Corinthians Paulista vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Apr 2021

Tip-off: 19:00

Final 89-84 (OT)

31-19 15-25 14-25 21-12 8-3

Position#6

Record18-13

FormLLWWW

Points / game77.6

Allowed / game74.4

Corinthians Paulista 🏆

Pato

Position#11

Record12-19

FormLWWLL

Points / game74.3

Allowed / game83.8

NBB

Other2020-21

Meetings · Corinthians Paulista v Pato

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Corinthians Paulista winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pato winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Corinthians Paulista Brazil

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cerrado

#14

83-61

+22

H26/02

NBB

Brasilia

#16

96-70

+26

H28/02

NBB

Cearense

#10

83-77

A06/03

NBB

Pato

#11

91-82

H14/03

NBB

Minas

78-65

+13

H16/03

NBB

Flamengo

85-98

-13

A18/03

NBB

Sao Paulo

78-85

-7

H03/04

NBB

Unifacisa

93-79

+14

H05/04

NBB

Campo Mourao

#15

86-74

+12

A08/04

NBB

Pato

#11

90-61

+29

A22/04

NBB

11-16

20-21

21-13

31-11

24-16

23-15

20-17

29-22

18-24

17-13

24-25

24-15

23-12

24-22

24-21

20-27

23-16

14-17

24-17

17-15

19-24

23-19

18-29

25-26

23-11

20-26

16-18

19-30

24-19

20-24

24-19

25-17

27-12

12-17

28-23

19-22

17-10

24-17

24-15

25-19

161.5Avg total

86.3Scored

75.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	77.6	74.4	152.0	+3.2	58%
Season at home (15)	80.9	73.1	154.0	+7.7	67%
Season away (16)	74.6	75.6	150.2	-1.1	50%
Last 10 (10)	86.3	75.2	161.5	+11.1	80%
Last 5 (5)	86.4	79.4	165.8	+7.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	64.2	74.0	138.2	-9.8	33%
vs Similar (9)	71.6	75.0	146.6	-3.4	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	84.5	73.5	158.0	+11.1	80%

This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pato

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Franca

68-109

109

-41

A25/02

NBB

Bauru

55-101

101

-46

A27/02

NBB

Sao Paulo

85-84

A01/03

NBB

Pinheiros

#13

89-88

H11/03

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

82-91

-9

A14/03

NBB

Paulistano

49-87

-38

H02/04

NBB

Mogi

73-62

+11

H04/04

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#12

85-83 OT

A07/04

NBB

Unifacisa

80-99

-19

A10/04

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

61-90

-29

H22/04

NBB

12-26

20-27

16-34

20-22

18-31

13-19

12-24

12-27

17-19

22-20

24-24

22-21

26-18

24-13

12-27

27-30

12-23

22-24

21-24

27-20

11-22

15-13

14-26

9-26

18-19

22-16

17-18

16-9

14-15

18-14

19-19

19-22

19-39

14-13

30-26

17-21

10-17

17-24

15-24

19-25

162.1Avg total

72.7Scored

89.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	74.3	83.8	158.1	-9.5	39%
Season at home (16)	74.0	80.6	154.6	-6.6	44%
Season away (15)	74.7	87.1	161.8	-12.5	33%
Last 10 (10)	72.7	89.4	162.1	-16.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	69.6	84.2	153.8	-14.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	70.9	85.0	155.8	-14.1	27%
vs Similar (6)	81.5	79.7	161.2	+1.8	67%
vs Weaker (2)	101.0	87.0	188.0	+14.0	100%

This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Corinthians PaulistaPato

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.6	18.1	37.8	+1.5	46%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.6	17.5	38.1	+3.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	18.7	37.5	+0.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	16.0	36.9	+4.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	15.2	37.2	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.0	19.8	38.8	-0.8	40%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.6	19.8	37.4	-2.1	12%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.9	16.7	37.7	+4.2	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	20.6	37.9	-3.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.7	18.2	35.9	-0.5	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.7	23.4	40.1	-6.7	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.7	22.9	38.6	-7.2	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.4	22.4	36.8	-8.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	16.1	21.1	37.2	-5.0	18%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.5	17.5	39.0	+4.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.1	18.9	39.1	+1.2	54%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.8	18.1	37.9	+1.8	54%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	19.7	40.1	+0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.1	38.8	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.6	40.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.2	40%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.4	19.2	37.6	-0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	21.3	18.5	39.7	+2.8	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	19.2	37.6	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.4	18.9	37.2	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	19.6	37.9	-1.2	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	18.3	37.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	16.0	33.2	+1.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	17.2	20.2	37.4	-3.0	32%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.0	17.3	38.3	+3.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	23.0	14.0	37.0	+9.0	100%	-

Corinthians PaulistaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cerrado

#14

31-37

-6

H26/02

NBB

Brasilia

#16

47-31

+16

H28/02

NBB

Cearense

#10

35-37

-2

A06/03

NBB

Pato

#11

47-34

+13

H14/03

NBB

Minas

37-33

H16/03

NBB

Flamengo

42-43

-1

A18/03

NBB

Sao Paulo

43-37

H03/04

NBB

Unifacisa

44-43

H05/04

NBB

Campo Mourao

#15

39-29

+10

A08/04

NBB

Pato

#11

41-27

+14

A22/04

NBB

75.7Avg total

40.6Scored

35.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	39.8	37.1	76.9	+2.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.5	35.5	76.0	+4.9	77%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.2	38.4	77.6	+0.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	35.1	75.7	+5.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	35.8	77.6	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	38.6	39.6	78.2	-1.0	40%	-
vs Similar (8)	36.0	39.0	75.0	-3.0	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	42.2	35.2	77.4	+7.0	73%	-

This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Franca

32-53

-21

A25/02

NBB

Bauru

31-50

-19

A27/02

NBB

Sao Paulo

39-39

A01/03

NBB

Pinheiros

#13

50-31

+19

H11/03

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

34-47

-13

A14/03

NBB

Paulistano

26-35

-9

H02/04

NBB

Mogi

40-35

H04/04

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#12

32-29

A07/04

NBB

Unifacisa

33-52

-19

A10/04

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

27-41

-14

H22/04

NBB

75.6Avg total

34.4Scored

41.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.6	39.8	75.4	-4.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.1	37.1	73.1	-1.0	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.1	43.0	78.1	-7.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.4	41.2	75.6	-6.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.6	38.4	70.0	-6.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	33.3	41.3	74.6	-8.0	23%	-
vs Similar (6)	41.0	37.3	78.3	+3.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	44.5	31.5	76.0	+13.0	100%	-

This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.9	54%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.8	17.8	38.6	+2.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	19.9	40.8	+0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	19.7	42.0	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	20.8	42.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.4	20.8	39.2	-2.4	40%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.4	20.1	40.5	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	21.9	17.7	39.6	+4.1	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	22.8	42.0	-3.6	23%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.2	23.2	41.5	-5.0	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	22.3	42.6	-1.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	24.6	42.6	-6.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	22.6	41.6	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	19.0	23.1	42.1	-4.2	23%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.8	20.2	38.0	-2.3	17%	-
vs Weaker (2)	26.5	27.0	53.5	-0.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.4	20.7	41.1	-0.4	39%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.4	20.4	41.8	+1.0	54%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	21.0	40.5	-1.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	20.4	43.8	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	22.8	45.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.0	24.4	44.4	-4.4	40%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.4	18.8	39.1	+1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.5	20.5	41.0	-0.1	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.5	39.4	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.7	20.3	40.0	-0.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	20.6	38.8	-2.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	22.3	41.1	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	20.6	36.6	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	17.9	20.0	37.9	-2.0	41%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.7	22.2	44.8	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	21.0	40.5	-1.5	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	41.2	39.7	80.9	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.2	38.2	80.4	+3.9	54%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.3	40.9	81.3	-0.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.7	40.1	85.8	+5.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	43.6	88.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	38.4	45.2	83.6	-6.8	40%	-
vs Similar (8)	40.8	38.9	79.6	+1.9	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	42.3	38.3	80.6	+4.1	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	43.3	81.5	-5.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.9	43.6	81.5	-5.6	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.5	42.9	81.4	-4.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.8	46.9	83.7	-10.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	43.2	78.2	-8.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	36.9	43.1	80.0	-6.2	27%	-
vs Similar (6)	40.5	42.3	82.8	-1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	46.0	48.0	94.0	-2.0	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Corinthians Paulista wins

Pato wins

Date	Game	Score
22/04/21	Pato v Corinthians Paulista	61-90
14/03/21	Corinthians Paulista v Pato	91-82
04/01/21	Pato v Corinthians Paulista	75-80
07/03/20	Corinthians Paulista v Pato	93-81
29/11/19	Pato v Corinthians Paulista	68-80

Corinthians Paulistalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/04/21	A	Pato	90-61
08/04/21	A	Campo Mourao	86-74
05/04/21	H	Unifacisa	93-79
03/04/21	H	Sao Paulo	78-85
18/03/21	A	Flamengo	85-98
16/03/21	H	Minas	78-65
14/03/21	H	Pato	91-82
06/03/21	A	Cearense	83-77
28/02/21	H	Brasilia	96-70
26/02/21	H	Cerrado	83-61

Patolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/04/21	H	Corinthians Paulista	61-90
10/04/21	A	Unifacisa	80-99
07/04/21	A	Caxias do Sul	85-83 OT
04/04/21	H	Mogi	73-62
02/04/21	H	Paulistano	49-87
14/03/21	A	Corinthians Paulista	82-91
11/03/21	H	Pinheiros	89-88
01/03/21	A	Sao Paulo	85-84
27/02/21	A	Bauru	55-101
25/02/21	A	Franca	68-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Corinthians Paulista

NBB 2020-21

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	58%
Home	WWWLW	67%
Away	LWLWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	15	16
Win %	58%	67%	50%
Points / game	77.6	80.9	74.6
Allowed / game	74.4	73.1	75.6
Point differential	+3.2	+7.7	-1.1
Avg total	152.0	154.0	150.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	39%	53%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	50% (2)	50% (6)
Overtime %	3%	7%	0%

Pato

NBB 2020-21

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	39%
Home	LWLWL	44%
Away	LWLWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	16	15
Win %	39%	44%	33%
Points / game	74.3	74.0	74.7
Allowed / game	83.8	80.6	87.1
Point differential	-9.5	-6.6	-12.5
Avg total	158.1	154.6	161.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	19%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	78% (9)	75% (4)	80% (5)
Overtime %	6%	0%	13%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Flamengo	30	28	2	93%	89.7	71.9	+17.8
2	Minas	30	26	4	87%	84.7	74.3	+10.4
3	Sao Paulo	30	23	7	77%	90.2	77.5	+12.7
4	Paulistano	30	22	8	73%	76.4	72.7	+3.7
5	Bauru	32	21	11	66%	81.6	75.9	+5.7
6	Corinthians Paulista	31	18	13	58%	77.6	74.4	+3.2
7	Franca	31	16	15	52%	86.8	82.9	+3.9
8	Mogi	32	16	16	50%	80.3	82.5	-2.2
9	Unifacisa	32	15	17	47%	82.4	81.5	+0.9
10	Cearense	31	14	17	45%	76.2	76.2	+0.0
11	Pato	31	12	19	39%	74.3	83.8	-9.5
12	Caxias do Sul	32	9	23	28%	75.7	80.5	-4.9
13	Pinheiros	30	8	22	27%	71.0	82.9	-11.9
14	Cerrado	30	7	23	23%	74.5	79.9	-5.4
15	Campo Mourao	30	6	24	20%	76.0	87.0	-11.0
16	Brasilia	30	5	25	17%	76.6	90.0	-13.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Corinthians Paulista	31	15	14	21	8	89
Pato	19	25	25	12	3	84

← all games of the day

Corinthians Paulista vs Pato Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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