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Penarol vs Comunicaciones Mercedes Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Apr 2019
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 71-64
18-15 10-13 18-18 25-18
Position#16
Record8-18
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game84.8
Penarol 🏆
Argentina
vs
Position#4
Record15-13
FormLLWLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game79.1
ArgentinaLiga A
Other2018-19
Meetings · Penarol v Comunicaciones Mercedes
20 Dec 2023
PENA92
COMU76
16 Feb 2023
PENA85
COMU70
20 Dec 2021
PENA84
COMU68
08 Feb 2021
PENA86
COMU83
11 Dec 2019
PENA81
COMU89
04 Apr 2019
PENA71
COMU64
12 Dec 2017
PENA99
COMU84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Comunicaciones Mercedes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#4
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A18/02
Liga A
Ferro
#3
L
66-88
66
88
-22
H05/03
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
L
62-76
62
76
-14
H12/03
Liga A
Estudiantes
#9
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H15/03
Liga A
La Union
#11
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A19/03
Liga A
Regatas
#7
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A21/03
Liga A
San Martin
#10
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A23/03
Liga A
Olimpico
#12
W
98-96 OT
98
96
+2
H27/03
Liga A
Regatas
#7
L
68-84
68
84
-16
H30/03
Liga A
San Martin
#10
W
112-88
112
88
+24
H02/04
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
13-16
24-23
15-22
12-26
21-17
15-22
18-23
23-19
10-16
13-21
16-20
25-13
15-15
10-13
18-28
20-18
19-20
19-18
10-20
20-11
24-17
16-17
16-36
25-18
12-18
13-24
25-24
19-18
18-17
24-21
19-24
16-19
20-31
22-16
10-18
27-20
22-20
18-17
45-31
158.9Avg total
76.9Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)78.884.8163.7-6.031%
Season at home (13)80.284.5164.8-4.346%
Season away (13)77.485.2162.5-7.815%
Last 10 (10)76.982.0158.9-5.120%
Last 5 (5)85.886.6172.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)72.683.7156.2-11.117%
vs Similar (14)84.185.9170.0-1.743%
vs Weaker (4)83.578.2161.8+5.250%
This opponent (Comunicaciones Mercedes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Comunicaciones MercedesArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpico
#12
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A05/03
Liga A
Quimsa
#13
L
57-86
57
86
-29
A07/03
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#6
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H10/03
Liga A
San Martin
#10
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H12/03
Liga A
Libertad
#14
W
84-75
84
75
+9
H17/03
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A21/03
Liga A
Atenas
#19
L
86-87
86
87
-1
A23/03
Liga A
La Union
#11
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H26/03
Liga A
Estudiantes
#9
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A31/03
Liga A
Quilmes
#20
W
92-88
92
88
+4
A03/04
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
18-21
21-13
20-17
10-26
16-9
11-25
20-26
24-17
22-12
19-20
22-29
17-27
18-24
22-15
28-15
24-16
24-16
14-20
22-23
17-13
12-14
21-22
17-20
23-20
20-25
28-25
15-17
24-31
17-15
22-13
20-21
18-22
16-23
21-20
22-18
19-26
27-19
24-19
22-24
158.9Avg total
79.2Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)81.379.1160.4+2.254%
Season at home (13)82.674.9157.5+7.785%
Season away (15)80.182.7162.8-2.527%
Last 10 (10)79.279.7158.9-0.560%
Last 5 (5)81.081.4162.4-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.085.0157.0-13.00%
vs Similar (8)76.677.9154.5-1.238%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)84.078.3162.3+5.765%
This opponent (Penarol) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -5.4-5.4Q4: -0.2-0.2
PenarolComunicaciones Mercedes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#4
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A18/02
Liga A
Ferro
#3
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H05/03
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H12/03
Liga A
Estudiantes
#9
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H15/03
Liga A
La Union
#11
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A19/03
Liga A
Regatas
#7
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A21/03
Liga A
San Martin
#10
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A23/03
Liga A
Olimpico
#12
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H27/03
Liga A
Regatas
#7
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H30/03
Liga A
San Martin
#10
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H02/04
Liga A
75.1Avg total
38.5Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.838.578.2+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.538.278.7+2.353%-
Last 30 away (15)39.038.777.7+0.360%-
Last 10 (10)38.536.675.1+1.970%-
Last 5 (5)40.637.878.4+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)36.138.975.0-2.850%-
vs Similar (14)42.438.080.4+4.457%-
vs Weaker (4)41.538.880.2+2.875%-
This opponent (Comunicaciones Mercedes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Comunicaciones MercedesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpico
#12
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A05/03
Liga A
Quimsa
#13
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A07/03
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#6
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H10/03
Liga A
San Martin
#10
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H12/03
Liga A
Libertad
#14
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H17/03
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A21/03
Liga A
Atenas
#19
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A23/03
Liga A
La Union
#11
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H26/03
Liga A
Estudiantes
#9
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A31/03
Liga A
Quilmes
#20
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A03/04
Liga A
77.6Avg total
38.1Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.937.477.2+2.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.433.775.1+7.764%-
Last 30 away (16)38.540.679.1-2.131%-
Last 10 (10)38.139.577.6-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)38.641.680.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.037.574.5-0.550%-
vs Similar (8)38.835.974.6+2.962%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)40.638.078.6+2.640%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Penarol wins
2
Comunicaciones Mercedes wins
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/19HSan Martin112-88
30/03/19HRegatas68-84
27/03/19HOlimpico98-96 OT
23/03/19ASan Martin75-84
21/03/19ARegatas76-81
19/03/19ALa Union68-76
15/03/19HEstudiantes68-69
12/03/19HInstituto de Cordoba62-76
05/03/19HFerro66-88
18/02/19AComunicaciones Mercedes76-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/19AQuilmes92-88
31/03/19AEstudiantes77-83
26/03/19HLa Union83-80
23/03/19AAtenas86-87
21/03/19AInstituto de Cordoba67-69
17/03/19HLibertad84-75
12/03/19HSan Martin85-81
10/03/19HObras Sanitarias87-78
07/03/19AQuimsa57-86
05/03/19AOlimpico74-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga A 2018-19
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW31%
HomeLLWLW46%
AwayLLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %31%46%15%
Points / game78.880.277.4
Allowed / game84.884.585.2
Point differential-6.0-4.3-7.8
Avg total163.7164.8162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%15%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)50% (2)17% (6)
Overtime %12%15%8%
Comunicaciones Mercedes
Liga A 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW54%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayLLLLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %54%85%27%
Points / game81.382.680.1
Allowed / game79.174.982.7
Point differential+2.2+7.7-2.5
Avg total160.4157.5162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%23%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)100% (5)29% (7)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Lorenzo2120195%91.576.6+14.9
2 Instituto de Cordoba2518772%84.876.6+8.2
3 Regatas28181064%84.281.7+2.6
4 Quimsa26161062%84.880.3+4.5
5 Gimnasia26161062%83.279.0+4.3
6 Obras Sanitarias26161062%81.881.8+0.0
7 Ferro28171161%83.177.3+5.8
8 Comunicaciones Mercedes28151354%81.379.1+2.2
9 Estudiantes27141352%77.478.5-1.1
10 Libertad26131350%79.680.8-1.2
11 Boca Juniors28131546%76.277.0-0.8
12 San Martin26121446%79.283.0-3.8
13 Hispano Americano24111346%83.285.0-1.7
14 La Union27121544%83.383.5-0.3
15 Olimpico25111444%78.477.8+0.6
16 Weber Bahia26101638%71.578.1-6.6
17 Penarol2681831%78.884.8-6.0
18 Quilmes2681831%78.885.2-6.3
19 Argentino2772026%79.986.7-6.8
20 Atenas2662023%79.084.7-5.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol1810182571
Comunicaciones Mercedes1513181864
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