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Creighton vs Villanova Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 66-68 (OT)
34-24 24-34 8-10
Position#43
Record9-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game66.5
Creighton
USA
vs
Villanova 🏆
USA
Position#174
Record7-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game64.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Creighton v Villanova
19 Dec 2026
CREI v VILL
upcoming
14 Feb 2026
CREI69
VILL80
21 Dec 2024
CREI86
VILL79
20 Dec 2023
CREI66
VILL68
09 Mar 2023
CREI87
VILL74
04 Feb 2023
CREI66
VILL61
17 Dec 2021
CREI79
VILL59
13 Feb 2021
CREI86
VILL70
07 Jan 2020
CREI59
VILL64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Creighton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Villanova winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CreightonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota St
#235
W
89-60
89
60
+29
H11/11
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
92-84
92
84
+8
H15/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#210
W
82-50
82
50
+32
H19/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#41
W
88-65
88
65
+23
A22/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
48-69
48
69
-21
H23/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#297
W
79-65
79
65
+14
A01/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
W
89-60
89
60
+29
A03/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
W
109-64
109
64
+45
H09/12
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
64-79
64
79
-15
A14/12
NCAA
Alabama
#67
W
85-82
85
82
+3
H17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
41-31
48-29
43-43
49-41
47-27
35-23
45-37
43-28
19-27
29-42
47-29
32-36
52-37
37-23
56-36
53-28
28-36
36-43
44-44
41-38
150.3Avg total
82.5Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)84.566.5151.1+18.082%
Season at home (7)87.166.1153.3+21.086%
Season away (4)80.067.2147.2+12.875%
Last 10 (10)82.567.8150.3+14.780%
Last 5 (5)85.270.0155.2+15.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)56.053.0109.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (11)74.772.5147.3+2.255%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)83.565.2148.7+18.389%
This opponent (Villanova) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VillanovaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Moyne
#233
W
83-57
83
57
+26
H10/11
NCAA
Penn
#295
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A14/11
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H18/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H22/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
W
83-81 OT
83
81
+2
A23/11
NCAA
Memphis
#57
W
79-63
79
63
+16
H24/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#113
L
65-78
65
78
-13
H29/11
NCAA
Drexel
#102
L
55-57
55
57
-2
H02/12
NCAA
Kansas State
#151
L
71-72 OT
71
72
-1
A06/12
NCAA
UCLA
#219
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H10/12
NCAA
1H
2H
48-34
35-23
30-32
42-44
39-15
18-25
41-33
44-36
32-34
36-34
44-16
35-47
35-43
30-35
25-26
30-31
25-33
38-30
25-29
40-27
136.4Avg total
71.5Scored
64.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)73.264.7137.9+8.564%
Season at home (8)72.460.4132.8+12.075%
Season away (3)75.376.3151.7-1.033%
Last 10 (10)71.564.9136.4+6.660%
Last 5 (5)67.065.2132.2+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)70.175.1145.2-5.030%
vs Similar (10)68.661.1129.7+7.570%
vs Weaker (9)73.765.0138.7+8.767%
This opponent (Creighton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.5+7.51st half: +4.9+4.92nd half2nd half: +7.2+7.22nd half: +1.6+1.6
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.5+7.51st half: +4.9+4.92nd half2nd half: +7.2+7.22nd half: +1.6+1.6
CreightonVillanova
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CreightonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota St
#235
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H11/11
NCAA
Iowa
#162
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H15/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#210
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H19/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#41
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A22/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
19-27
19
27
-8
H23/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#297
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A01/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A03/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
W
56-36
56
36
+20
H09/12
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A14/12
NCAA
Alabama
#67
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H17/12
NCAA
76.9Avg total
42.2Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.632.071.6+7.680%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.531.673.1+9.981%-
Last 30 away (14)37.432.469.8+4.979%-
Last 10 (10)42.234.776.9+7.560%-
Last 5 (5)45.436.481.8+9.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)31.029.060.0+2.0100%-
vs Similar (11)37.033.670.6+3.473%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)41.631.272.8+10.483%-
This opponent (Villanova) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VillanovaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Moyne
#233
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H10/11
NCAA
Penn
#295
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A14/11
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
39-15
39
15
+24
H18/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H22/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A23/11
NCAA
Memphis
#57
W
44-16
44
16
+28
H24/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#113
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H29/11
NCAA
Drexel
#102
L
25-26
25
26
-1
H02/12
NCAA
Kansas State
#151
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A06/12
NCAA
UCLA
#219
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H10/12
NCAA
63.9Avg total
34.4Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.330.562.9+1.847%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.628.162.7+6.671%-
Last 30 away (13)29.333.863.1-4.515%-
Last 10 (10)34.429.563.9+4.940%-
Last 5 (5)30.829.460.2+1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)30.232.662.8-2.430%-
vs Similar (10)34.628.563.1+6.150%-
vs Weaker (9)33.030.363.3+2.767%-
This opponent (Creighton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Creighton wins
5
Villanova wins
DateGameScore
10/03/23Creighton v Villanova87-74
25/02/23Villanova v Creighton79-67
05/02/23Creighton v Villanova66-61
12/03/22Villanova v Creighton54-48
06/01/22Villanova v Creighton75-41
18/12/21Creighton v Villanova79-59
04/03/21Villanova v Creighton72-60
13/02/21Creighton v Villanova86-70
01/02/20Villanova v Creighton61-76
08/01/20Creighton v Villanova59-64
Creightonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23HAlabama85-82
14/12/23AUNLV64-79
09/12/23HCentral Michigan109-64
03/12/23ANebraska89-60
01/12/23AOklahoma State79-65
23/11/23HColorado State48-69
22/11/23ALoyola Chicago88-65
19/11/23HTexas Southern82-50
15/11/23HIowa92-84
11/11/23HNorth Dakota St89-60
Villanovalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23HUCLA65-56
06/12/23AKansas State71-72 OT
02/12/23HDrexel55-57
29/11/23HSaint Josephs Hawks65-78
24/11/23HMemphis79-63
23/11/23ANorth Carolina83-81 OT
22/11/23HTexas Tech85-69
18/11/23HMaryland57-40
14/11/23APenn72-76
10/11/23HLe Moyne83-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Creighton
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW82%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %82%86%75%
Points / game84.587.180.0
Allowed / game66.566.167.2
Point differential+18.0+21.0+12.8
Avg total151.1153.3147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%57%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Villanova
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW64%
HomeWWLLW75%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %64%75%33%
Points / game73.272.475.3
Allowed / game64.760.476.3
Point differential+8.5+12.0-1.0
Avg total137.9132.8151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %18%0%67%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uconn1210283%84.264.2+20.0
2 Butler1210283%83.869.6+14.2
3 Providence1210283%74.463.0+11.4
4 Creighton119282%84.566.5+18.0
5 Marquette129375%78.267.6+10.7
6 St. John's (N.Y.)118373%80.169.1+11.0
7 Seton Hall128467%75.668.6+7.0
8 Villanova117464%73.264.7+8.5
9 Georgetown127558%75.671.6+4.0
10 Xavier146843%72.371.1+1.1
11 DePaul102820%68.576.3-7.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Creighton3424866
Villanova24341068
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