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Bayreuth vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 99-77
32-18 22-16 19-24 26-19
Position#18
Record1-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game84.3
vs
Position#14
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game86.0
GermanyBBLRound 4
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Bayreuth v Crailsheim Merlins
10 Jan 2027
BAR v CME
upcoming
09 Nov 2025
BAR63
CME79
21 Sep 2024
BAR103
CME106
23 Oct 2022
BAR99
CME77
23 Oct 2021
BAR74
CME86
05 Mar 2021
BAR97
CME78
12 Nov 2020
BAR77
CME81
03 Apr 2020
BAR v CME
upcoming
29 Dec 2018
BAR102
CME85
06 Feb 2016
BAR78
CME70
02 Oct 2014
BAR80
CME71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayreuth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayreuthGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayreuth
Date
Competition
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
L
77-83
77
83
-6
69avg 72
H09/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#6
L
69-83
69
83
-14
63avg 72
H13/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
L
85-90
85
90
-5
82avg 72
A16/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
73-80
73
80
-7
69avg 72
H22/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
87-93
87
93
-6
90avg 72
H28/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
70-82
70
82
-12
68avg 72
A01/05
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
83-82 OT
83
82
+1
no box
H30/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
72-76
72
76
-4
65avg 72
A05/10
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
79-95
79
95
-16
68avg 72
H08/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#14
W
75-69
75
69
+6
no box
A15/10
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
31-23
13-22
14-19
15-19
16-22
16-18
22-24
25-26
24-18
16-20
20-26
15-18
18-22
18-17
22-23
16-26
23-24
19-17
29-26
27-27
12-21
17-12
14-22
17-27
13-12
22-20
23-16
22-14
19-30
16-14
15-18
15-27
24-25
19-20
21-23
17-24
20-19
13-14
25-12
160.3Avg total
77.0Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.084.3162.3-6.333%
Season at home (2)81.088.5169.5-7.550%
Season away (1)72.076.0148.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)77.083.3160.3-6.320%
Last 5 (5)75.880.8156.6-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)77.884.6162.3-6.825%
vs Similar (13)80.388.4168.7-8.123%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#10
W
86-80
86
80
+6
83avg 75
H26/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
70-81
70
81
-11
63avg 75
H29/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
90-100 OT
90
100
-10
no box
A01/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#6
W
95-93
95
93
+2
90avg 75
H07/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
82-95
82
95
-13
no box
H02/10
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
84-82
84
82
+2
69avg 75
A04/10
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
77-81
77
81
-4
69avg 75
H07/10
BBL
Norrkoping
#33
L
87-93 OT
87
93
-6
no box
A12/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#15
W
86-72
86
72
+14
no box
H15/10
German Cup
SCM Craiova
#25
L
60-73
60
73
-13
no box
H19/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-9
22-31
27-15
22-25
18-20
13-24
10-16
29-21
23-30
21-27
27-20
18-12
23-26
26-19
21-12
25-36
10-27
28-20
20-24
24-24
22-27
18-19
20-20
24-16
16-27
24-16
24-20
13-18
30-14
11-26
19-21
19-18
21-19
19-18
25-12
21-23
21-14
11-15
22-21
6-23
166.7Avg total
81.7Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.086.0167.0-5.033%
Season at home (2)79.588.0167.5-8.50%
Season away (1)84.082.0166.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.785.0166.7-3.340%
Last 5 (5)78.880.2159.0-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.191.1167.2-15.011%
vs Similar (10)82.385.0167.3-2.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)80.179.3159.4+0.850%
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -1.5-1.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -1.5-1.5
BayreuthCrailsheim Merlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H09/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#6
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H13/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A16/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H22/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H28/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A01/05
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H30/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A05/10
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H08/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#14
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A15/10
German Cup
83.1Avg total
38.8Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.443.884.2-3.427%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.243.683.8-3.427%-
Last 30 away (15)40.544.084.5-3.527%-
Last 10 (10)38.844.383.1-5.520%-
Last 5 (5)37.245.282.4-8.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)40.442.482.8-2.131%-
vs Similar (13)40.645.586.2-4.923%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#10
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H26/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H29/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A01/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#6
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H07/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H02/10
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A04/10
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H07/10
BBL
Norrkoping
#33
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A12/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#15
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H15/10
German Cup
SCM Craiova
#25
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H19/10
FIBA Europe Cup
82.0Avg total
39.2Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.143.483.5-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.940.479.3-1.533%-
Last 30 away (15)41.346.487.7-5.140%-
Last 10 (10)39.242.882.0-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.077.6-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.446.185.6-6.733%-
vs Similar (10)42.344.486.7-2.140%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)38.440.679.0-2.230%-
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 72.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.915.0
47.0%
54.4%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.6
37.5%
35.4%31.8
🏀 Free throws14.210.8
76.1%
75.8%10.8
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.6
52.4%
54.4%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.2
34.8%
35.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws21.516.2
75.3%
75.8%16.2
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayreuth
WLLWLLLLLL
Crailsheim Merlins
LWLLWLWLLW
#18
League position
#14
-16.1
Net rating
-1.6
103.2
Offensive rating
109.4
119.2
Defensive rating
111.1
51.3%
Effective FG%
52.3%
57.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
22.6%
Turnover %
17.7%
35.3%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.35
37.5%
3-point %
34.8%
69.9%
Assist %
58.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.2 · 109.4Defence119.2 · 111.1Shooting51.3% · 52.3%3-point %37.5% · 34.8%Ball care22.6% · 17.7%Off. rebounds35.3% · 29.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Bayreuth   ■ Crailsheim Merlins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bayreuth wins
7
Crailsheim Merlins wins
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/22ASyntainics MBC75-69
08/10/22HHamburg79-95
05/10/22AOldenburg72-76
30/09/22HFrankfurt83-82 OT
01/05/22AFrankfurt70-82
28/04/22HLudwigsburg87-93
22/04/22HUlm73-80
16/04/22ACrailsheim Merlins85-90
13/04/22HChemnitz69-83
09/04/22Hs.Oliver Wurzburg77-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/22HSCM Craiova60-73
15/10/22HChemnitz86-72
12/10/22ANorrkoping87-93 OT
07/10/22HGottingen77-81
04/10/22ABamberg84-82
02/10/22HOldenburg82-95
07/05/22HChemnitz95-93
01/05/22AUlm90-100 OT
29/04/22HFrankfurt70-81
26/04/22HGottingen86-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayreuth
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game78.081.072.0
Allowed / game84.388.576.0
Point differential-6.3-7.5-4.0
Avg total162.3169.5148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %33%50%0%
Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeLL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%0%100%
Points / game81.079.584.0
Allowed / game86.088.082.0
Point differential-5.0-8.5+2.0
Avg total167.0167.5166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn330100%86.373.0+13.3
2 Rostock330100%99.090.0+9.0
3 Alba Berlin330100%86.779.7+7.0
4 Gottingen220100%87.080.5+6.5
5 Hamburg43175%86.278.0+8.2
6 Bayern43175%84.077.2+6.8
7 Oldenburg43175%83.279.0+4.2
8 Ludwigsburg32167%91.784.7+7.0
9 Wurzburg42250%89.894.0-4.2
10 Heidelberg21150%89.595.0-5.5
11 Crailsheim Merlins31233%81.086.0-5.0
12 Syntainics MBC31233%89.394.3-5.0
13 Bayreuth31233%78.084.3-6.3
14 Frankfurt41325%81.284.0-2.8
15 Bamberg3030%79.386.0-6.7
16 Ulm4040%79.286.5-7.2
17 Chemnitz2020%77.587.0-9.5
18 Basketball Braunschweig4040%78.889.5-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayreuth3222192699
Crailsheim Merlins1816241977
← all games of the day
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