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Corinthians Paulista vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 14 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 86-89
25-22 16-25 22-19 23-23
Position#8
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Corinthians Paulista
Brazil
vs
Pato 🏆
Brazil
Position#14
Record0-1
FormWWLLL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game68.0
BrazilNBB· Benito M.
Other2024-25
Meetings · Corinthians Paulista v Pato
19 Nov 2025
CORI87
PATO68
14 Oct 2024
CORI86
PATO89
16 Dec 2023
CORI85
PATO81
15 Feb 2023
CORI102
PATO78
28 Jan 2022
CORI58
PATO60
24 Apr 2021
CORI89
PATO84
14 Mar 2021
CORI91
PATO82
06 Mar 2020
CORI93
PATO81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Corinthians Paulista winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pato winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Corinthians PaulistaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulista
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
81-70
81
70
+11
76avg 75
H13/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
90-77
90
77
+13
88avg 75
A23/03
NBB
Pato
#12
L
87-100
87
100
-13
78avg 75
A28/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
73-91
73
91
-18
67avg 75
A30/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
107-93
107
93
+14
107avg 75
H03/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
58-88
58
88
-30
50avg 75
A06/04
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
116-72
116
72
+44
132avg 75
A08/04
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
78-87
78
87
-9
70avg 75
A11/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
65-83
65
83
-18
56avg 75
H18/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
68-77
68
77
-9
63avg 75
A22/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
22-7
12-30
26-14
28-20
19-14
19-21
24-22
14-30
22-27
25-22
26-21
13-24
20-15
20-30
20-22
35-24
17-21
19-21
36-27
19-23
10-25
8-19
21-21
27-18
32-18
23-18
34-18
20-24
21-27
21-17
16-19
20-26
17-26
13-16
15-15
24-22
11-11
14-30
19-14
166.1Avg total
82.3Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.383.8166.1-1.540%
Last 5 (5)77.081.4158.4-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.288.6163.8-13.420%
vs Similar (13)79.881.5161.2-1.738%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)88.076.9164.9+11.183%
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
W
83-73
83
73
+10
80avg 69
H09/03
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
100-73
100
73
+27
96avg 69
H25/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
100-87
100
87
+13
93avg 69
H28/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
83-79
83
79
+4
72avg 69
H30/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
69-77
69
77
-8
57avg 69
H05/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
77-75
77
75
+2
70avg 69
A10/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
85-68
85
68
+17
89avg 69
A12/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
74-93
74
93
-19
66avg 69
H21/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
62-71
62
71
-9
56avg 69
A27/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
67-68
67
68
-1
60avg 69
A12/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
28-20
25-14
13-22
25-14
27-13
21-27
27-19
30-14
27-22
22-25
21-26
26-24
19-15
18-18
20-22
22-18
11-24
23-15
13-20
15-22
28-20
19-16
15-17
16-17
30-13
23-14
16-24
23-21
20-18
18-26
13-28
19-19
12-20
18-19
13-13
23-24
12-16
15-15
17-13
156.4Avg total
80.0Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)67.068.0135.0-1.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)67.068.0135.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)80.076.4156.4+3.660%
Last 5 (5)73.075.0148.0-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)74.181.1155.2-7.022%
vs Similar (14)76.482.9159.4-6.521%
vs Weaker (7)84.772.0156.7+12.7100%
This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -3.6-3.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -3.6-3.6
Corinthians PaulistaPato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Corinthians PaulistaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H13/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A23/03
NBB
Pato
#12
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A28/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A30/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H03/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A06/04
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
59-36
59
36
+23
A08/04
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A11/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H18/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A22/04
NBB
83.3Avg total
41.2Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.939.980.8+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.239.480.6+1.853%-
Last 30 away (13)40.540.681.2-0.146%-
Last 10 (10)41.242.183.3-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)40.244.084.2-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.043.278.2-8.20%-
vs Similar (13)40.241.481.5-1.246%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.237.081.2+7.275%-
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H09/03
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
52-27
52
27
+25
H25/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
57-36
57
36
+21
H28/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H30/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H05/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A10/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A12/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H21/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A27/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A12/10
NBB
80.1Avg total
43.0Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.139.378.4-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.438.178.5+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)37.940.578.4-2.740%-
Last 10 (10)43.037.180.1+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)39.638.077.6+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.942.279.1-5.333%-
vs Similar (14)37.939.677.6-1.736%-
vs Weaker (7)44.434.979.3+9.6100%-
This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Corinthians Paulistatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Corinthians Paulista: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.5
55.1%
50.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.8
34.9%
33.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws17.712.5
70.6%
72.7%12.5
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.2
52.6%
50.9%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.6
36.9%
33.0%28.8
🏀 Free throws16.111.4
70.8%
72.7%11.4
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Corinthians Paulista
LLLWLWLLWW
Pato
LLLWWLWWWW
#8
League position
#14
-3.0
Net rating
+5.3
107.1
Offensive rating
109.5
110.2
Defensive rating
104.2
53.9%
Effective FG%
53.8%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
17.8%
Turnover %
17.4%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.9%
3-point %
36.9%
70.0%
Assist %
55.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 109.5Defence110.2 · 104.2Shooting53.9% · 53.8%3-point %34.9% · 36.9%Ball care17.8% · 17.4%Off. rebounds26.0% · 28.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Corinthians Paulista   ■ Pato
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Corinthians Paulista wins
2
Pato wins
DateGameScore
28/03/24Pato v Corinthians Paulista100-87
16/12/23Corinthians Paulista v Pato85-81
15/02/23Corinthians Paulista v Pato102-78
18/11/22Pato v Corinthians Paulista68-96
28/01/22Corinthians Paulista v Pato58-60
28/10/21Pato v Corinthians Paulista73-80
24/04/21Corinthians Paulista v Pato89-84 OT
22/04/21Pato v Corinthians Paulista61-90
14/03/21Corinthians Paulista v Pato91-82
04/01/21Pato v Corinthians Paulista75-80
Corinthians Paulistalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/24APaulistano68-77
18/04/24HPaulistano65-83
11/04/24AVasco78-87
08/04/24ABotafogo116-72
06/04/24AFlamengo58-88
03/04/24HCaxias do Sul107-93
30/03/24AMinas73-91
28/03/24APato87-100
23/03/24APinheiros90-77
13/03/24HUniao Corinthians81-70
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24APinheiros67-68
27/04/24ABauru62-71
21/04/24HBauru74-93
12/04/24ACaxias do Sul85-68
10/04/24AUniao Corinthians77-75
05/04/24HMinas69-77
30/03/24HPinheiros83-79
28/03/24HCorinthians Paulista100-87
25/03/24HMogi100-73
09/03/24HPaulistano83-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Corinthians Paulista
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Pato
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game67.0-67.0
Allowed / game68.0-68.0
Point differential-1.0--1.0
Avg total135.0-135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Botafogo110100%81.070.0+11.0
2 Flamengo110100%59.050.0+9.0
3 Minas110100%74.066.0+8.0
4 Mogi110100%72.067.0+5.0
5 Paulistano21150%73.567.0+6.5
6 Pinheiros21150%65.073.5-8.5
7 Pato1010%67.068.0-1.0
8 Brasilia1010%66.074.0-8.0
9 Vasco1010%50.059.0-9.0
10 Sao Jose1010%70.081.0-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Corinthians Paulista2516222386
Pato2225192389
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