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Corinthians Paulista vs Botafogo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 84-79
24-23 18-16 22-20 20-20
Position#8
Record8-11
FormWLLWW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game80.9
vs
Position#18
Record6-13
FormLWLWL
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game80.6
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Wlamir Marques
Other2024-25
Meetings · Corinthians Paulista v Botafogo
03 Nov 2025
CORI90
BOTA75
11 Jan 2025
CORI84
BOTA79
09 Dec 2023
CORI86
BOTA91
13 Dec 2019
CORI70
BOTA74
12 Dec 2019
CORI64
BOTA74
01 Nov 2019
CORI102
BOTA76
26 Mar 2019
CORI84
BOTA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Corinthians Paulista winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Corinthians PaulistaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulista
Date
Competition
Vasco
#7
L
84-90
84
90
-6
76avg 76
A17/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
69-89
69
89
-20
61avg 76
H28/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
78-83
78
83
-5
73avg 76
A02/12
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
92-83
92
83
+9
90avg 76
H12/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
77-80
77
80
-3
71avg 76
H14/12
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
72-70
72
70
+2
60avg 76
A17/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
64-79
64
79
-15
46avg 76
A21/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
79-80
79
80
-1
84avg 76
A23/12
NBB
Pato
#14
W
85-76
85
76
+9
85avg 76
A29/12
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
99-79
99
79
+20
96avg 76
H09/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
17-17
24-16
22-30
20-23
11-25
14-21
24-20
26-28
13-20
25-25
14-10
25-24
22-23
23-11
22-25
17-20
23-35
13-11
24-14
14-21
11-16
18-15
29-18
18-20
20-11
9-28
17-20
29-19
22-25
16-25
12-11
22-19
18-22
23-25
22-10
22-21
29-18
27-20
21-20
160.8Avg total
79.9Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)80.780.9161.6-0.342%
Season at home (10)84.086.3170.3-2.330%
Season away (9)77.075.0152.0+2.056%
Last 10 (10)79.980.9160.8-1.040%
Last 5 (5)79.876.8156.6+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.883.6153.4-13.820%
vs Similar (14)80.985.2166.1-4.429%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)87.477.3164.6+10.173%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#3
L
67-91
67
91
-24
58avg 66
A13/11
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
68-66
68
66
+2
54avg 66
H15/11
NBB
Pato
#14
L
78-98
78
98
-20
57avg 66
A28/11
NBB
Minas
#1
L
68-95
68
95
-27
52avg 66
H02/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
67-89
67
89
-22
56avg 66
H05/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
71-82
71
82
-11
69avg 66
A15/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
93-92 OT
93
92
+1
87avg 66
H18/12
NBB
Franca
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
65avg 66
H23/12
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
97-85
97
85
+12
96avg 66
H27/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
63-75
63
75
-12
56avg 66
A09/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
14-24
14-18
23-27
21-11
9-19
18-20
20-16
20-27
11-20
14-25
33-26
13-25
19-21
20-20
16-29
18-33
12-27
20-11
17-18
19-27
14-18
25-20
13-17
14-18
24-19
22-15
19-27
18-16
17-21
20-25
18-24
25-16
22-15
22-25
28-29
10-20
18-24
14-12
21-19
160.4Avg total
74.5Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)72.580.6153.1-8.132%
Season at home (10)72.581.5154.0-9.030%
Season away (9)72.679.6152.1-7.033%
Last 10 (10)74.585.9160.4-11.430%
Last 5 (5)79.484.0163.4-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)75.086.3161.3-11.225%
vs Similar (5)78.672.6151.2+6.060%
vs Weaker (1)108.0106.0214.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -2.4-2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -2.4-2.4
Corinthians PaulistaBotafogo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Corinthians PaulistaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#7
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A17/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H28/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A02/12
NBB
Cearense
#17
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H12/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H14/12
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A17/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A21/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A23/12
NBB
Pato
#14
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A29/12
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H09/01
NBB
83.4Avg total
40.0Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.242.083.1-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.443.685.9-1.243%-
Last 30 away (16)40.140.680.7-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)40.043.483.4-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)41.038.479.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.041.675.6-7.620%-
vs Similar (14)41.344.685.9-3.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)44.338.883.1+5.564%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#3
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A13/11
NBB
Vasco
#7
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H15/11
NBB
Pato
#14
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A28/11
NBB
Minas
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H02/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
30-60
30
60
-30
H05/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A15/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H18/12
NBB
Franca
#2
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H23/12
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H27/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A09/01
NBB
75.7Avg total
33.4Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.342.278.5-5.933%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.841.978.7-5.238%-
Last 30 away (14)35.942.578.4-6.629%-
Last 10 (10)33.442.375.7-8.920%-
Last 5 (5)36.238.875.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)35.544.179.5-8.625%-
vs Similar (5)38.232.270.4+6.060%-
vs Weaker (1)48.047.095.0+1.0100%-
This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Corinthians Paulistatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Corinthians Paulista: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.717.6
50.7%
50.9%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.0
35.1%
33.0%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.013.5
75.0%
72.7%13.5
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.917.8
45.8%
50.9%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.3
32.3%
33.0%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.713.2
67.0%
72.7%13.2
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Corinthians Paulista
WWLLWLWLLL
Botafogo
LWLWLLLLWL
#8
League position
#18
-1.9
Net rating
-14.1
108.0
Offensive rating
94.5
109.9
Defensive rating
108.6
51.6%
Effective FG%
46.8%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
17.2%
Turnover %
19.1%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.1%
3-point %
32.3%
63.8%
Assist %
64.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 94.5Defence109.9 · 108.6Shooting51.6% · 46.8%3-point %35.1% · 32.3%Ball care17.2% · 19.1%Off. rebounds29.6% · 24.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Corinthians Paulista   ■ Botafogo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Corinthians Paulista wins
4
Botafogo wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/25HVasco99-79
29/12/24APato85-76
23/12/24ACaxias do Sul79-80
21/12/24AUniao Corinthians64-79
17/12/24AMogi72-70
14/12/24HUnifacisa77-80
12/12/24HCearense92-83
02/12/24ASao Jose78-83
28/11/24HPinheiros69-89
17/11/24AVasco84-90
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/25APinheiros63-75
27/12/24HMogi97-85
23/12/24HFranca73-86
18/12/24HBauru93-92 OT
15/12/24ASao Paulo71-82
05/12/24HBrasilia67-89
02/12/24HMinas68-95
28/11/24APato78-98
15/11/24HVasco68-66
13/11/24AFlamengo67-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Corinthians Paulista
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW42%
HomeWLWLW30%
AwayLWLLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %42%30%56%
Points / game80.784.077.0
Allowed / game80.986.375.0
Point differential-0.3-2.3+2.0
Avg total161.6170.3152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%20%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Botafogo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL32%
HomeLLWLW30%
AwayLLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %32%30%33%
Points / game72.572.572.6
Allowed / game80.681.579.6
Point differential-8.1-9.0-7.0
Avg total153.1154.0152.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%10%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %11%10%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas1917289%83.370.0+13.3
2 Flamengo1915479%83.972.0+11.9
3 Brasilia1913668%83.880.9+2.9
4 Franca1911858%81.178.3+2.8
5 Pinheiros1911858%76.374.7+1.6
6 Uniao Corinthians1911858%78.378.6-0.3
7 Bauru2011955%78.079.5-1.4
8 Vasco1910953%74.573.7+0.8
9 Sao Paulo1910953%78.478.2+0.2
10 Unifacisa20101050%75.475.7-0.2
11 Paulistano1991047%77.775.0+2.7
12 Sao Jose1991047%75.775.2+0.5
13 Corinthians Paulista1981142%80.780.9-0.3
14 Pato2071335%81.885.0-3.2
15 Botafogo1961332%72.580.6-8.1
16 Mogi2061430%71.979.5-7.6
17 Caxias do Sul1951426%72.279.1-6.9
18 Cearense1941521%69.277.4-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Corinthians Paulista2418222084
Botafogo2316202079
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