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Crailsheim Merlins vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 09 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 71-68
11-15 23-22 16-15 21-16
Position#7
Record7-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game74.2
vs
Position#10
Record8-4
FormWLWWL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game79.8
EuropeFIBA Europe CupFIBA Europe Cup - Quarter-finals
European cup2021
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leiden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Kyiv Basket
#21
L
71-73
71
73
-2
no box
A12/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Oldenburg
#11
W
97-86
97
86
+11
100avg 79
H22/01
BBL
Antwerp Giants
#23
W
79-69
79
69
+10
no box
A02/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Kyiv Basket
#21
W
82-62
82
62
+20
no box
H08/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Reggiana
#4
L
70-79
70
79
-9
no box
A11/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Alba Berlin
#1
L
74-106
74
106
-32
63avg 79
A13/02
BBL
Giessen
#18
W
87-81
87
81
+6
74avg 79
H15/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
A19/02
German Cup
Alba Berlin
#1
L
76-86
76
86
-10
no box
H20/02
German Cup
Bonn
#2
L
96-101
96
101
-5
no box
A05/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
23-16
19-14
13-23
31-17
22-24
19-14
25-31
17-15
31-21
20-18
11-15
28-8
11-15
16-14
27-25
24-25
19-17
13-20
14-17
17-25
22-22
17-34
18-25
22-29
19-19
30-18
16-15
19-21
27-15
11-21
28-14
22-15
21-24
15-25
18-22
23-23
29-28
21-22
23-28
163.1Avg total
81.7Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.674.2154.8+6.358%
Season at home (6)80.875.7156.5+5.250%
Season away (6)80.372.8153.2+7.567%
Last 10 (10)81.781.4163.1+0.350%
Last 5 (5)83.689.0172.6-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)81.480.1161.6+1.367%
vs Similar (9)85.682.0167.6+3.667%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)83.175.0158.1+8.158%
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#4
L
69-71
69
71
-2
no box
H22/01
DBL
Bayreuth
#12
W
98-93
98
93
+5
no box
H26/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Legia
#3
W
77-59
77
59
+18
no box
A02/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Den Helder
#16
W
89-68
89
68
+21
no box
H05/02
BNXT League
Parma Perm
#6
W
79-75
79
75
+4
no box
H09/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Den Bosch
#3
W
83-80
83
80
+3
no box
A11/02
DBL Cup
Den Bosch
#3
L
72-77
72
77
-5
no box
H13/02
DBL Cup
QSTA Utd
#18
W
88-82
88
82
+6
no box
A17/02
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#8
W
94-70
94
70
+24
no box
A19/02
DBL
Mechelen
#3
L
93-98
93
98
-5
no box
A04/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-18
22-17
16-18
18-18
27-20
22-21
31-18
18-34
24-16
13-19
16-12
24-12
18-15
25-20
19-12
27-21
20-14
24-22
17-16
18-23
18-24
25-17
15-22
25-17
16-12
18-21
15-21
23-23
25-21
24-12
20-20
19-29
22-15
15-18
31-25
26-12
18-28
20-14
26-29
29-27
161.5Avg total
84.2Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.879.8159.6-0.167%
Season at home (6)78.878.8157.7+0.067%
Season away (6)80.780.8161.5-0.267%
Last 10 (10)84.277.3161.5+6.970%
Last 5 (5)86.081.4167.4+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)75.879.2155.0-3.350%
vs Similar (7)83.984.6168.4-0.757%
vs Weaker (17)87.965.8153.8+22.188%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +1.1+1.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +1.1+1.1
Crailsheim MerlinsLeiden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kyiv Basket
#21
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A12/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Oldenburg
#11
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H22/01
BBL
Antwerp Giants
#23
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A02/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Kyiv Basket
#21
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H08/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Reggiana
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A11/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Alba Berlin
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A13/02
BBL
Giessen
#18
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H15/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A19/02
German Cup
Alba Berlin
#1
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H20/02
German Cup
Bonn
#2
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A05/03
BBL
84.2Avg total
44.3Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.339.682.9+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.439.280.6+2.150%-
Last 30 away (14)45.640.085.6+5.679%-
Last 10 (10)44.339.984.2+4.480%-
Last 5 (5)44.244.288.4+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)43.239.382.6+3.978%-
vs Similar (9)45.142.487.6+2.756%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.137.779.8+4.458%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#4
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H22/01
DBL
Bayreuth
#12
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H26/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Legia
#3
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A02/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Den Helder
#16
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H05/02
BNXT League
Parma Perm
#6
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H09/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Den Bosch
#3
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A11/02
DBL Cup
Den Bosch
#3
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H13/02
DBL Cup
QSTA Utd
#18
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A17/02
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#8
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A19/02
DBL
Mechelen
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A04/03
BNXT League
77.3Avg total
40.9Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.536.477.0+4.170%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.137.578.7+3.673%-
Last 30 away (15)39.935.375.3+4.667%-
Last 10 (10)40.936.477.3+4.580%-
Last 5 (5)40.236.476.6+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)40.239.079.2+1.250%-
vs Similar (7)40.040.980.9-0.943%-
vs Weaker (17)40.933.774.6+7.288%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.419.6
57.0%
52.5%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.210.3
39.3%
34.1%30.9
🏀 Free throws19.715.3
77.7%
73.2%15.3
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 69.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.518.5
53.6%
52.5%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.57.0
32.6%
34.1%21.0
🏀 Free throws16.511.5
69.7%
73.2%11.5
They take 56.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/2 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crailsheim Merlins
LLWWLLWWWL
Leiden
LWWLWWWWWL
#7
League position
#10
+0.0
Net rating
-2.7
116.2
Offensive rating
95.2
116.2
Defensive rating
98.0
57.8%
Effective FG%
51.8%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
15.2%
Turnover %
27.5%
21.2%
Off. rebound %
35.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.3%
3-point %
32.6%
59.2%
Assist %
68.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.2 · 95.2Defence116.2 · 98.0Shooting57.8% · 51.8%3-point %39.3% · 32.6%Ball care15.2% · 27.5%Off. rebounds21.2% · 35.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Crailsheim Merlins   ■ Leiden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Crailsheim Merlins wins
0
Leiden wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/22ABonn96-101
20/02/22HAlba Berlin76-86
19/02/22ABasketball Braunschweig85-71
15/02/22HGiessen87-81
13/02/22AAlba Berlin74-106
11/02/22AReggiana70-79
08/02/22HKyiv Basket82-62
02/02/22AAntwerp Giants79-69
22/01/22HOldenburg97-86
12/01/22AKyiv Basket71-73
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/22AMechelen93-98
19/02/22ALWD Basket94-70
17/02/22AQSTA Utd88-82
13/02/22HDen Bosch72-77
11/02/22ADen Bosch83-80
09/02/22HParma Perm79-75
05/02/22HDen Helder89-68
02/02/22ALegia77-59
26/01/22HBayreuth98-93
22/01/22HDonar Groningen69-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crailsheim Merlins
FIBA Europe Cup 2021
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL58%
HomeLWLWW50%
AwayWWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%50%67%
Points / game80.680.880.3
Allowed / game74.275.772.8
Point differential+6.3+5.2+7.5
Avg total154.8156.5153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leiden
FIBA Europe Cup 2021
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game79.878.880.7
Allowed / game79.878.880.8
Point differential-0.1+0.0-0.2
Avg total159.6157.7161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bahcesehir Kol.1211192%84.173.9+10.2
2 Saratov1210283%93.280.2+13.0
3 Legia1310377%77.170.6+6.5
4 Reggiana1310377%75.171.3+3.8
5 Sporting CP128467%76.769.9+6.8
6 Leiden128467%79.879.8-0.1
7 Benfica149564%78.976.2+2.6
8 CSM Oradea138562%72.570.5+2.0
9 Crailsheim Merlins127558%80.674.2+6.3
10 Parma Perm127558%82.577.5+5.0
11 Szedeak21150%84.580.0+4.5
12 Bayreuth147750%83.181.4+1.6
13 FC Porto84450%70.570.0+0.5
14 Ironi Eilat63350%82.882.3+0.5
15 Parnu21150%77.076.5+0.5
16 Hapoel Haifa21150%80.080.0+0.0
17 London Lions126650%80.382.1-1.8
18 Swans Gmunden21150%68.070.0-2.0
19 Nes Ziona21150%78.080.5-2.5
20 Kyiv Basket126650%68.471.5-3.1
21 Ionikos63350%78.382.8-4.5
22 Bakken Bears136746%85.686.1-0.5
23 Antwerp Giants125742%80.378.9+1.4
24 Donar Groningen83538%72.474.6-2.2
25 Iraklis83538%74.078.8-4.8
26 Trefl Sopot145936%75.776.6-0.9
27 Mornar Bar62433%80.778.3+2.3
28 Belfius Mons62433%72.376.8-4.5
29 Basket Zaragoza62433%80.785.8-5.2
30 Peristeri62433%74.379.5-5.2
31 Den Bosch62433%73.380.0-6.7
32 Rilski Sportist62433%79.285.8-6.7
33 Minsk62433%80.588.5-8.0
34 Szolnoki Olaj61517%68.575.2-6.7
35 Opava61517%81.788.7-7.0
36 Gilboa Galil61517%73.891.8-18.0
37 Enisey1010%80.085.0-5.0
38 Vienna Basket1010%67.072.0-5.0
39 BC Dnipro1010%82.088.0-6.0
40 Voluntari1010%77.083.0-6.0
41 Keravnos1010%58.070.0-12.0
42 Kapfenberg Bulls6060%72.087.5-15.5
43 TFT Skopje1010%76.092.0-16.0
44 Academic Plovdiv1010%75.095.0-20.0
45 Kumanovo1010%60.083.0-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 45 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crailsheim Merlins1123162171
Leiden1522151668
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