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Crailsheim Merlins vs Norrkoping Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 02 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 95-64
30-5 21-25 17-23 27-11
Position#14
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game75.7
vs
Position#33
Record1-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game79.7
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 4
European cup2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Norrkoping winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#6
W
95-93
95
93
+2
90avg 74
H07/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
82-95
82
95
-13
no box
H02/10
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
84-82
84
82
+2
69avg 74
A04/10
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
77-81
77
81
-4
69avg 74
H07/10
BBL
Norrkoping
#33
L
87-93 OT
87
93
-6
no box
A12/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#15
W
86-72
86
72
+14
no box
H15/10
German Cup
SCM Craiova
#25
L
60-73
60
73
-13
no box
H19/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayreuth
#18
L
77-99
77
99
-22
67avg 74
A23/10
BBL
Voluntari
#30
W
76-61
76
61
+15
no box
H26/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#3
L
77-88
77
88
-11
70avg 74
A30/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
26-19
21-12
25-36
10-27
28-20
20-24
24-24
22-27
18-19
20-20
24-16
16-27
24-16
24-20
13-18
30-14
11-26
19-21
19-18
21-19
19-18
25-12
21-23
21-14
11-15
22-21
6-23
18-32
16-22
24-19
19-26
22-17
24-8
16-20
14-16
22-33
18-16
11-18
26-21
163.8Avg total
80.1Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.375.7150.0-1.333%
Season at home (2)68.067.0135.0+1.050%
Season away (1)87.093.0180.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)80.183.7163.8-3.640%
Last 5 (5)75.278.6153.8-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.290.8167.0-14.610%
vs Similar (8)84.287.8172.0-3.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)79.381.0160.3-1.745%
This opponent (Norrkoping) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorrkopingLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNorrkoping
Date
Competition
Budivelnyk
#15
L
51-87
51
87
-36
29avg 29
H21/09
Champions League
Uppsala
#8
W
90-75
90
75
+15
no box
A27/09
Basketligan
Boras
#1
L
73-91
73
91
-18
no box
H03/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#9
W
89-77
89
77
+12
no box
H07/10
Basketligan
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
93-87 OT
93
87
+6
no box
H12/10
FIBA Europe Cup
KFUM Kalmar
#10
W
96-69
96
69
+27
no box
A14/10
Basketligan
Voluntari
#30
L
60-75
60
75
-15
no box
A19/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Lulea
#5
W
80-78
80
78
+2
no box
H24/10
Basketligan
SCM Craiova
#25
L
63-77
63
77
-14
no box
A26/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Umea
#4
L
71-77
71
77
-6
no box
A28/10
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
8-21
17-25
12-22
25-23
20-21
14-13
31-18
24-29
17-15
13-18
19-29
17-26
22-9
21-21
29-21
14-30
26-11
21-19
18-19
28-19
21-10
26-17
21-23
19-14
13-25
14-21
14-15
25-20
17-21
24-24
14-13
11-25
21-12
15-20
16-20
19-16
19-10
16-30
17-21
155.9Avg total
76.6Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)72.079.7151.7-7.733%
Season at home (1)93.087.0180.0+6.0100%
Season away (2)61.576.0137.5-14.50%
Last 10 (10)76.679.3155.9-2.750%
Last 5 (5)74.075.2149.2-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)72.079.7151.7-7.733%
vs Similar (1)73.091.0164.0-18.00%
vs Weaker (25)87.178.8165.9+8.276%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -1.0-1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -1.0-1.0
Crailsheim MerlinsNorrkoping
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#6
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H07/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H02/10
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A04/10
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H07/10
BBL
Norrkoping
#33
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A12/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#15
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H15/10
German Cup
SCM Craiova
#25
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H19/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayreuth
#18
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A23/10
BBL
Voluntari
#30
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H26/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#3
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A30/10
BBL
81.5Avg total
40.0Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.744.384.0-4.630%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.340.579.9-1.233%-
Last 30 away (15)40.148.188.2-7.927%-
Last 10 (10)40.041.581.5-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)38.438.877.2-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.546.485.9-6.930%-
vs Similar (8)41.545.887.2-4.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)38.642.080.6-3.427%-
This opponent (Norrkoping) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorrkopingLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Budivelnyk
#15
L
22-40
22
40
-18
H21/09
Champions League
Uppsala
#8
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A27/09
Basketligan
Boras
#1
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H03/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#9
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H07/10
Basketligan
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H12/10
FIBA Europe Cup
KFUM Kalmar
#10
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A14/10
Basketligan
Voluntari
#30
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A19/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Lulea
#5
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H24/10
Basketligan
SCM Craiova
#25
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A26/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Umea
#4
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A28/10
Basketligan
75.6Avg total
38.0Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.640.682.2+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.541.383.8+1.247%-
Last 30 away (13)40.439.880.2+0.646%-
Last 10 (10)38.037.675.6+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)38.634.473.0+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)34.739.073.7-4.30%-
vs Similar (1)41.044.085.0-3.00%-
vs Weaker (25)43.240.783.9+2.556%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.1
51.9%
52.5%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.5
33.6%
34.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.515.0
73.2%
73.2%15.0
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Norrkopingtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Norrkoping: 51.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers24.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.012.0
40.0%
52.5%24.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.0
29.2%
34.1%21.0
🏀 Free throws10.06.0
60.0%
73.2%6.0
They take 54.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/1 games with a box score before 02 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crailsheim Merlins
LWLLWLLWLW
Norrkoping
LLWLWWWLWL
#14
League position
#33
-7.5
Net rating
-51.9
106.7
Offensive rating
77.8
114.1
Defensive rating
129.7
51.3%
Effective FG%
41.7%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
61.7%
17.1%
Turnover %
16.0%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
17.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.19
33.6%
3-point %
29.2%
59.8%
Assist %
42.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 77.8Defence114.1 · 129.7Shooting51.3% · 41.7%3-point %33.6% · 29.2%Ball care17.1% · 16.0%Off. rebounds27.3% · 17.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Crailsheim Merlins   ■ Norrkoping
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Crailsheim Merlins wins
1
Norrkoping wins
DateGameScore
12/10/22Norrkoping v Crailsheim Merlins93-87 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/22ABayern77-88
26/10/22HVoluntari76-61
23/10/22ABayreuth77-99
19/10/22HSCM Craiova60-73
15/10/22HChemnitz86-72
12/10/22ANorrkoping87-93 OT
07/10/22HGottingen77-81
04/10/22ABamberg84-82
02/10/22HOldenburg82-95
07/05/22HChemnitz95-93
Norrkopinglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/22AUmea71-77
26/10/22ASCM Craiova63-77
24/10/22HBC Lulea80-78
19/10/22AVoluntari60-75
14/10/22AKFUM Kalmar96-69
12/10/22HCrailsheim Merlins93-87 OT
07/10/22HSodertalje89-77
03/10/22HBoras73-91
27/09/22AUppsala90-75
21/09/22HBudivelnyk51-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crailsheim Merlins
FIBA Europe Cup 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game74.368.087.0
Allowed / game75.767.093.0
Point differential-1.3+1.0-6.0
Avg total150.0135.0180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %33%0%100%
Norrkoping
FIBA Europe Cup 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game72.093.061.5
Allowed / game79.787.076.0
Point differential-7.7+6.0-14.5
Avg total151.7180.0137.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %33%100%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Karhu Basket440100%90.081.0+9.0
2 BC Kalev/Cramo65183%86.573.3+13.2
3 SCM Craiova65183%72.563.7+8.8
4 Hapoel Haifa65183%67.764.7+3.0
5 CSM Oradea43175%88.876.8+12.0
6 Gaziantep43175%78.569.0+9.5
7 Galil Elyon43175%85.580.0+5.5
8 Balkan43175%79.274.0+5.2
9 Cholet64267%83.372.0+11.3
10 Den Bosch32167%78.768.7+10.0
11 Brindisi32167%81.775.0+6.7
12 Mechelen32167%88.083.0+5.0
13 Bamberg32167%88.384.0+4.3
14 Fribourg Olympic32167%79.376.3+3.0
15 Budivelnyk32167%74.071.3+2.7
16 Sporting CP64267%90.092.7-2.7
17 Anwil Wloclawek42250%90.580.2+10.2
18 Gottingen21150%79.573.0+6.5
19 Czarni Slupsk21150%78.575.5+3.0
20 Keravnos42250%79.077.2+1.8
21 BC Wolves21150%79.581.5-2.0
22 Opava42250%75.078.0-3.0
23 AEK Larnaca21150%68.572.0-3.5
24 Leiden21150%68.572.5-4.0
25 Chemnitz31233%82.775.7+7.0
26 FC Porto31233%79.379.7-0.3
27 Crailsheim Merlins31233%74.375.7-1.3
28 Antwerp Giants62433%76.379.0-2.7
29 Voluntari31233%65.768.7-3.0
30 Norrkoping31233%72.079.7-7.7
31 Parnu31233%71.384.0-12.7
32 Levice41325%73.577.5-4.0
33 Swans Gmunden41325%77.282.0-4.8
34 Golden Eagle Ylli41325%72.586.5-14.0
35 Rilski Sportist51420%69.285.2-16.0
36 Jonava1010%59.065.0-6.0
37 Thorl1010%68.077.0-9.0
38 Jamtland1010%73.083.0-10.0
39 Aris1010%72.083.0-11.0
40 Kataja1010%64.075.0-11.0
41 Kormend4040%76.888.5-11.8
42 Trepca1010%62.076.0-14.0
43 Donar Groningen3030%63.778.7-15.0
44 Kapfenberg Bulls1010%55.071.0-16.0
45 Cedevita Junior1010%73.093.0-20.0
46 Besiktas1010%62.093.0-31.0
47 Sigal Prishtina1010%61.098.0-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 47 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crailsheim Merlins3021172795
Norrkoping525231164
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