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Crailsheim Merlins vs Ludwigsburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 69-95
21-29 14-25 8-25 26-16
Position#7
Record1-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game72.0
Crailsheim Merlins
Germany
vs
Ludwigsburg 🏆
Germany
Position#3
Record1-0
FormWWLWL
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game86.0
GermanyGerman CupGerman Cup - Quarter-finals
Other2022-23
Meetings · Crailsheim Merlins v Ludwigsburg
10 Feb 2024
CME89
LUD100
21 Jan 2023
CME106
LUD87
03 Dec 2022
CME69
LUD95
11 Dec 2021
CME72
LUD61
02 Oct 2021
CME65
LUD63
14 Mar 2021
CME68
LUD58
09 Nov 2019
CME83
LUD92
27 Apr 2019
CME85
LUD94
09 Apr 2016
CME74
LUD75
02 Apr 2015
CME89
LUD81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ludwigsburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
SCM Craiova
#25
L
60-73
60
73
-13
no box
H19/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayreuth
#18
L
77-99
77
99
-22
67avg 74
A23/10
BBL
Voluntari
#30
W
76-61
76
61
+15
no box
H26/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#3
L
77-88
77
88
-11
70avg 74
A30/10
BBL
Norrkoping
#33
W
95-64
95
64
+31
no box
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
119-102
119
102
+17
111avg 74
H05/11
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
L
94-106
94
106
-12
84avg 74
A18/11
BBL
SCM Craiova
#25
W
102-81
102
81
+21
no box
A23/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#15
W
92-84
92
84
+8
84avg 74
H26/11
BBL
Voluntari
#30
W
93-79
93
79
+14
no box
A30/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
11-15
22-21
6-23
18-32
16-22
24-19
19-26
22-17
24-8
16-20
14-16
22-33
18-16
11-18
26-21
30-5
21-25
17-23
27-11
34-20
33-26
23-30
29-26
19-36
23-25
22-24
30-21
25-23
28-15
20-20
29-23
22-17
31-16
27-27
12-24
21-21
29-15
25-21
18-22
172.2Avg total
88.5Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)86.072.0158.0+14.0100%
Season at home (1)86.072.0158.0+14.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)88.583.7172.2+4.860%
Last 5 (5)100.090.4190.4+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)71.890.7162.5-18.80%
vs Similar (11)89.090.4179.4-1.455%
vs Weaker (12)83.780.5164.2+3.250%
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLudwigsburg
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
L
95-102
95
102
-7
83avg 70
H12/10
BBL
Hamburg
#13
W
92-86
92
86
+6
no box
A15/10
German Cup
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
80-71
80
71
+9
72avg 70
A19/10
Champions League
Bamberg
#9
W
92-78
92
78
+14
no box
H23/10
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
W
89-86
89
86
+3
83avg 70
A30/10
BBL
Darussafaka
#25
W
90-70
90
70
+20
87avg 70
A02/11
Champions League
Hamburg
#15
W
103-92
103
92
+11
96avg 70
H06/11
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
91-99
91
99
-8
80avg 70
A20/11
BBL
Bonn
#1
W
84-80
84
80
+4
69avg 70
H26/11
BBL
Darussafaka
#25
L
63-77
63
77
-14
51avg 70
H30/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-24
32-28
12-22
19-28
22-21
21-23
18-25
31-17
16-18
18-9
30-18
16-26
25-12
28-28
18-21
21-17
22-13
18-23
22-24
27-26
20-21
25-8
21-21
24-20
26-23
31-18
21-24
25-27
24-23
20-22
25-27
22-27
20-26
24-23
23-20
17-11
16-17
20-24
15-21
12-15
172.0Avg total
87.9Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)92.086.0178.0+6.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)92.086.0178.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.984.1172.0+3.870%
Last 5 (5)86.283.6169.8+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.488.2168.6-7.820%
vs Similar (15)83.777.4161.1+6.380%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)89.381.8171.1+7.667%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.0+0.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.0+0.0
Crailsheim MerlinsLudwigsburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SCM Craiova
#25
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H19/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayreuth
#18
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A23/10
BBL
Voluntari
#30
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H26/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#3
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A30/10
BBL
Norrkoping
#33
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
67-46
67
46
+21
H05/11
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
L
42-61
42
61
-19
A18/11
BBL
SCM Craiova
#25
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A23/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#15
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H26/11
BBL
Voluntari
#30
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A30/11
FIBA Europe Cup
86.9Avg total
46.8Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.843.885.6-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.939.582.4+3.347%-
Last 30 away (15)40.748.188.8-7.527%-
Last 10 (10)46.840.186.9+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)53.042.895.8+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)35.848.584.3-12.70%-
vs Similar (11)44.946.090.9-1.136%-
vs Weaker (12)42.040.182.1+1.950%-
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
W
64-52
64
52
+12
H12/10
BBL
Hamburg
#13
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A15/10
German Cup
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A19/10
Champions League
Bamberg
#9
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H23/10
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A30/10
BBL
Darussafaka
#25
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A02/11
Champions League
Hamburg
#15
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H06/11
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A20/11
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H26/11
BBL
Darussafaka
#25
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H30/11
Champions League
86.4Avg total
46.0Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.537.981.5+5.667%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.138.282.4+5.971%-
Last 30 away (13)42.837.580.3+5.262%-
Last 10 (10)46.040.486.4+5.660%-
Last 5 (5)45.241.086.2+4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.644.685.2-4.020%-
vs Similar (15)41.334.976.3+6.473%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)48.938.687.4+10.389%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
43%
37%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.120.2
54.4%
51.2%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.0
36.8%
34.0%30.0
🏀 Free throws22.015.9
72.3%
72.2%15.9
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
43%
37%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.6
55.5%
51.2%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.0
35.1%
34.0%30.0
🏀 Free throws20.015.3
76.5%
72.2%15.3
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crailsheim Merlins
WWWLWWLWLL
Ludwigsburg
LWLWWWWWWL
#7
League position
#3
-5.0
Net rating
+4.7
114.0
Offensive rating
118.0
119.1
Defensive rating
113.2
54.7%
Effective FG%
54.2%
57.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
15.1%
Turnover %
17.2%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
33.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.8%
3-point %
35.1%
57.3%
Assist %
56.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.0 · 118.0Defence119.1 · 113.2Shooting54.7% · 54.2%3-point %36.8% · 35.1%Ball care15.1% · 17.2%Off. rebounds27.2% · 33.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Crailsheim Merlins   ■ Ludwigsburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Crailsheim Merlins wins
7
Ludwigsburg wins
DateGameScore
23/04/22Ludwigsburg v Crailsheim Merlins77-75
11/12/21Crailsheim Merlins v Ludwigsburg72-61
02/10/21Crailsheim Merlins v Ludwigsburg65-63 OT
14/03/21Crailsheim Merlins v Ludwigsburg68-58
06/12/20Ludwigsburg v Crailsheim Merlins97-88
09/11/19Crailsheim Merlins v Ludwigsburg83-92
27/04/19Crailsheim Merlins v Ludwigsburg85-94
15/12/18Ludwigsburg v Crailsheim Merlins82-70
09/04/16Crailsheim Merlins v Ludwigsburg74-75
30/12/15Ludwigsburg v Crailsheim Merlins100-65
Crailsheim Merlinslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/22AVoluntari93-79
26/11/22HHamburg92-84
23/11/22ASCM Craiova102-81
18/11/22AChemnitz94-106
05/11/22HSyntainics MBC119-102
02/11/22HNorrkoping95-64
30/10/22ABayern77-88
26/10/22HVoluntari76-61
23/10/22ABayreuth77-99
19/10/22HSCM Craiova60-73
Ludwigsburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/22HDarussafaka63-77
26/11/22HBonn84-80
20/11/22AAlba Berlin91-99
06/11/22HHamburg103-92
02/11/22ADarussafaka90-70
30/10/22AWurzburg89-86
23/10/22HBamberg92-78
19/10/22AHapoel Jerusalem80-71
15/10/22AHamburg92-86
12/10/22HRostock95-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crailsheim Merlins
German Cup 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game86.086.0-
Allowed / game72.072.0-
Point differential+14.0+14.0-
Avg total158.0158.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Ludwigsburg
German Cup 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game92.0-92.0
Allowed / game86.0-86.0
Point differential+6.0-+6.0
Avg total178.0-178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern110100%85.068.0+17.0
2 Crailsheim Merlins110100%86.072.0+14.0
3 Bayreuth110100%75.069.0+6.0
4 Ludwigsburg110100%92.086.0+6.0
5 Gottingen110100%86.082.0+4.0
6 Oldenburg110100%91.087.0+4.0
7 Alba Berlin110100%98.095.0+3.0
8 Heidelberg110100%85.084.0+1.0
9 Basketball Braunschweig1010%84.085.0-1.0
10 Bonn1010%95.098.0-3.0
11 Ulm1010%82.086.0-4.0
12 Wurzburg1010%87.091.0-4.0
13 Hamburg1010%86.092.0-6.0
14 Syntainics MBC1010%69.075.0-6.0
15 Chemnitz1010%72.086.0-14.0
16 Bamberg1010%68.085.0-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crailsheim Merlins211482669
Ludwigsburg2925251695
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