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Creighton vs Villanova Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 20 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#160
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game68.3
vs
Position#96
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game65.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Creighton v Villanova
19 Dec 2026
CREI v VILL
upcoming
14 Feb 2026
CREI69
VILL80
21 Dec 2024
CREI86
VILL79
20 Dec 2023
CREI66
VILL68
09 Mar 2023
CREI87
VILL74
04 Feb 2023
CREI66
VILL61
17 Dec 2021
CREI79
VILL59
13 Feb 2021
CREI86
VILL70
07 Jan 2020
CREI59
VILL64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Creighton win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Villanova win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CreightonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Villanova
#46
L
69-80
69
80
-11
H14/02
NCAA
Uconn
#11
W
91-84
91
84
+7
A19/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
52-81
52
81
-29
A21/02
NCAA
DePaul
#213
L
71-72
71
72
-1
H26/02
NCAA
Providence
#246
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H28/02
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
76-59
76
59
+17
A04/03
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
61-72
61
72
-11
A12/03
NCAA
UMKC
#260
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H03/11
NCAA
Le Moyne
#217
W
83-55
83
55
+28
H06/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#162
L
82-89
82
89
-7
A11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-41
42-39
45-45
46-39
27-42
25-39
38-30
33-42
37-39
39-40
32-36
44-23
26-33
35-39
33-39
43-22
54-17
29-38
40-40
42-49
146.9Avg total
73.7Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.368.3148.7+12.067%
Season at home (2)79.558.0137.5+21.5100%
Season away (1)82.089.0171.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)73.773.2146.9+0.540%
Last 5 (5)75.667.2142.8+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)64.876.1140.9-11.327%
vs Similar (16)81.475.8157.2+5.756%
vs Weaker (3)80.368.3148.7+12.067%
This opponent (Villanova) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VillanovaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Butler
#208
W
82-73
82
73
+9
H26/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
57-89
57
89
-32
A01/03
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
76-57
76
57
+19
A05/03
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H07/03
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
64-78
64
78
-14
H13/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
76-86
76
86
-10
H20/03
NCAA
Notre Dame
#37
L
72-74
72
74
-2
H01/11
NCAA
Holy Cross
#411
W
95-66
95
66
+29
H07/11
NCAA
La Salle
#294
W
80-59
80
59
+21
H11/11
NCAA
Rider
#342
W
99-62
99
62
+37
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-28
40-45
23-48
34-41
26-24
50-33
44-32
47-46
31-35
33-43
39-37
37-49
35-31
37-43
44-28
51-38
36-31
44-28
42-23
57-39
151.4Avg total
79.2Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.565.2151.8+21.275%
Season at home (4)86.565.2151.8+21.275%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.272.2151.4+7.060%
Last 5 (5)84.469.4153.8+15.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)66.880.8147.5-14.00%
vs Similar (6)70.071.8141.8-1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)81.569.5151.0+12.090%
This opponent (Creighton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: +4.5+4.52nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: +2.5+2.5
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: +4.5+4.52nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: +2.5+2.5
CreightonVillanova
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CreightonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Villanova
#46
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H14/02
NCAA
Uconn
#11
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A19/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A21/02
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H26/02
NCAA
Providence
#246
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H28/02
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A04/03
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A12/03
NCAA
UMKC
#260
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H03/11
NCAA
Le Moyne
#217
W
54-17
54
17
+37
H06/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#162
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A11/11
NCAA
72.1Avg total
35.9Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.336.472.6-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.436.775.1+1.753%-
Last 30 away (13)33.535.969.4-2.538%-
Last 10 (10)35.936.272.1-0.320%-
Last 5 (5)37.033.070.0+4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)29.437.566.9-8.29%-
vs Similar (16)39.936.476.2+3.575%-
vs Weaker (3)42.332.074.3+10.333%-
This opponent (Villanova) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VillanovaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Butler
#208
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H26/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
23-48
23
48
-25
A01/03
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A05/03
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H07/03
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H13/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H20/03
NCAA
Notre Dame
#37
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H01/11
NCAA
Holy Cross
#411
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H07/11
NCAA
La Salle
#294
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H11/11
NCAA
Rider
#342
W
42-23
42
23
+19
H15/11
NCAA
67.9Avg total
36.2Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.132.068.2+4.173%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.329.967.2+7.479%-
Last 30 away (11)34.135.769.8-1.664%-
Last 10 (10)36.231.767.9+4.580%-
Last 5 (5)39.230.069.2+9.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.237.869.0-6.550%-
vs Similar (6)33.231.564.7+1.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)38.031.169.0+6.980%-
This opponent (Creighton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Creighton wins
4
Villanova wins
DateGameScore
14/02/26Creighton v Villanova69-80
08/01/26Villanova v Creighton72-76
01/02/25Villanova v Creighton60-62
21/12/24Creighton v Villanova86-79
09/03/24Villanova v Creighton67-69
21/12/23Creighton v Villanova66-68 OT
10/03/23Creighton v Villanova87-74
25/02/23Villanova v Creighton79-67
05/02/23Creighton v Villanova66-61
12/03/22Villanova v Creighton54-48
Creightonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AKansas State82-89
06/11/26HLe Moyne83-55
03/11/26HUMKC76-61
12/03/26ASeton Hall61-72
04/03/26AButler76-59
28/02/26HProvidence76-79
26/02/26HDePaul71-72
21/02/26ASt. John's (N.Y.)52-81
19/02/26AUconn91-84
14/02/26HVillanova69-80
Villanovalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HRider99-62
11/11/26HLa Salle80-59
07/11/26HHoly Cross95-66
01/11/26HNotre Dame72-74
20/03/26HUtah State76-86
13/03/26HGeorgetown64-78
07/03/26HXavier91-78
05/03/26ADePaul76-57
01/03/26ASt. John's (N.Y.)57-89
26/02/26HButler82-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Creighton
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game80.379.582.0
Allowed / game68.358.089.0
Point differential+12.0+21.5-7.0
Avg total148.7137.5171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Villanova
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeLWWW75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game86.586.5-
Allowed / game65.265.2-
Point differential+21.2+21.2-
Avg total151.8151.8-
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Xavier440100%88.555.8+32.8
2 St. John's (N.Y.)330100%90.762.3+28.3
3 Uconn440100%84.558.0+26.5
4 DePaul440100%77.058.0+19.0
5 Georgetown440100%83.572.0+11.5
6 Villanova43175%86.565.2+21.2
7 Providence43175%71.557.8+13.8
8 Seton Hall43175%69.261.5+7.8
9 Marquette32167%80.353.0+27.3
10 Creighton32167%80.368.3+12.0
11 Butler42250%85.075.2+9.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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