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Creighton vs Villanova Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 87-74
32-23 55-51
Position#83
Record20-11
FormWLLWW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game67.9
vs
Position#196
Record17-15
FormWWWLW
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game67.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Creighton v Villanova
19 Dec 2026
CREI v VILL
upcoming
14 Feb 2026
CREI69
VILL80
21 Dec 2024
CREI86
VILL79
20 Dec 2023
CREI66
VILL68
09 Mar 2023
CREI87
VILL74
04 Feb 2023
CREI66
VILL61
17 Dec 2021
CREI79
VILL59
13 Feb 2021
CREI86
VILL70
07 Jan 2020
CREI59
VILL64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Creighton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Villanova winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CreightonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgetown
#357
W
63-53
63
53
+10
A01/02
NCAA
Villanova
#196
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H05/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#175
W
75-62
75
62
+13
A08/02
NCAA
Uconn
#29
W
56-53
56
53
+3
H11/02
NCAA
Providence
#92
L
86-94 OT
86
94
-8
A15/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#185
W
77-67
77
67
+10
A19/02
NCAA
Marquette
#15
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H22/02
NCAA
Villanova
#196
L
67-79
67
79
-12
A25/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#357
W
99-59
99
59
+40
H02/03
NCAA
DePaul
#332
W
84-70
84
70
+14
A05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
35-21
28-32
35-27
31-34
40-39
35-23
31-29
25-24
37-36
36-37
42-32
35-35
40-32
31-41
24-38
43-41
51-24
48-35
39-24
45-46
141.5Avg total
74.4Scored
67.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)76.867.9144.7+9.065%
Season at home (17)78.663.3141.9+15.382%
Season away (14)74.773.4148.1+1.343%
Last 10 (10)74.467.1141.5+7.370%
Last 5 (5)79.669.6149.2+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)58.061.0119.0-3.050%
vs Similar (11)77.477.1154.5+0.336%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)79.063.2142.2+15.882%
This opponent (Villanova) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VillanovaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Creighton
#83
L
61-66
61
66
-5
A05/02
NCAA
DePaul
#332
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H09/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#175
W
58-54
58
54
+4
H12/02
NCAA
Butler
#256
W
62-50
62
50
+12
H15/02
NCAA
Providence
#92
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A18/02
NCAA
Xavier
#46
W
64-63
64
63
+1
A21/02
NCAA
Creighton
#83
W
79-67
79
67
+12
H25/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#175
W
76-72
76
72
+4
A01/03
NCAA
Uconn
#29
L
59-71
59
71
-12
H05/03
NCAA
Georgetown
#357
W
80-48
80
48
+32
H09/03
NCAA
1H
2H
27-35
34-31
37-34
44-31
27-20
31-34
25-24
37-26
31-36
41-49
30-36
34-27
38-24
41-43
34-37
42-35
24-32
35-39
41-20
39-28
133.3Avg total
69.2Scored
64.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)69.867.2137.1+2.653%
Season at home (17)71.566.1137.6+5.465%
Season away (15)67.968.5136.5-0.640%
Last 10 (10)69.264.1133.3+5.170%
Last 5 (5)71.664.2135.8+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)67.672.5140.1-4.920%
vs Similar (11)69.867.1136.9+2.764%
vs Weaker (9)71.861.4133.2+10.378%
This opponent (Creighton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +7.2+7.21st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +3.5+3.5
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +7.2+7.21st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +3.5+3.5
CreightonVillanova
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CreightonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgetown
#357
W
35-21
35
21
+14
A01/02
NCAA
Villanova
#196
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H05/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#175
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A08/02
NCAA
Uconn
#29
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H11/02
NCAA
Providence
#92
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A15/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#185
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A19/02
NCAA
Marquette
#15
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H22/02
NCAA
Villanova
#196
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A25/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#357
W
51-24
51
24
+27
H02/03
NCAA
DePaul
#332
W
39-24
39
24
+15
A05/03
NCAA
67.6Avg total
37.4Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.131.869.9+6.370%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.228.868.9+11.481%-
Last 30 away (14)35.835.371.1+0.557%-
Last 10 (10)37.430.267.6+7.290%-
Last 5 (5)39.230.069.2+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.033.063.0-3.050%-
vs Similar (11)37.335.973.2+1.455%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)39.629.068.6+10.682%-
This opponent (Villanova) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VillanovaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Creighton
#83
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A05/02
NCAA
DePaul
#332
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H09/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#175
W
27-20
27
20
+7
H12/02
NCAA
Butler
#256
W
25-24
25
24
+1
H15/02
NCAA
Providence
#92
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A18/02
NCAA
Xavier
#46
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A21/02
NCAA
Creighton
#83
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H25/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#175
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A01/03
NCAA
Uconn
#29
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H05/03
NCAA
Georgetown
#357
W
41-20
41
20
+21
H09/03
NCAA
61.2Avg total
31.4Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.031.763.8+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.629.662.2+2.962%-
Last 30 away (14)31.434.165.6-2.721%-
Last 10 (10)31.429.861.2+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)33.429.863.2+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)32.333.265.5-0.940%-
vs Similar (11)30.731.562.3-0.827%-
vs Weaker (9)33.330.363.7+3.067%-
This opponent (Creighton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Creighton wins
5
Villanova wins
DateGameScore
25/02/23Villanova v Creighton79-67
05/02/23Creighton v Villanova66-61
12/03/22Villanova v Creighton54-48
06/01/22Villanova v Creighton75-41
18/12/21Creighton v Villanova79-59
04/03/21Villanova v Creighton72-60
13/02/21Creighton v Villanova86-70
01/02/20Villanova v Creighton61-76
08/01/20Creighton v Villanova59-64
Creightonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/23ADePaul84-70
02/03/23HGeorgetown99-59
25/02/23AVillanova67-79
22/02/23HMarquette71-73
19/02/23ASt. John's (N.Y.)77-67
15/02/23AProvidence86-94 OT
11/02/23HUconn56-53
08/02/23ASeton Hall75-62
05/02/23HVillanova66-61
01/02/23AGeorgetown63-53
Villanovalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/23HGeorgetown80-48
05/03/23HUconn59-71
01/03/23ASeton Hall76-72
25/02/23HCreighton79-67
21/02/23AXavier64-63
18/02/23AProvidence72-85
15/02/23HButler62-50
12/02/23HSeton Hall58-54
09/02/23HDePaul81-65
05/02/23ACreighton61-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Creighton
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW65%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayWLWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %65%82%43%
Points / game76.878.674.7
Allowed / game67.963.373.4
Point differential+9.0+15.3+1.3
Avg total144.7141.9148.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%65%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)50% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Villanova
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW53%
HomeWWWLW65%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %53%65%40%
Points / game69.871.567.9
Allowed / game67.266.168.5
Point differential+2.6+5.4-0.6
Avg total137.1137.6136.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%47%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)50% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marquette3226681%80.771.3+9.4
2 Uconn3225778%78.864.9+13.9
3 Xavier3224875%82.374.8+7.6
4 Providence32211166%78.171.3+6.8
5 Creighton31201165%76.867.9+9.0
6 Seton Hall32171553%68.565.1+3.4
7 Villanova32171553%69.867.2+2.6
8 St. John's (N.Y.)34181653%76.675.6+1.0
9 Butler32141844%65.267.9-2.7
10 DePaul33102330%71.277.3-6.1
11 Georgetown3272522%69.578.1-8.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Creighton325587
Villanova235174
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