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Corinthians Paulista vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 85-81
18-18 14-22 29-16 24-25
Position#9
Record5-7
FormLWLLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Position#12
Record5-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game77.4
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Wlamir Marques
Other2023-24
Meetings · Corinthians Paulista v Pato
19 Nov 2025
CORI87
PATO68
14 Oct 2024
CORI86
PATO89
16 Dec 2023
CORI85
PATO81
15 Feb 2023
CORI102
PATO78
28 Jan 2022
CORI58
PATO60
24 Apr 2021
CORI89
PATO84
14 Mar 2021
CORI91
PATO82
06 Mar 2020
CORI93
PATO81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Corinthians Paulista winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Corinthians PaulistaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulista
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
88-93
88
93
-5
80avg 73
A07/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
74-80
74
80
-6
69avg 73
A09/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
81-78
81
78
+3
75avg 73
H14/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
71-79
71
79
-8
64avg 73
H17/11
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
65-78
65
78
-13
56avg 73
A24/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
75-76
75
76
-1
63avg 73
A25/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
94-92
94
92
+2
89avg 73
H30/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
73-77
73
77
-4
62avg 73
H05/12
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
86-91
86
91
-5
83avg 73
H09/12
NBB
Minas
#3
W
105-96
105
96
+9
100avg 73
H14/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
16-20
30-20
15-30
22-26
22-20
18-22
12-12
19-16
20-18
18-19
24-25
20-20
13-20
21-22
17-17
13-20
17-17
17-24
18-17
16-19
18-21
23-17
18-19
26-21
25-24
26-27
17-20
23-27
14-17
20-18
16-15
19-15
18-23
18-21
31-32
20-27
28-24
35-19
22-26
165.2Avg total
81.2Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.280.8161.1-0.642%
Season at home (6)85.085.5170.5-0.550%
Season away (6)75.576.2151.7-0.733%
Last 10 (10)81.284.0165.2-2.830%
Last 5 (5)86.686.4173.0+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.489.3170.7-7.914%
vs Similar ◀ (10)73.079.4152.4-6.420%
vs Weaker (12)84.376.9161.2+7.467%
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Cerrado
#17
W
83-65
83
65
+18
74avg 66
H31/10
NBB
Brasilia
#19
L
78-80
78
80
-2
70avg 66
H03/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
69-100
69
100
-31
58avg 66
A06/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
87-70
87
70
+17
85avg 66
A08/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
73-70
73
70
+3
69avg 66
H14/11
NBB
Franca
#1
W
87-83
87
83
+4
78avg 66
H16/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
67-89
67
89
-22
56avg 66
A20/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
68-79
68
79
-11
60avg 66
A22/11
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
75-76
75
76
-1
63avg 66
H29/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
64-68
64
68
-4
50avg 66
H01/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
18-15
16-22
25-12
15-20
25-22
17-12
21-26
14-22
15-25
16-28
24-25
23-15
25-16
18-24
21-15
19-17
14-21
22-14
18-18
21-17
23-29
17-18
26-19
25-20
19-20
10-22
13-27
17-23
15-24
13-25
23-7
15-17
16-19
17-20
27-20
15-17
17-18
22-14
10-19
153.1Avg total
75.1Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)74.177.4151.5-3.338%
Season at home (6)76.773.7150.3+3.050%
Season away (7)71.980.6152.4-8.729%
Last 10 (10)75.178.0153.1-2.940%
Last 5 (5)72.279.0151.2-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)73.181.3154.4-8.225%
vs Similar ◀ (9)77.177.7154.8-0.644%
vs Weaker (5)87.082.4169.4+4.660%
This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +2.0+2.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +2.0+2.0
Corinthians PaulistaPato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Corinthians PaulistaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A07/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A09/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H14/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H17/11
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A24/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A25/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H30/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H05/12
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H09/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H14/12
NBB
81.4Avg total
39.6Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.942.382.2-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.941.281.1-1.343%-
Last 30 away (16)39.843.383.1-3.531%-
Last 10 (10)39.641.881.4-2.220%-
Last 5 (5)41.443.685.0-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.346.486.7-6.114%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.843.681.4-5.810%-
vs Weaker (12)40.638.879.4+1.867%-
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cerrado
#17
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H31/10
NBB
Brasilia
#19
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H03/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A06/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A08/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H14/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H16/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A20/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A22/11
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H29/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H01/12
NBB
76.8Avg total
37.5Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.939.578.3-0.633%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.437.376.7+2.133%-
Last 30 away (15)38.341.780.0-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)37.539.376.8-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)36.640.877.4-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)37.640.077.6-2.425%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.638.176.7+0.444%-
vs Weaker (5)43.640.283.8+3.440%-
This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Corinthians Paulistatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Corinthians Paulista: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.5
52.6%
51.8%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.9
31.2%
33.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.314.7
72.4%
72.6%14.7
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.2
49.1%
51.8%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.0
32.5%
33.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws15.510.9
70.3%
72.6%10.9
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Corinthians Paulista
WLLWLLLWLL
Pato
LLLLWWWLLW
#9
League position
#12
-3.2
Net rating
-3.8
107.1
Offensive rating
103.5
110.3
Defensive rating
107.2
50.1%
Effective FG%
48.9%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
15.1%
Turnover %
15.6%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.24
31.2%
3-point %
32.5%
59.2%
Assist %
59.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 103.5Defence110.3 · 107.2Shooting50.1% · 48.9%3-point %31.2% · 32.5%Ball care15.1% · 15.6%Off. rebounds27.9% · 28.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Corinthians Paulista   ■ Pato
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Corinthians Paulista wins
1
Pato wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/23HMinas105-96
09/12/23HBotafogo86-91
05/12/23HMogi73-77
30/11/23HPinheiros94-92
25/11/23AUnifacisa75-76
24/11/23ACearense65-78
17/11/23HPaulistano71-79
14/11/23HSao Paulo81-78
09/11/23ABauru74-80
07/11/23AFranca88-93
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/23HUnifacisa64-68
29/11/23HCearense75-76
22/11/23APaulistano68-79
20/11/23ASao Paulo67-89
16/11/23HFranca87-83
14/11/23HBauru73-70
08/11/23AMogi87-70
06/11/23ASao Jose69-100
03/11/23HBrasilia78-80
31/10/23HCerrado83-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Corinthians Paulista
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW42%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game80.285.075.5
Allowed / game80.885.576.2
Point differential-0.6-0.5-0.7
Avg total161.1170.5151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pato
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL38%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %38%50%29%
Points / game74.176.771.9
Allowed / game77.473.780.6
Point differential-3.3+3.0-8.7
Avg total151.5150.3152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%17%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)40% (5)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1210283%83.072.3+10.7
2 Franca1310377%87.075.5+11.5
3 Minas1310377%83.976.4+7.5
4 Sao Jose139469%81.672.7+8.9
5 Unifacisa128467%78.074.0+4.0
6 Vasco1510567%72.368.5+3.9
7 Paulistano1510567%73.570.1+3.3
8 Cearense128467%77.374.2+3.1
9 Bauru158753%78.276.1+2.1
10 Sao Paulo146843%77.180.3-3.1
11 Corinthians Paulista125742%80.280.8-0.6
12 Pinheiros125742%76.878.4-1.7
13 Pato135838%74.177.4-3.3
14 Uniao Corinthians135838%72.579.8-7.4
15 Caxias do Sul135838%71.779.5-7.8
16 Cerrado1441029%73.274.0-0.8
17 Botafogo1541127%76.483.3-6.9
18 Brasilia1431121%71.685.4-13.8
19 Mogi1421214%73.380.1-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Corinthians Paulista1814292485
Pato1822162581
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