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Comunicaciones Mercedes vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 18 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 78-76
17-24 16-13 23-24 22-15
Position#4
Record7-9
FormWWWLL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game78.7
vs
Position#16
Record6-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game86.6
ArgentinaLiga A
Other2018-19
Meetings · Comunicaciones Mercedes v Penarol
10 Feb 2024
COMU74
PENA80
19 Mar 2023
COMU99
PENA78
07 Mar 2022
COMU71
PENA68
10 Dec 2020
COMU64
PENA58
15 Nov 2019
COMU81
PENA63
17 Feb 2019
COMU78
PENA76
25 Jan 2018
COMU88
PENA83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Comunicaciones Mercedes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Comunicaciones MercedesArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Union
#11
L
81-86
81
86
-5
A16/01
Liga A
San Martin
#10
L
62-78
62
78
-16
A18/01
Liga A
Regatas
#7
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A20/01
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#18
W
92-50
92
50
+42
H27/01
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#8
L
69-78
69
78
-9
H01/02
Liga A
Argentino
#17
W
93-77
93
77
+16
A04/02
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#18
W
90-63
90
63
+27
A06/02
Liga A
Gimnasia
#5
W
65-64
65
64
+1
H09/02
Liga A
Ferro
#3
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A13/02
Liga A
Hispano Americano
#15
L
92-99 OT
92
99
-7
A15/02
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
11-27
26-20
22-23
21-21
13-18
18-19
10-20
16-17
24-19
22-22
16-22
25-4
28-12
20-12
19-22
22-19
16-20
14-20
17-19
21-28
20-14
19-25
33-10
24-10
24-20
21-15
21-18
20-14
11-13
20-20
14-17
20-23
21-21
24-18
13-26
24-27
19-18
23-16
18-23
156.3Avg total
80.0Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)82.578.7161.2+3.844%
Season at home (7)81.671.7153.3+9.971%
Season away (9)83.284.1167.3-0.922%
Last 10 (10)80.076.3156.3+3.740%
Last 5 (5)83.678.2161.8+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.085.0157.0-13.00%
vs Similar (14)78.578.5157.0+0.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)83.373.7157.0+9.657%
This opponent (Penarol) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpico
#12
L
73-92
73
92
-19
A08/01
Liga A
Libertad
#14
W
83-75
83
75
+8
H12/01
Liga A
Quilmes
#20
W
105-101 OT
105
101
+4
A18/01
Liga A
Gimnasia
#5
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H22/01
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#1
L
55-104
55
104
-49
H25/01
Liga A
Hispano Americano
#15
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H28/01
Liga A
Argentino
#17
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A01/02
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#18
L
76-89
76
89
-13
A03/02
Liga A
Atenas
#19
L
88-101
88
101
-13
H07/02
Liga A
Estudiantes
#9
L
66-90
66
90
-24
A16/02
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
13-24
20-30
20-23
27-14
23-8
12-27
21-26
25-25
27-27
16-15
15-16
19-19
19-18
16-14
21-17
12-25
23-32
7-31
13-16
28-13
20-15
15-23
16-20
20-12
19-22
18-23
18-20
15-15
17-26
23-21
21-27
25-24
15-17
23-29
25-31
18-22
16-24
10-23
22-21
164.3Avg total
77.5Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)80.086.6166.6-6.638%
Season at home (7)81.385.4166.7-4.157%
Season away (9)79.087.6166.6-8.622%
Last 10 (10)77.586.8164.3-9.340%
Last 5 (5)76.885.6162.4-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)75.189.5164.6-14.425%
vs Similar (13)81.685.1166.7-3.546%
vs Weaker (9)85.277.0162.2+8.267%
This opponent (Comunicaciones Mercedes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -7.6-7.6Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -2.5-2.5
Comunicaciones MercedesPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Comunicaciones MercedesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Union
#11
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A16/01
Liga A
San Martin
#10
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A18/01
Liga A
Regatas
#7
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A20/01
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#18
W
53-16
53
16
+37
H27/01
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#8
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H01/02
Liga A
Argentino
#17
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A04/02
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#18
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A06/02
Liga A
Gimnasia
#5
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H09/02
Liga A
Ferro
#3
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A13/02
Liga A
Hispano Americano
#15
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A15/02
Liga A
76.3Avg total
40.2Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.935.475.3+4.557%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.230.271.3+11.092%-
Last 30 away (17)38.939.478.3-0.429%-
Last 10 (10)40.236.176.3+4.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.837.678.4+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.037.574.5-0.550%-
vs Similar (14)39.137.976.9+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)41.132.673.7+8.664%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpico
#12
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A08/01
Liga A
Libertad
#14
W
50-22
50
22
+28
H12/01
Liga A
Quilmes
#20
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A18/01
Liga A
Gimnasia
#5
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H22/01
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#1
L
35-57
35
57
-22
H25/01
Liga A
Hispano Americano
#15
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H28/01
Liga A
Argentino
#17
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A01/02
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#18
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A03/02
Liga A
Atenas
#19
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H07/02
Liga A
Estudiantes
#9
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A16/02
Liga A
79.8Avg total
40.1Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.439.578.9-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.138.180.3+4.053%-
Last 30 away (15)36.640.977.5-4.333%-
Last 10 (10)40.139.779.8+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)38.638.076.6+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)35.443.578.9-8.125%-
vs Similar (13)41.039.380.3+1.738%-
vs Weaker (9)40.636.376.9+4.267%-
This opponent (Comunicaciones Mercedes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Comunicaciones Mercedes wins
1
Penarol wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/19AHispano Americano92-99 OT
13/02/19AFerro78-88
09/02/19HGimnasia65-64
06/02/19AWeber Bahia90-63
04/02/19AArgentino93-77
01/02/19HBoca Juniors69-78
27/01/19HWeber Bahia92-50
20/01/19ARegatas78-80
18/01/19ASan Martin62-78
16/01/19ALa Union81-86
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/19AEstudiantes66-90
07/02/19HAtenas88-101
03/02/19AWeber Bahia76-89
01/02/19AArgentino75-77
28/01/19HHispano Americano79-71
25/01/19HSan Lorenzo55-104
22/01/19HGimnasia75-68
18/01/19AQuilmes105-101 OT
12/01/19HLibertad83-75
08/01/19AOlimpico73-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Comunicaciones Mercedes
Liga A 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL44%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayLWWLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %44%71%22%
Points / game82.581.683.2
Allowed / game78.771.784.1
Point differential+3.8+9.9-0.9
Avg total161.2153.3167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%43%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Penarol
Liga A 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL38%
HomeWWLWL57%
AwayLWLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %38%57%22%
Points / game80.081.379.0
Allowed / game86.685.487.6
Point differential-6.6-4.1-8.6
Avg total166.6166.7166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%14%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)-25% (4)
Overtime %12%14%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Lorenzo1312192%92.874.2+18.6
2 Ferro1611569%82.977.6+5.2
3 Regatas1912763%84.280.6+3.6
4 Gimnasia1610662%80.876.1+4.7
5 Instituto de Cordoba159660%86.378.3+8.1
6 Hispano Americano159660%83.583.3+0.1
7 Quimsa1710759%86.581.8+4.7
8 Libertad1710759%79.278.4+0.8
9 Obras Sanitarias1710759%82.683.7-1.1
10 San Martin169756%80.481.9-1.4
11 Boca Juniors179853%74.975.4-0.5
12 Olimpico168850%77.375.1+2.2
13 La Union1881044%84.984.9-0.1
14 Comunicaciones Mercedes167944%82.578.7+3.8
15 Estudiantes1771041%74.678.8-4.1
16 Penarol1661038%80.086.6-6.6
17 Quilmes1641225%78.987.4-8.6
18 Argentino1641225%79.689.4-9.9
19 Weber Bahia1641225%69.579.7-10.2
20 Atenas1531220%78.384.8-6.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Comunicaciones Mercedes1716232278
Penarol2413241576
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