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Crailsheim Merlins vs Den Bosch Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 89-84
19-17 22-21 16-26 32-20
Position#14
Record4-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game75.2
vs
Position#26
Record4-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game68.3
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 1
European cup2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Den Bosch winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Voluntari
#30
W
76-61
76
61
+15
no box
H26/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#3
L
77-88
77
88
-11
70avg 75
A30/10
BBL
Norrkoping
#33
W
95-64
95
64
+31
no box
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
119-102
119
102
+17
111avg 75
H05/11
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
L
94-106
94
106
-12
84avg 75
A18/11
BBL
SCM Craiova
#25
W
102-81
102
81
+21
no box
A23/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#15
W
92-84
92
84
+8
84avg 75
H26/11
BBL
Voluntari
#30
W
93-79
93
79
+14
no box
A30/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#3
L
69-95
69
95
-26
no box
H03/12
German Cup
Ulm
#4
L
80-91
80
91
-11
70avg 75
A10/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
24-8
16-20
14-16
22-33
18-16
11-18
26-21
30-5
21-25
17-23
27-11
34-20
33-26
23-30
29-26
19-36
23-25
22-24
30-21
25-23
28-15
20-20
29-23
22-17
31-16
27-27
12-24
21-21
29-15
25-21
18-22
21-29
14-25
8-25
26-16
19-19
20-25
24-16
17-31
174.8Avg total
89.7Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)85.575.2160.7+10.367%
Season at home (3)77.066.0143.0+11.067%
Season away (3)94.084.3178.3+9.767%
Last 10 (10)89.785.1174.8+4.660%
Last 5 (5)87.286.0173.2+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.591.2163.8-18.80%
vs Similar ◀ (10)90.590.3180.8+0.260%
vs Weaker (11)84.380.1164.4+4.255%
This opponent (Den Bosch) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Den BoschLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBosch
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#16
W
71-68
71
68
+3
no box
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Den Helder
#19
W
96-61
96
61
+35
no box
H30/10
BNXT League
Fribourg Olympic
#18
W
77-65
77
65
+12
no box
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
QSTA Utd
#14
W
85-84
85
84
+1
no box
A06/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
W
94-59
94
59
+35
no box
H20/11
BNXT League
Parnu
#32
L
67-75
67
75
-8
no box
A23/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BAL Weert
#18
W
103-63
103
63
+40
no box
A26/11
BNXT League
FC Porto
#16
W
82-64
82
64
+18
no box
H30/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Utrecht
#14
W
111-58
111
58
+53
no box
A04/12
DBL Cup
Amsterdam
#20
W
89-41
89
41
+48
no box
H06/12
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
13-19
11-18
22-12
23-19
22-15
26-16
25-11
18-14
19-19
15-13
25-19
18-25
22-20
24-17
21-22
16-23
31-14
22-13
25-9
18-26
20-17
15-9
14-23
29-14
23-20
32-14
19-15
16-12
20-13
17-22
29-17
31-12
30-10
29-11
21-25
25-8
19-5
24-15
21-13
151.3Avg total
87.5Scored
63.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.068.3145.3+8.767%
Season at home (3)82.061.3143.3+20.7100%
Season away (3)72.075.3147.3-3.333%
Last 10 (10)87.563.8151.3+23.790%
Last 5 (5)90.460.2150.6+30.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.383.3155.7-11.050%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.874.0153.8+5.873%
vs Weaker (10)89.862.1151.9+27.790%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +6.7+6.7Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +6.7+6.7Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +5.6+5.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +6.7+6.7Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +6.7+6.7Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +5.6+5.6
Crailsheim MerlinsDen Bosch
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Voluntari
#30
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H26/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#3
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A30/10
BBL
Norrkoping
#33
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
67-46
67
46
+21
H05/11
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
L
42-61
42
61
-19
A18/11
BBL
SCM Craiova
#25
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A23/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#15
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H26/11
BBL
Voluntari
#30
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A30/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#3
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H03/12
German Cup
Ulm
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A10/12
BBL
89.2Avg total
47.6Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.543.885.3-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.440.482.8+1.944%-
Last 30 away (14)40.647.688.1-7.029%-
Last 10 (10)47.641.689.2+6.060%-
Last 5 (5)46.041.087.0+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.148.684.8-12.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)46.245.992.1+0.340%-
vs Weaker (11)41.438.980.3+2.555%-
This opponent (Den Bosch) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Den BoschLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#16
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Den Helder
#19
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H30/10
BNXT League
Fribourg Olympic
#18
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
QSTA Utd
#14
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A06/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H20/11
BNXT League
Parnu
#32
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A23/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BAL Weert
#18
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A26/11
BNXT League
FC Porto
#16
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H30/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Utrecht
#14
W
61-22
61
22
+39
A04/12
DBL Cup
Amsterdam
#20
W
44-13
44
13
+31
H06/12
BNXT League
76.2Avg total
43.8Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.235.277.4+6.970%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.732.773.3+8.080%-
Last 30 away (15)43.737.881.5+5.960%-
Last 10 (10)43.832.476.2+11.470%-
Last 5 (5)46.227.473.6+18.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.842.880.7-5.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.735.274.9+4.573%-
vs Weaker (10)44.433.577.9+10.970%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.9
55.4%
52.5%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.9
37.1%
34.1%29.7
🏀 Free throws21.815.6
71.6%
73.2%15.6
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Den Boschtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Den Bosch: 70.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.016.5
47.1%
52.5%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.5
37.3%
34.1%28.5
🏀 Free throws11.59.0
78.3%
73.2%9.0
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/2 games with a box score before 14 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crailsheim Merlins
LLWWWLWWLW
Den Bosch
WWWWLWWWWW
#14
League position
#26
-5.5
Net rating
-30.1
114.9
Offensive rating
96.4
120.4
Defensive rating
126.5
55.5%
Effective FG%
50.8%
57.4%
Opp. effective FG%
59.4%
15.2%
Turnover %
22.1%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.19
37.1%
3-point %
37.3%
54.2%
Assist %
69.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence114.9 · 96.4Defence120.4 · 126.5Shooting55.5% · 50.8%3-point %37.1% · 37.3%Ball care15.2% · 22.1%Off. rebounds27.6% · 25.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Crailsheim Merlins   ■ Den Bosch
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Crailsheim Merlins wins
0
Den Bosch wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/22AUlm80-91
03/12/22HLudwigsburg69-95
30/11/22AVoluntari93-79
26/11/22HHamburg92-84
23/11/22ASCM Craiova102-81
18/11/22AChemnitz94-106
05/11/22HSyntainics MBC119-102
02/11/22HNorrkoping95-64
30/10/22ABayern77-88
26/10/22HVoluntari76-61
Den Boschlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/22HAmsterdam89-41
04/12/22AUtrecht111-58
30/11/22HFC Porto82-64
26/11/22ABAL Weert103-63
23/11/22AParnu67-75
20/11/22HDonar Groningen94-59
06/11/22AQSTA Utd85-84
02/11/22HFribourg Olympic77-65
30/10/22HDen Helder96-61
25/10/22AFC Porto71-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crailsheim Merlins
FIBA Europe Cup 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game85.577.094.0
Allowed / game75.266.084.3
Point differential+10.3+11.0+9.7
Avg total160.7143.0178.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %17%0%33%
Den Bosch
FIBA Europe Cup 2022
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%100%33%
Points / game77.082.072.0
Allowed / game68.361.375.3
Point differential+8.7+20.7-3.3
Avg total145.3143.3147.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Haifa98189%71.065.9+5.1
2 Karhu Basket76186%92.181.7+10.4
3 CSM Oradea65183%88.573.5+15.0
4 BC Kalev/Cramo108280%82.369.6+12.7
5 Cholet97278%85.872.1+13.7
6 Anwil Wloclawek75271%91.676.9+14.7
7 SCM Craiova107370%75.370.6+4.7
8 Crailsheim Merlins64267%85.575.2+10.3
9 Den Bosch64267%77.068.3+8.7
10 Bamberg64267%84.079.0+5.0
11 Sporting CP85362%89.191.6-2.5
12 Chemnitz74357%88.175.6+12.6
13 Gaziantep74357%77.372.6+4.7
14 FC Porto74357%78.376.1+2.1
15 Budivelnyk74357%76.976.3+0.6
16 Gottingen21150%79.573.0+6.5
17 Brindisi63350%80.274.7+5.5
18 Czarni Slupsk21150%78.575.5+3.0
19 Mechelen63350%85.083.0+2.0
20 Fribourg Olympic63350%79.579.3+0.2
21 BC Wolves21150%79.581.5-2.0
22 Opava63350%77.279.2-2.0
23 Balkan63350%74.576.8-2.3
24 AEK Larnaca21150%68.572.0-3.5
25 Leiden21150%68.572.5-4.0
26 Galil Elyon63350%83.287.7-4.5
27 Keravnos73443%77.378.3-1.0
28 Levice73443%77.982.1-4.3
29 Antwerp Giants83538%76.178.0-1.9
30 Swans Gmunden62433%77.080.0-3.0
31 Voluntari62433%68.873.8-5.0
32 Parnu62433%74.584.2-9.7
33 Norrkoping61517%71.583.5-12.0
34 Golden Eagle Ylli61517%70.387.2-16.8
35 Rilski Sportist81712%69.690.1-20.5
36 Jonava1010%59.065.0-6.0
37 Thorl1010%68.077.0-9.0
38 Jamtland1010%73.083.0-10.0
39 Aris1010%72.083.0-11.0
40 Kataja1010%64.075.0-11.0
41 Kormend6060%76.389.5-13.2
42 Trepca1010%62.076.0-14.0
43 Kapfenberg Bulls1010%55.071.0-16.0
44 Cedevita Junior1010%73.093.0-20.0
45 Donar Groningen6060%61.782.8-21.2
46 Besiktas1010%62.093.0-31.0
47 Sigal Prishtina1010%61.098.0-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 47 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crailsheim Merlins1922163289
Den Bosch1721262084
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