Comunicaciones Mercedes vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 20 Mar 2023

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 99-78

19-20 21-16 25-26 34-16

Position#17

Record7-21

FormLLLLL

Points / game78.4

Allowed / game86.4

Comunicaciones Mercedes 🏆

Penarol

Position#13

Record17-12

FormLLWWL

Points / game81.3

Allowed / game78.8

Liga ARound 2

Other2022-23

Meetings · Comunicaciones Mercedes v Penarol

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Comunicaciones Mercedes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Penarol winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Comunicaciones Mercedes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atenas

#20

102-82

102

+20

H21/01

Liga A

La Union

82-93

-11

H24/01

Liga A

San Lorenzo

#18

92-81

+11

H02/02

Liga A

Riachuelo

#11

94-106

106

-12

A09/02

Liga A

Union De Santa Fe

#19

96-78

+18

A10/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

85-95

-10

A14/02

Liga A

Penarol

#13

70-85

-15

A17/02

Liga A

Obera TC

63-95

-32

A20/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

84-93

-9

H04/03

Liga A

Platense

64-86

-22

H06/03

Liga A

23-30

29-14

23-16

27-22

21-23

23-21

24-25

14-24

25-14

23-21

25-17

19-29

24-20

15-29

33-26

22-31

21-17

22-12

29-19

24-30

19-27

16-21

24-26

26-21

16-14

24-21

12-26

18-24

20-22

16-27

10-17

17-29

14-33

13-22

38-15

19-23

12-24

19-19

14-20

172.6Avg total

83.2Scored

89.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	78.4	86.4	164.8	-8.0	25%
Season at home (14)	77.3	83.2	160.5	-5.9	29%
Season away (14)	79.6	89.6	169.1	-10.0	21%
Last 10 (10)	83.2	89.4	172.6	-6.2	30%
Last 5 (5)	73.2	90.8	164.0	-17.6	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	75.3	89.0	164.4	-13.7	9%
vs Similar (6)	86.0	81.7	167.7	+4.3	67%
vs Weaker (2)	101.5	83.0	184.5	+18.5	100%

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Malvin

83-80

H17/02

Liga Uruguaya

Bigua

84-91

-7

A28/02

Liga Uruguaya

Urunday

#12

87-81

A03/03

Liga Uruguaya

Franca

84-91

-7

H06/03

Champions League Americas

Obras Sanitarias

78-92

-14

H07/03

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

#14

93-97

-4

H11/03

Liga A

Franca

72-87

-15

A11/03

Champions League Americas

San Martin

#12

77-61

+16

H13/03

Liga A

Aguada

77-69

A16/03

Liga Uruguaya

Instituto de Cordoba

69-83

-14

H17/03

Liga A

24-21

14-18

29-19

16-22

24-25

17-27

19-21

24-18

21-24

20-20

27-19

19-18

19-25

19-23

20-26

26-17

23-20

15-20

16-26

24-26

19-21

25-20

23-24

26-32

22-20

14-17

21-29

15-21

20-14

21-14

24-21

12-12

23-19

13-19

20-16

21-15

17-22

19-9

24-26

9-26

163.6Avg total

80.4Scored

83.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	81.3	78.8	160.1	+2.6	59%
Season at home (15)	80.4	79.4	159.8	+1.0	53%
Season away (14)	82.3	78.1	160.4	+4.2	64%
Last 10 (10)	80.4	83.2	163.6	-2.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	77.6	79.4	157.0	-1.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	75.5	83.8	159.3	-8.3	33%
vs Similar (12)	85.1	84.6	169.7	+0.5	58%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	93.8	79.2	173.0	+14.7	100%

This opponent (Comunicaciones Mercedes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Comunicaciones MercedesPenarol

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	22.3	41.9	-2.7	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	22.4	41.9	-2.9	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	22.2	41.9	-2.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	22.3	42.5	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	23.8	41.4	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	18.8	22.8	41.5	-4.0	9%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.0	19.8	41.8	+2.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.0	24.5	46.5	-2.5	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	21.6	42.5	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	20.6	41.5	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.0	22.4	43.4	-1.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	21.1	42.3	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.2	39.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.4	23.0	42.4	-3.6	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	23.8	20.0	43.8	+3.8	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	21.1	39.7	-2.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	19.7	38.6	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	22.5	40.8	-4.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	21.2	40.5	-1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	23.0	39.2	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	17.0	22.3	39.4	-5.3	23%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.8	18.2	39.0	+2.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	28.5	17.0	45.5	+11.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.5	40.0	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	20.3	40.7	+0.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	18.9	39.4	+1.7	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	18.7	36.4	-1.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	15.8	34.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.2	17.7	36.9	+1.6	58%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.6	21.5	42.1	-0.9	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	22.8	19.3	42.2	+3.5	67%	-

Comunicaciones MercedesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atenas

#20

52-44

H21/01

Liga A

La Union

44-44

H24/01

Liga A

San Lorenzo

#18

48-35

+13

H02/02

Liga A

Riachuelo

#11

39-49

-10

A09/02

Liga A

Union De Santa Fe

#19

43-29

+14

A10/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

35-48

-13

A14/02

Liga A

Penarol

#13

40-35

A17/02

Liga A

Obera TC

36-49

-13

A20/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

27-55

-28

H04/03

Liga A

Platense

31-47

-16

H06/03

Liga A

83.0Avg total

39.5Scored

43.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	43.4	81.6	-5.2	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.4	42.1	80.5	-3.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.0	44.7	82.7	-6.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	43.5	83.0	-4.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.8	46.8	80.6	-13.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	35.8	45.1	80.9	-9.3	9%	-
vs Similar (6)	42.8	38.0	80.8	+4.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	50.5	41.5	92.0	+9.0	100%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Malvin

38-39

-1

H17/02

Liga Uruguaya

Bigua

41-52

-11

A28/02

Liga Uruguaya

Urunday

#12

41-44

-3

A03/03

Liga Uruguaya

Franca

38-48

-10

H06/03

Champions League Americas

Obras Sanitarias

38-40

-2

H07/03

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

#14

44-41

H11/03

Liga A

Franca

36-37

-1

A11/03

Champions League Americas

San Martin

#12

41-28

+13

H13/03

Liga A

Aguada

36-38

-2

A16/03

Liga Uruguaya

Instituto de Cordoba

36-31

H17/03

Liga A

78.7Avg total

38.9Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	41.1	82.6	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.3	40.9	82.2	+0.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.6	41.3	82.9	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	39.8	78.7	-0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	35.0	73.6	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	38.7	40.7	79.3	-2.0	42%	-
vs Similar (12)	41.6	42.5	84.1	-0.9	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	46.7	39.3	86.0	+7.3	83%	-

This opponent (Comunicaciones Mercedes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.5	41.9	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	19.2	40.9	+2.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.2	21.7	42.9	-0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	20.6	44.3	+3.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.6	41.2	+0.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	20.8	21.1	41.9	-0.3	41%	-
vs Similar (6)	23.2	19.2	42.3	+4.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.0	17.5	41.5	+6.5	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	20.4	42.7	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.2	20.4	43.6	+2.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.4	20.5	41.9	+0.9	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	22.7	45.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	23.2	45.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.5	21.7	41.2	-2.2	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	22.4	20.7	43.1	+1.8	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	27.5	17.5	45.0	+10.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	23.3	42.8	-3.7	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	21.9	40.7	-3.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	24.6	44.9	-4.3	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	25.3	45.3	-5.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	23.4	42.2	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	18.7	22.9	41.6	-4.1	18%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.0	24.5	44.5	-4.5	17%	-
vs Weaker (2)	27.0	24.0	51.0	+3.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	21.6	40.9	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	20.9	39.5	-2.4	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	22.2	42.2	-2.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	20.7	39.9	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	21.2	37.8	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	17.3	21.5	38.8	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.1	21.4	42.5	-0.3	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	19.7	22.3	42.0	-2.7	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	43.7	84.7	-2.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.5	41.1	81.6	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.5	46.3	87.9	-4.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.7	45.9	89.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	44.0	83.4	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	39.5	44.0	83.5	-4.5	32%	-
vs Similar (6)	43.2	43.7	86.8	-0.5	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	51.0	41.5	92.5	+9.5	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	42.1	83.6	-0.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.8	41.3	83.1	+0.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.4	42.8	84.1	-1.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	43.4	84.9	-1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	44.4	83.4	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	36.8	43.2	80.0	-6.3	42%	-
vs Similar (12)	43.5	42.1	85.6	+1.4	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	47.2	39.8	87.0	+7.3	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Comunicaciones Mercedes wins

Penarol wins

Date	Game	Score
17/02/23	Penarol v Comunicaciones Mercedes	85-70
08/03/22	Comunicaciones Mercedes v Penarol	71-68
21/12/21	Penarol v Comunicaciones Mercedes	84-68
08/02/21	Penarol v Comunicaciones Mercedes	86-83
10/12/20	Comunicaciones Mercedes v Penarol	64-58
12/12/19	Penarol v Comunicaciones Mercedes	81-89
16/11/19	Comunicaciones Mercedes v Penarol	81-63
05/04/19	Penarol v Comunicaciones Mercedes	71-64
18/02/19	Comunicaciones Mercedes v Penarol	78-76
26/01/18	Comunicaciones Mercedes v Penarol	88-83

Comunicaciones Mercedeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/03/23	H	Platense	64-86
04/03/23	H	Gimnasia	84-93
20/02/23	A	Obera TC	63-95
17/02/23	A	Penarol	70-85
14/02/23	A	Obras Sanitarias	85-95
10/02/23	A	Union De Santa Fe	96-78
09/02/23	A	Riachuelo	94-106
02/02/23	H	San Lorenzo	92-81
24/01/23	H	La Union	82-93
21/01/23	H	Atenas	102-82

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/03/23	H	Instituto de Cordoba	69-83
16/03/23	A	Aguada	77-69
13/03/23	H	San Martin	77-61
11/03/23	A	Franca	72-87
11/03/23	H	Independiente de Oliva	93-97
07/03/23	H	Obras Sanitarias	78-92
06/03/23	H	Franca	84-91
03/03/23	A	Urunday	87-81
28/02/23	A	Bigua	84-91
17/02/23	H	Malvin	83-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Comunicaciones Mercedes

Liga A 2022-23

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	25%
Home	WLWLL	29%
Away	LWLLL	21%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	25%	29%	21%
Points / game	78.4	77.3	79.6
Allowed / game	86.4	83.2	89.6
Point differential	-8.0	-5.9	-10.0
Avg total	164.8	160.5	169.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	14%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	33% (3)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Penarol

Liga A 2022-23

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	59%
Home	WLLWL	53%
Away	WWWWL	64%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	15	14
Win %	59%	53%	64%
Points / game	81.3	80.4	82.3
Allowed / game	78.8	79.4	78.1
Point differential	+2.6	+1.0	+4.2
Avg total	160.1	159.8	160.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	28%	27%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (10)	60% (5)	40% (5)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Instituto de Cordoba	28	23	5	82%	82.0	76.0	+5.9
2	Gimnasia	30	22	8	73%	84.3	78.0	+6.3
3	Quimsa	29	20	9	69%	86.5	77.1	+9.4
4	Obras Sanitarias	29	20	9	69%	83.8	78.8	+5.1
5	Obera TC	32	21	11	66%	76.2	74.7	+1.5
6	Olimpico	28	18	10	64%	83.4	77.8	+5.6
7	Platense	29	18	11	62%	81.0	79.0	+2.0
8	Boca Juniors	28	17	11	61%	82.7	79.3	+3.4
9	Penarol	29	17	12	59%	81.3	78.8	+2.6
10	Regatas	31	17	14	55%	77.8	77.8	-0.0
11	Independiente de Oliva	30	16	14	53%	79.4	77.9	+1.4
12	San Martin	28	14	14	50%	77.0	74.0	+3.0
13	La Union	30	14	16	47%	80.8	79.0	+1.8
14	Riachuelo	29	13	16	45%	81.3	84.8	-3.5
15	Ferro	30	13	17	43%	78.0	80.9	-2.9
16	Argentino	32	11	21	34%	74.2	78.9	-4.7
17	Comunicaciones Mercedes	28	7	21	25%	78.4	86.4	-8.0
18	Union De Santa Fe	32	7	25	22%	77.4	82.8	-5.4
19	San Lorenzo	29	6	23	21%	76.0	83.7	-7.7
20	Atenas	31	2	29	6%	74.4	88.5	-14.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Comunicaciones Mercedes	19	21	25	34	99
Penarol	20	16	26	16	78

← all games of the day

Comunicaciones Mercedes vs Penarol Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature