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Corinthians Paulista vs Botafogo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 86-91
19-15 18-23 18-21 31-32
Position#9
Record4-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Position#15
Record3-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game83.1
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Wlamir Marques
Other2023-24
Meetings · Corinthians Paulista v Botafogo
03 Nov 2025
CORI90
BOTA75
11 Jan 2025
CORI84
BOTA79
09 Dec 2023
CORI86
BOTA91
13 Dec 2019
CORI70
BOTA74
12 Dec 2019
CORI64
BOTA74
01 Nov 2019
CORI102
BOTA76
26 Mar 2019
CORI84
BOTA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Corinthians Paulista winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Botafogo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Corinthians PaulistaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulista
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#19
W
84-72
84
72
+12
80avg 69
A21/10
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
67-58
67
58
+9
54avg 69
A23/10
NBB
Franca
#1
L
88-93
88
93
-5
80avg 69
A07/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
74-80
74
80
-6
69avg 69
A09/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
81-78
81
78
+3
75avg 69
H14/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
71-79
71
79
-8
64avg 69
H17/11
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
65-78
65
78
-13
56avg 69
A24/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
75-76
75
76
-1
63avg 69
A25/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
94-92
94
92
+2
89avg 69
H30/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
73-77
73
77
-4
62avg 69
H05/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
21-14
21-15
18-17
14-15
20-14
16-17
17-12
27-23
16-20
30-20
15-30
22-26
22-20
18-22
12-12
19-16
20-18
18-19
24-25
20-20
13-20
21-22
17-17
13-20
17-17
17-24
18-17
16-19
18-21
23-17
18-19
26-21
25-24
26-27
17-20
23-27
14-17
20-18
16-15
155.5Avg total
77.2Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.278.3155.5-1.140%
Season at home (4)79.881.5161.2-1.850%
Season away (6)75.576.2151.7-0.733%
Last 10 (10)77.278.3155.5-1.140%
Last 5 (5)75.680.4156.0-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.987.7164.6-10.90%
vs Similar (11)73.780.2153.9-6.518%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)84.275.6159.8+8.573%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Vasco
#4
L
62-79
62
79
-17
47avg 60
H04/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
69-92
69
92
-23
55avg 60
A07/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
79-86
79
86
-7
71avg 60
H10/11
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
89-78
89
78
+11
no box
H14/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
74-73
74
73
+1
64avg 60
H18/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
81-86
81
86
-5
73avg 60
A20/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
72-96
72
96
-24
62avg 60
A23/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
83-80
83
80
+3
75avg 60
H29/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
77-78
77
78
-1
65avg 60
A04/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
77-85
77
85
-8
63avg 60
A07/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
19-19
16-24
13-19
9-18
24-22
12-28
24-24
20-21
32-26
14-25
13-14
21-15
32-23
15-24
21-16
14-17
24-28
16-12
20-16
17-17
21-17
18-26
25-26
20-20
12-31
16-25
24-20
22-14
22-32
22-14
17-20
22-13
22-31
14-17
19-17
9-16
21-26
19-23
28-20
159.6Avg total
76.3Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)75.483.1158.5-7.821%
Season at home (7)76.381.6157.9-5.343%
Season away (7)74.484.7159.1-10.30%
Last 10 (10)76.383.3159.6-7.030%
Last 5 (5)78.085.0163.0-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)74.481.9156.3-7.527%
vs Similar (12)80.881.5162.3-0.750%
vs Weaker (3)82.775.0157.7+7.7100%
This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +1.2+1.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +1.2+1.2
Corinthians PaulistaBotafogo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Corinthians PaulistaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#19
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A21/10
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A23/10
NBB
Franca
#1
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A07/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A09/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H14/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H17/11
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A24/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A25/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H30/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H05/12
NBB
78.8Avg total
39.0Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.242.181.3-2.937%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.940.879.7-1.846%-
Last 30 away (17)39.443.182.5-3.629%-
Last 10 (10)39.039.878.8-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)37.041.278.2-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.045.183.1-7.114%-
vs Similar (11)37.443.280.5-5.89%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)40.938.979.8+2.073%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#4
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H04/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A07/11
NBB
Franca
#1
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H10/11
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H14/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H18/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A20/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A23/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H29/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A04/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A07/12
NBB
82.0Avg total
39.7Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.540.278.8-1.737%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.041.681.6-1.629%-
Last 30 away (16)37.239.076.2-1.844%-
Last 10 (10)39.742.382.0-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)37.643.481.0-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)38.541.279.7-2.727%-
vs Similar (12)38.839.378.1-0.650%-
vs Weaker (3)38.039.077.0-1.033%-
This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Corinthians Paulistatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Corinthians Paulista: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.6
50.9%
51.8%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.07.6
28.1%
33.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws19.714.0
71.1%
72.6%14.0
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.620.0
48.1%
51.8%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.68.5
29.7%
33.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.214.2
74.0%
72.6%14.2
They take 70.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Corinthians Paulista
LWLLLWLLWW
Botafogo
LLWLLWWLLL
#9
League position
#15
-2.0
Net rating
-8.4
102.8
Offensive rating
97.9
104.9
Defensive rating
106.3
47.3%
Effective FG%
46.7%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
15.5%
Turnover %
18.7%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
28.1%
3-point %
29.7%
56.2%
Assist %
58.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 97.9Defence104.9 · 106.3Shooting47.3% · 46.7%3-point %28.1% · 29.7%Ball care15.5% · 18.7%Off. rebounds29.5% · 30.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Corinthians Paulista   ■ Botafogo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Corinthians Paulista wins
3
Botafogo wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/23HMogi73-77
30/11/23HPinheiros94-92
25/11/23AUnifacisa75-76
24/11/23ACearense65-78
17/11/23HPaulistano71-79
14/11/23HSao Paulo81-78
09/11/23ABauru74-80
07/11/23AFranca88-93
23/10/23ACerrado67-58
21/10/23ABrasilia84-72
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/23APaulistano77-85
04/12/23ASao Paulo77-78
29/11/23HBauru83-80
23/11/23ASao Jose72-96
20/11/23AMogi81-86
18/11/23HCerrado74-73
14/11/23HBrasilia89-78
10/11/23HFranca79-86
07/11/23AFlamengo69-92
04/11/23HVasco62-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Corinthians Paulista
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL40%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game77.279.875.5
Allowed / game78.381.576.2
Point differential-1.1-1.8-0.7
Avg total155.5161.2151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Botafogo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL21%
HomeLLWWW43%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %21%43%0%
Points / game75.476.374.4
Allowed / game83.181.684.7
Point differential-7.8-5.3-10.3
Avg total158.5157.9159.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1210283%83.072.3+10.7
2 Minas1210283%82.974.0+8.9
3 Franca1310377%87.075.5+11.5
4 Vasco139469%72.568.0+4.5
5 Paulistano139469%72.469.8+2.6
6 Sao Jose128467%81.472.7+8.8
7 Unifacisa128467%78.074.0+4.0
8 Cearense128467%77.374.2+3.1
9 Bauru147750%77.475.7+1.6
10 Sao Paulo146843%77.180.3-3.1
11 Corinthians Paulista104640%77.278.3-1.1
12 Pato135838%74.177.4-3.3
13 Uniao Corinthians135838%72.579.8-7.4
14 Caxias do Sul135838%71.779.5-7.8
15 Pinheiros114736%77.179.5-2.4
16 Cerrado134931%72.672.8-0.2
17 Brasilia1331023%71.885.0-13.2
18 Botafogo1431121%75.483.1-7.8
19 Mogi1321115%73.379.8-6.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Corinthians Paulista1918183186
Botafogo1523213291
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