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Botafogo vs Bauru Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 83-80
22-14 22-32 22-14 17-20
Position#15
Record2-9
FormLWWLL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game83.7
vs
Position#5
Record6-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game76.1
BrazilNBB· Oscar Zelaya Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Botafogo v Bauru
09 Dec 2026
BOTA v BAUR
upcoming
19 Feb 2026
BOTA81
BAUR87
18 Dec 2024
BOTA93
BAUR92
29 Nov 2023
BOTA83
BAUR80
04 Apr 2020
BOTA v BAUR
upcoming
11 Jan 2019
BOTA74
BAUR80
04 Jan 2018
BOTA60
BAUR77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Botafogo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bauru winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Pato
#12
L
71-79
71
79
-8
11avg 58
H24/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
78-82
78
82
-4
71avg 58
A28/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
67-74
67
74
-7
64avg 58
A30/10
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
62-79
62
79
-17
47avg 58
H04/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
69-92
69
92
-23
55avg 58
A07/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
79-86
79
86
-7
71avg 58
H10/11
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
89-78
89
78
+11
no box
H14/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
74-73
74
73
+1
64avg 58
H18/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
81-86
81
86
-5
73avg 58
A20/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
72-96
72
96
-24
62avg 58
A23/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
17-17
22-25
17-14
15-23
20-17
17-18
26-24
21-13
18-16
11-20
17-25
14-17
19-19
16-24
13-19
9-18
24-22
12-28
24-24
20-21
32-26
14-25
13-14
21-15
32-23
15-24
21-16
14-17
24-28
16-12
20-16
17-17
21-17
18-26
25-26
20-20
12-31
16-25
24-20
156.7Avg total
74.2Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)74.483.7158.1-9.418%
Season at home (6)75.281.8157.0-6.733%
Season away (5)73.486.0159.4-12.60%
Last 10 (10)74.282.5156.7-8.320%
Last 5 (5)79.083.8162.8-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)72.982.7155.6-9.821%
vs Similar (13)81.780.8162.5+0.954%
vs Weaker (3)82.775.0157.7+7.7100%
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
W
75-71
75
71
+4
66avg 70
H26/10
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
77-80
77
80
-3
57avg 70
A31/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
58-89
58
89
-31
39avg 70
A02/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
80-74
80
74
+6
75avg 70
H09/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
74-70
74
70
+4
71avg 70
H11/11
NBB
Pato
#12
L
70-73
70
73
-3
57avg 70
A14/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
80-99
80
99
-19
74avg 70
A16/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
95-67
95
67
+28
82avg 70
H20/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
94-59
94
59
+35
94avg 70
H22/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
73-89
73
89
-16
64avg 70
A27/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
14-28
19-16
22-13
21-20
23-25
14-24
19-11
19-25
13-18
8-26
18-20
26-22
20-22
22-18
12-12
19-24
18-18
19-14
18-14
17-19
21-14
14-22
18-18
16-26
25-25
20-26
19-22
19-20
28-13
28-11
20-23
19-18
29-6
17-16
29-19
19-16
18-24
14-31
22-18
154.7Avg total
77.6Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.576.1154.5+2.455%
Season at home (6)84.267.8152.0+16.3100%
Season away (5)71.686.0157.6-14.40%
Last 10 (10)77.677.1154.7+0.550%
Last 5 (5)82.477.4159.8+5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.885.6160.4-10.912%
vs Similar (9)75.975.0150.9+0.956%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)81.169.5150.6+11.577%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -7.0-7.0Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.7+2.7
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -7.0-7.0Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.7+2.7
BotafogoBauru
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pato
#12
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H24/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A28/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A30/10
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H04/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A07/11
NBB
Franca
#1
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H10/11
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H14/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H18/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A20/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A23/11
NBB
78.5Avg total
38.5Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.340.478.7-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.742.382.0-2.733%-
Last 30 away (15)37.038.475.4-1.447%-
Last 10 (10)38.540.078.5-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)42.643.085.6-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.641.479.0-3.929%-
vs Similar (13)39.239.578.8-0.354%-
vs Weaker (3)38.039.077.0-1.033%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H26/10
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A31/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A02/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H09/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H11/11
NBB
Pato
#12
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A14/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A16/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H20/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H22/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A27/11
NBB
80.1Avg total
40.4Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.738.778.4+1.040%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.937.177.9+3.853%-
Last 30 away (13)38.240.879.1-2.623%-
Last 10 (10)40.439.780.1+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)42.236.278.4+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.143.881.9-5.612%-
vs Similar (9)38.241.179.3-2.933%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.833.975.7+7.862%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.7
51.2%
51.8%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.27.8
28.7%
33.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws18.212.4
68.1%
72.6%12.4
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.0
49.2%
51.8%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.6
36.0%
33.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws15.511.9
76.8%
72.6%11.9
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Botafogo
LLWWLLLLLL
Bauru
LWWLLWWLLW
#15
League position
#5
-10.8
Net rating
+0.3
95.6
Offensive rating
104.5
106.5
Defensive rating
104.2
47.7%
Effective FG%
51.2%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
21.1%
Turnover %
16.8%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.24
28.7%
3-point %
36.0%
60.4%
Assist %
60.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence95.6 · 104.5Defence106.5 · 104.2Shooting47.7% · 51.2%3-point %28.7% · 36.0%Ball care21.1% · 16.8%Off. rebounds28.9% · 23.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Botafogo   ■ Bauru
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Botafogo wins
4
Bauru wins
DateGameScore
30/11/19Bauru v Botafogo71-78
11/01/19Botafogo v Bauru74-80
25/10/18Bauru v Botafogo82-63
25/03/18Bauru v Botafogo103-78
04/01/18Botafogo v Bauru60-77
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/23ASao Jose72-96
20/11/23AMogi81-86
18/11/23HCerrado74-73
14/11/23HBrasilia89-78
10/11/23HFranca79-86
07/11/23AFlamengo69-92
04/11/23HVasco62-79
30/10/23ACaxias do Sul67-74
28/10/23AUniao Corinthians78-82
24/10/23HPato71-79
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/23AFlamengo73-89
22/11/23HCaxias do Sul94-59
20/11/23HUniao Corinthians95-67
16/11/23AMinas80-99
14/11/23APato70-73
11/11/23HPinheiros74-70
09/11/23HCorinthians Paulista80-74
02/11/23AUnifacisa58-89
31/10/23ACearense77-80
26/10/23HPaulistano75-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Botafogo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL18%
HomeLLLWW33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %18%33%0%
Points / game74.475.273.4
Allowed / game83.781.886.0
Point differential-9.4-6.7-12.6
Avg total158.1157.0159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bauru
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL55%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%100%0%
Points / game78.584.271.6
Allowed / game76.167.886.0
Point differential+2.4+16.3-14.4
Avg total154.5152.0157.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas98189%83.372.2+11.1
2 Cearense87188%78.572.8+5.8
3 Franca97278%89.774.6+15.1
4 Flamengo97278%82.673.2+9.3
5 Vasco107370%73.667.9+5.7
6 Paulistano107370%70.368.8+1.5
7 Sao Jose96367%81.873.2+8.6
8 Unifacisa85362%75.872.4+3.4
9 Bauru116555%78.576.1+2.4
10 Pato115645%74.978.4-3.5
11 Sao Paulo104640%78.181.5-3.4
12 Caxias do Sul104640%72.479.7-7.3
13 Uniao Corinthians104640%71.079.7-8.7
14 Corinthians Paulista83538%75.676.8-1.1
15 Cerrado103730%72.572.1+0.4
16 Pinheiros82625%76.080.0-4.0
17 Brasilia92722%70.883.4-12.7
18 Botafogo112918%74.483.7-9.4
19 Mogi101910%72.780.9-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Botafogo2222221783
Bauru1432142080
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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