Penarol vs Independiente de Oliva Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Mar 2023

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 93-97

19-21 25-20 23-24 26-32

Position#13

Record16-10

FormWLWLL

Points / game81.5

Allowed / game78.6

Penarol

Independiente de Oliva 🏆

Position#14

Record15-12

FormLWWWW

Points / game79.4

Allowed / game77.7

Liga ARound 27

Other2022-23

Meetings · Penarol v Independiente de Oliva

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Independiente de Oliva winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Flamengo

74-92

-18

H07/02

Champions League Americas

Instituto de Cordoba

71-78

-7

A08/02

Champions League Americas

Atenas

#20

103-84

103

+19

H09/02

Liga A

Olimpia Kings

#13

92-80

+12

A14/02

Liga Uruguaya

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#17

85-70

+15

H17/02

Liga A

Malvin

83-80

H17/02

Liga Uruguaya

Bigua

84-91

-7

A28/02

Liga Uruguaya

Urunday

#12

87-81

A03/03

Liga Uruguaya

Franca

84-91

-7

H06/03

Champions League Americas

Obras Sanitarias

78-92

-14

H07/03

Liga A

18-22

22-24

22-23

12-23

19-21

20-16

12-20

20-21

33-24

28-20

28-18

14-22

19-21

26-13

32-21

15-25

14-16

21-24

26-12

24-18

24-21

14-18

29-19

16-22

24-25

17-27

19-21

24-18

21-24

20-20

27-19

19-18

19-25

19-23

20-26

26-17

23-20

15-20

16-26

24-26

168.0Avg total

84.1Scored

83.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	81.5	78.6	160.1	+2.9	62%
Season at home (12)	80.6	79.2	159.8	+1.4	58%
Season away (14)	82.3	78.1	160.4	+4.2	64%
Last 10 (10)	84.1	83.9	168.0	+0.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	83.2	87.0	170.2	-3.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	76.0	85.3	161.3	-9.3	30%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	83.8	83.5	167.3	+0.3	57%
vs Weaker (6)	93.8	79.2	173.0	+14.7	100%

This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Independiente de Oliva Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ferro

#15

79-75

A22/01

Liga A

Ferro

#15

86-81

H26/01

Liga A

Riachuelo

#11

77-70

H02/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

70-84

-14

A05/02

Liga A

San Lorenzo

#18

85-78

A06/02

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

84-88

-4

H16/02

Liga A

Union De Santa Fe

#19

85-73

+12

H17/02

Liga A

San Lorenzo

#18

83-70

+13

H19/02

Liga A

San Martin

#12

87-80

H04/03

Liga A

Argentino

#16

78-62

+16

A09/03

Liga A

18-28

18-18

26-12

17-17

23-14

23-20

20-27

20-20

16-19

19-26

27-12

15-13

19-21

16-20

14-17

21-26

20-18

16-21

24-19

25-20

20-17

20-20

21-23

23-28

25-17

16-20

23-16

21-20

18-18

24-21

24-18

17-13

31-24

12-22

18-16

26-18

20-13

16-22

26-12

16-15

157.5Avg total

81.4Scored

76.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	79.4	77.7	157.0	+1.7	56%
Season at home (16)	81.9	77.4	159.3	+4.6	62%
Season away (11)	75.6	78.1	153.7	-2.5	45%
Last 10 (10)	81.4	76.1	157.5	+5.3	80%
Last 5 (5)	83.4	74.6	158.0	+8.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	82.5	84.4	166.9	-1.9	25%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	76.8	77.6	154.4	-0.8	50%
vs Weaker (9)	79.4	71.8	151.2	+7.7	89%

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PenarolIndependiente de Oliva

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	21.4	42.5	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	20.2	41.7	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	22.6	43.3	-1.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	21.9	43.3	-0.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	23.0	45.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.6	23.7	43.3	-4.1	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	21.0	20.4	41.4	+0.6	57%	-
vs Weaker (6)	23.8	20.0	43.8	+3.8	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	20.1	18.7	38.8	+1.4	52%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	18.0	39.1	+3.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (11)	18.5	19.7	38.3	-1.2	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	18.9	39.9	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	17.8	40.6	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	22.0	19.4	41.4	+2.6	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.2	18.7	37.9	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	19.3	18.1	37.4	+1.2	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.3	40.8	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	21.5	40.9	-2.0	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	19.1	40.7	+2.6	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	20.5	40.7	-0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	21.6	38.6	-4.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.2	19.4	39.6	+0.8	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.9	21.3	41.1	-1.4	29%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.8	19.3	42.2	+3.5	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	19.3	19.3	38.5	+0.0	44%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	19.4	39.0	+0.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (11)	18.7	19.1	37.8	-0.4	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	21.0	39.0	-3.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	21.0	38.6	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.4	22.0	40.4	-3.6	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.2	18.6	38.8	+1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	19.0	17.6	36.6	+1.4	67%	-

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Flamengo

40-46

-6

H07/02

Champions League Americas

Instituto de Cordoba

39-37

A08/02

Champions League Americas

Atenas

#20

61-44

+17

H09/02

Liga A

Olimpia Kings

#13

45-34

+11

A14/02

Liga Uruguaya

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#17

35-40

-5

H17/02

Liga A

Malvin

38-39

-1

H17/02

Liga Uruguaya

Bigua

41-52

-11

A28/02

Liga Uruguaya

Urunday

#12

41-44

-3

A03/03

Liga Uruguaya

Franca

38-48

-10

H06/03

Champions League Americas

Obras Sanitarias

38-40

-2

H07/03

Liga A

84.0Avg total

41.6Scored

42.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	41.7	83.3	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.9	41.7	82.6	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.4	41.7	84.1	+0.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	42.4	84.0	-0.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	44.6	83.8	-5.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	39.8	43.1	82.9	-3.3	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	40.9	41.6	82.5	-0.8	43%	-
vs Weaker (6)	46.7	39.3	86.0	+7.3	83%	-

This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Independiente de OlivaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ferro

#15

36-46

-10

A22/01

Liga A

Ferro

#15

46-34

+12

H26/01

Liga A

Riachuelo

#11

35-45

-10

H02/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

35-41

-6

A05/02

Liga A

San Lorenzo

#18

36-39

-3

A06/02

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

40-37

H16/02

Liga A

Union De Santa Fe

#19

41-37

H17/02

Liga A

San Lorenzo

#18

42-39

H19/02

Liga A

San Martin

#12

43-46

-3

H04/03

Liga A

Argentino

#16

36-35

A09/03

Liga A

78.9Avg total

39.0Scored

39.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	39.3	38.0	77.3	+1.4	56%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.8	37.4	78.1	+3.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (11)	37.3	38.8	76.1	-1.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	39.9	78.9	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	38.8	79.2	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	40.4	41.4	81.8	-1.0	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	39.4	37.3	76.7	+2.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	38.3	35.7	74.0	+2.7	78%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	19.9	41.4	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	19.4	40.9	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	20.3	41.9	+1.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	20.5	43.6	+2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	22.2	44.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.1	20.9	39.0	-2.8	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	21.4	20.1	41.5	+1.2	64%	-
vs Weaker (6)	27.5	17.5	45.0	+10.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	19.7	20.4	40.1	-0.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	20.8	40.8	-0.7	44%	-
Last 30 away (11)	19.2	20.0	39.2	-0.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	17.2	39.5	+5.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	17.0	39.4	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.6	21.5	40.1	-2.9	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.7	21.8	40.5	-3.1	20%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.8	18.0	39.8	+3.8	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	21.2	40.5	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	19.9	38.7	-1.0	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	22.5	42.2	-2.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	21.0	40.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	20.2	42.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.1	21.3	39.4	-3.2	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.9	20.6	40.6	-0.7	36%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.7	22.3	42.0	-2.7	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	19.7	18.6	38.3	+1.1	56%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	18.1	38.2	+1.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (11)	19.2	19.3	38.5	-0.1	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.0	39.1	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.8	39.4	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	21.4	19.2	40.6	+2.1	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.7	18.5	37.2	+0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (9)	19.3	18.1	37.4	+1.2	78%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	41.1	81.8	-0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.3	39.3	79.6	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.2	42.9	84.1	-1.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.5	41.5	84.0	+1.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	42.4	86.4	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	36.2	42.2	78.4	-6.0	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	41.3	40.8	82.1	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	47.2	39.8	87.0	+7.3	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	39.4	39.0	78.4	+0.4	48%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.1	38.9	79.0	+1.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (11)	38.4	39.3	77.6	-0.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	36.2	78.6	+6.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	35.8	78.8	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	40.0	40.8	80.8	-0.8	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	37.4	40.3	77.7	-2.9	40%	-
vs Weaker (9)	41.1	36.1	77.2	+5.0	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Penarol wins

Independiente de Oliva wins

Date	Game	Score
02/11/22	Independiente de Oliva v Penarol	83-80

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/03/23	H	Obras Sanitarias	78-92
06/03/23	H	Franca	84-91
03/03/23	A	Urunday	87-81
28/02/23	A	Bigua	84-91
17/02/23	H	Malvin	83-80
17/02/23	H	Comunicaciones Mercedes	85-70
14/02/23	A	Olimpia Kings	92-80
09/02/23	H	Atenas	103-84
08/02/23	A	Instituto de Cordoba	71-78
07/02/23	H	Flamengo	74-92

Independiente de Olivalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/03/23	A	Argentino	78-62
04/03/23	H	San Martin	87-80
19/02/23	H	San Lorenzo	83-70
17/02/23	H	Union De Santa Fe	85-73
16/02/23	H	Instituto de Cordoba	84-88
06/02/23	A	San Lorenzo	85-78
05/02/23	A	Gimnasia	70-84
02/02/23	H	Riachuelo	77-70
26/01/23	H	Ferro	86-81
22/01/23	A	Ferro	79-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol

Liga A 2022-23

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	62%
Home	LWWWL	58%
Away	WWWWL	64%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	12	14
Win %	62%	58%	64%
Points / game	81.5	80.6	82.3
Allowed / game	78.6	79.2	78.1
Point differential	+2.9	+1.4	+4.2
Avg total	160.1	159.8	160.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	25%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	56% (9)	75% (4)	40% (5)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Independiente de Oliva

Liga A 2022-23

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	56%
Home	WLWWW	62%
Away	LWLWW	45%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	16	11
Win %	56%	62%	45%
Points / game	79.4	81.9	75.6
Allowed / game	77.7	77.4	78.1
Point differential	+1.7	+4.6	-2.5
Avg total	157.0	159.3	153.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	31%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (10)	33% (6)	75% (4)
Overtime %	4%	6%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Instituto de Cordoba	25	21	4	84%	82.1	76.1	+6.0
2	Obras Sanitarias	26	19	7	73%	84.4	78.2	+6.2
3	Gimnasia	28	20	8	71%	84.4	78.1	+6.3
4	Quimsa	26	18	8	69%	87.2	77.8	+9.5
5	Obera TC	28	19	9	68%	74.8	73.3	+1.5
6	Olimpico	26	17	9	65%	84.0	77.5	+6.5
7	Penarol	26	16	10	62%	81.5	78.6	+2.9
8	Platense	28	17	11	61%	81.0	79.0	+2.0
9	Boca Juniors	25	14	11	56%	82.2	79.8	+2.4
10	Independiente de Oliva	27	15	12	56%	79.4	77.7	+1.7
11	San Martin	26	14	12	54%	78.3	74.2	+4.0
12	Regatas	28	15	13	54%	77.5	77.2	+0.3
13	La Union	29	14	15	48%	81.0	78.2	+2.8
14	Riachuelo	28	12	16	43%	80.9	84.8	-3.9
15	Ferro	28	11	17	39%	77.3	81.0	-3.8
16	Argentino	30	10	20	33%	73.6	78.9	-5.3
17	Comunicaciones Mercedes	28	7	21	25%	78.4	86.4	-8.0
18	Union De Santa Fe	30	7	23	23%	77.2	82.6	-5.4
19	San Lorenzo	28	6	22	21%	75.8	83.5	-7.7
20	Atenas	28	2	26	7%	73.7	88.0	-14.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Penarol	19	25	23	26	93
Independiente de Oliva	21	20	24	32	97

← all games of the day

Penarol vs Independiente de Oliva Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature