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Cremona vs Fortitudo Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 May 2023
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 87-75
18-16 27-20 20-23 22-16
Position#3
Record25-9
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game71.5
Cremona 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#16
Record16-20
FormLWWWL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game76.9
ItalySerie A2Serie A2 - Semi-finals
Other2022-23
Meetings · Cremona v Fortitudo Bologna
30 May 2023
CRE87
FBO75
28 May 2023
CRE83
FBO74
03 Oct 2021
CRE94
FBO78
14 Apr 2021
CRE82
FBO74
13 Sep 2020
CRE63
FBO73
10 Nov 2019
CRE80
FBO73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fortitudo Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forli
#2
W
64-60
64
60
+4
A02/04
Serie A2
Pistoia
#5
W
85-80
85
80
+5
H08/04
Serie A2
Cento
#9
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A16/04
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H23/04
Serie A2
Pistoia
#5
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A30/04
Serie A2
Cento
#9
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H07/05
Serie A2
Agrigento
#11
W
83-67
83
67
+16
H13/05
Serie A2
Agrigento
#11
W
79-63
79
63
+16
H15/05
Serie A2
Agrigento
#11
W
97-91 OT
97
91
+6
A19/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H28/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-12
21-20
4-18
21-10
19-18
25-21
21-19
20-22
19-19
23-18
18-17
22-25
22-21
23-20
22-27
15-20
16-21
21-16
15-19
16-17
10-20
14-19
24-15
19-22
22-14
15-21
20-7
26-25
21-25
16-13
27-14
15-11
20-23
14-15
23-21
27-25
20-23
21-19
21-15
21-17
154.1Avg total
79.0Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)79.271.5150.6+7.774%
Season at home (18)82.772.8155.5+9.978%
Season away (16)75.270.0145.2+5.269%
Last 10 (10)79.075.1154.1+3.970%
Last 5 (5)81.874.2156.0+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)72.174.6146.7-2.429%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)81.770.8152.5+11.083%
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Assigeco Piacenza
#15
L
73-91
73
91
-18
A08/04
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#10
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H19/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
80-86
80
86
-6
A23/04
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#15
L
76-84 OT
76
84
-8
H30/04
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#10
L
79-87
79
87
-8
A07/05
Serie A2
Cento
#9
L
73-91
73
91
-18
A14/05
Serie A2
Cento
#9
W
88-74
88
74
+14
A19/05
Serie A2
Cento
#9
W
90-71
90
71
+19
H21/05
Serie A2
Cento
#9
W
69-68
69
68
+1
H24/05
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A28/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
15-21
20-25
14-21
13-17
17-29
23-13
20-5
19-19
28-16
12-21
21-30
25-16
19-13
13-28
15-15
17-24
25-19
19-27
18-17
19-24
16-18
27-27
11-22
30-19
19-22
28-18
11-15
19-17
26-15
22-14
23-25
20-24
20-25
20-8
9-11
23-20
19-21
15-21
17-21
157.4Avg total
77.5Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)77.576.9154.4+0.644%
Season at home (17)80.172.8152.9+7.371%
Season away (19)75.280.6155.8-5.521%
Last 10 (10)77.579.9157.4-2.440%
Last 5 (5)78.877.4156.2+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)73.078.8151.8-5.840%
vs Similar (21)78.377.9156.2+0.443%
vs Weaker (4)85.078.5163.5+6.550%
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -2.3-2.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -2.3-2.3
CremonaFortitudo Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forli
#2
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A02/04
Serie A2
Pistoia
#5
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H08/04
Serie A2
Cento
#9
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A16/04
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H23/04
Serie A2
Pistoia
#5
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A30/04
Serie A2
Cento
#9
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H07/05
Serie A2
Agrigento
#11
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H13/05
Serie A2
Agrigento
#11
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H15/05
Serie A2
Agrigento
#11
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A19/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H28/05
Serie A2
75.8Avg total
38.0Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.635.274.7+4.463%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.235.877.0+5.569%-
Last 30 away (14)37.634.572.1+3.157%-
Last 10 (10)38.037.875.8+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)34.638.473.0-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)36.136.973.0-0.743%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)40.634.775.3+6.070%-
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Assigeco Piacenza
#15
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A08/04
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#10
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H19/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A23/04
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#15
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H30/04
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#10
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A07/05
Serie A2
Cento
#9
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A14/05
Serie A2
Cento
#9
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A19/05
Serie A2
Cento
#9
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H21/05
Serie A2
Cento
#9
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H24/05
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A28/05
Serie A2
81.6Avg total
41.3Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.839.379.1+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.637.376.9+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)40.141.381.3-1.240%-
Last 10 (10)41.340.381.6+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)42.241.083.2+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)38.236.074.2+2.280%-
vs Similar (21)39.839.279.0+0.648%-
vs Weaker (4)42.043.885.8-1.825%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.717.3
45.9%
50.9%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.6
33.6%
34.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws14.811.2
75.7%
73.9%11.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fortitudo Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fortitudo Bologna: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.4
50.4%
50.9%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.6
34.4%
34.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws22.016.6
75.5%
73.9%16.6
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cremona
WWWWLLLWWW
Fortitudo Bologna
LWWWLLLLWL
#3
League position
#16
-14.2
Net rating
-3.8
98.5
Offensive rating
110.4
112.7
Defensive rating
114.2
47.7%
Effective FG%
50.9%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
16.9%
Turnover %
14.6%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.36
33.6%
3-point %
34.4%
54.8%
Assist %
59.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.5 · 110.4Defence112.7 · 114.2Shooting47.7% · 50.9%3-point %33.6% · 34.4%Ball care16.9% · 14.6%Off. rebounds25.5% · 27.5%Free throws0.23 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Cremona   ■ Fortitudo Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Cremona wins
4
Fortitudo Bologna wins
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/05/23HFortitudo Bologna83-74
19/05/23AAgrigento97-91 OT
15/05/23HAgrigento79-63
13/05/23HAgrigento83-67
07/05/23HCento67-76
30/04/23APistoia68-73
23/04/23HForli82-88
16/04/23ACento82-79
08/04/23HPistoia85-80
02/04/23AForli64-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/05/23ACremona74-83
24/05/23HCento69-68
21/05/23HCento90-71
19/05/23ACento88-74
14/05/23ACento73-91
07/05/23AUrania Milano79-87
30/04/23HAssigeco Piacenza76-84 OT
23/04/23ABasket Torino80-86
19/04/23HUrania Milano73-64
08/04/23AAssigeco Piacenza73-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Serie A2 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW74%
HomeLLWWW78%
AwayWWWLW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341816
Win %74%78%69%
Points / game79.282.775.2
Allowed / game71.572.870.0
Point differential+7.7+9.9+5.2
Avg total150.6155.5145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%50%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)60% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %12%11%12%
Fortitudo Bologna
Serie A2 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL44%
HomeLWLWW71%
AwayLLLWL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361719
Win %44%71%21%
Points / game77.580.175.2
Allowed / game76.972.880.6
Point differential+0.6+7.3-5.5
Avg total154.4152.9155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%35%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)50% (6)33% (6)
Overtime %8%12%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baltur Cento440100%72.564.2+8.2
2 Forli3529683%76.369.3+7.1
3 Cantu3628878%80.671.1+9.5
4 Cremona3425974%79.271.5+7.7
5 Treviglio36261072%78.871.8+6.9
6 Basket Torino36251169%82.979.8+3.1
7 Pistoia38251366%76.270.0+6.2
8 Udine37231462%77.975.6+2.3
9 Cento32171553%77.174.5+2.6
10 Urania Milano34181653%79.081.3-2.3
11 Agrigento33171652%80.879.6+1.2
12 Cividale37181949%73.073.1-0.1
13 Fortitudo Bologna36162044%77.576.9+0.6
14 Rimini36162044%74.776.7-2.0
15 Pallacanestro Nardo36162044%82.084.0-2.0
16 Assigeco Piacenza34151944%79.979.3+0.6
17 Mantova35152043%75.477.1-1.7
18 Stella Azzurra32131941%77.480.4-2.9
19 Latina30121840%74.777.1-2.4
20 Ferrara2391439%76.081.5-5.5
21 San Severo36142239%72.677.2-4.6
22 Chiusi34132138%72.474.6-2.1
23 Trapani30111937%69.476.1-6.7
24 Chieti Basket36132336%72.575.6-3.1
25 Monferrato34122235%76.178.5-2.4
26 JuVi Cremona32112134%73.878.0-4.2
27 Ravenna34112332%73.979.1-5.2
28 NPC Rieti3292328%68.274.6-6.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 28 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cremona1827202287
Fortitudo Bologna1620231675
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