%	53%	53%
Points / game	80.9	79.6	82.4
Allowed / game	80.1	79.2	81.1
Point differential	+0.8	+0.4	+1.4
Avg total	161.0	158.8	163.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	21%	24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	55% (11)	67% (6)	40% (5)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Instituto de Cordoba	37	30	7	81%	83.1	76.8	+6.2
2	Quimsa	37	27	10	73%	87.5	76.5	+11.0
3	Gimnasia	38	27	11	71%	84.2	78.3	+5.9
4	Obera TC	37	24	13	65%	77.0	75.0	+2.0
5	Olimpico	36	23	13	64%	84.1	77.8	+6.2
6	Boca Juniors	36	23	13	64%	84.1	80.1	+4.0
7	Obras Sanitarias	36	22	14	61%	82.6	79.3	+3.3
8	Regatas	36	21	15	58%	77.1	76.6	+0.5
9	Platense	36	20	16	56%	78.5	78.6	-0.1
10	La Union	37	20	17	54%	81.1	79.6	+1.6
11	Penarol	36	19	17	53%	80.9	80.1	+0.8
12	Riachuelo	36	19	17	53%	83.4	84.3	-0.9
13	San Martin	37	18	19	49%	77.8	74.3	+3.5
14	Independiente de Oliva	37	17	20	46%	79.4	79.9	-0.5
15	Ferro	37	16	21	43%	79.5	82.0	-2.6
16	Argentino	37	11	26	30%	72.8	80.0	-7.2
17	Comunicaciones Mercedes	37	10	27	27%	80.2	87.0	-6.9
18	Union De Santa Fe	37	8	29	22%	77.8	83.4	-5.6
19	San Lorenzo	37	7	30	19%	75.7	84.8	-9.0
20	Atenas	37	5	32	14%	76.1	88.3	-12.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Boca Juniors	16	22	30	24	92
Penarol	14	19	25	24	82

← all games of the day

Boca Juniors vs Penarol Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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